nbadraft.net Says Darius Morris Probably Gone

"Leaning towards remaining in this year's draft" and "probably gone" are two different things.

The former indicates a slight bias whereas the latter indicates a strong bias and likely outcome.

Attention getting headline but inaccurate.

You Cry...and then you Cry Cry Again...

Entering the Draft, but I do have a problem with him saying he'll return for sure and then leave, if he ends up leaving. If you think you might want to leave, leave the door open. Don't say you won't and then do.

Everything I hear on espn radio tells me that the NBA and the cba is much worse than the NFL. It sounds almost certain that the NBA will not have season next year. David stern has bride in his beer that the NBA is losing a ton of money. So why take the chance and leave school and then niot have the chance to play because there is a lockout.

No offense to the kid but he's out of the league after one contract if he goes now. Nowhere close to ready.

No outside shot, no left hand.  Obviously he'll get drafted if he leaves, but he could improve his draft position A LOT if he sticks around for a year and just develops a perimeter shot.  IT MAKES NO FUCKING SENSE FOR HIM TO GO TO THE NBA RIGHT NOW.  I know it's easy for me to say, but he could get a hell of a lot better of a rookie contract if he sticks around one more year.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to say "oh screw him he wasn't that good anyway", because he's talented as hell and I'm grateful as hell that he went to Michigan ... but I just don't think it makes sense for him to leave right now when he could be a LOTTERY PICK next year.  Oh, and there's that whole lockout thing.

Kalin Lucas was player of the year in the conference his sophmore year, led his team to the final four and a way better player than Morris is at this time, but stayed in school.  So it makes perfect sense that Morris would go pro and sit at the end of someone's bench for 3 years while he develops, if he even makes the league.

We know how the NBA works and all these kids have seen so many flame outs, it's amazing that they are so oblivious to the weaknesses in their game.  I understand some emphasis on jumping if you think you'll get the guaranteed first round money but for someone like Darius with such a tremendous upside, jumping just because you think you'll be a low first round pick is like being so eager to get to the party that you jump in a Civic when there is a Ferrari with your name on arriving 15 minutes later.

If Darius has modest improvement in his ability to defend and go left and a significant improvement in his shooting, he'd be a borderline lottery pick next year.  Let's say he'd get drafted 26 this year (super optimistic to give him the benefit of the doubt) and 12th if he stayed another year.  That decision would make him

At 26th, he'd make 922,000, then 991,000 then 1,060,000 = $2,973,000

At 12th he'd make 1,736,000 then 1,866,000 then 1,996,000 = $5,598,000

The decision to stay will have made him an extra $2,500,000 in his first three years of work.  And of course, imagine if he goes in the second round this year with no guaranteed contract. 

Stay, get an insurance policy, improve, be part of something fun and perhaps special, and get richer.