Monday Morning Michigan Football (or Michigan vs. OSU) Snowflakes Thread

Submitted by Mr. Yost on

Let's go ahead and try and get ahead of this before it gets out of hand with all of the hot takes.

 

For your reference...

DurkinWatch Thread: http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/durkinwatch-baltimore-sun-reports-md-interview-multiple-candidates-monday

Bowl Game Predictions: http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/bowl-game-predictions-how-does-yesterdays-lossrudocks-injury-affect-us

"WAAAY Too Early" '16-'17 Depth Chart: http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/annual-waaay-too-early-depth-chart-16-17

westwardwolverine

November 30th, 2015 at 9:44 AM ^

Scorching hot take that I developed over the weekend: If Michigan was going to lose, I'm kind of glad it was a blowout and not a reasonably close loss. 

The last few years OSU played down to Michigan's level and the games were competitive. This year, coming off that embarrassing performance against Sparty, they actually found their highest gear and played their best game and showed the talent gulf between the two teams, especially at LB, OL and RB. The game was won at those spots and it boiled down to OSU having top-tier talent and Michigan being average at best at all three.

BornSinner

November 30th, 2015 at 10:52 AM ^

AND THAT'S WHAT MAKES ME FURIOUS! 

Just for once! Once! I want Michigan to have some luck in rivalry games. My last game at the Big House as an undergrad was 42-41. Smh. 

Then the punt happeneed and now OSU has the same amount of national titles as we do wins against them in the past 15 years. 

Think about that for a second. 

Sigh... 
 

Even Texas got an upset victory against OU... and Texas fucking sucks this year. 

Michigan is Tennessee status when it comes to rivalries ugh. 

alum96

November 30th, 2015 at 9:43 AM ^

I think the last game in many ways showed what a damn good job the staff did.  When facing a top end opponent we got exposed but it shows what a good job the coaches did earlier IMO. We also had good fortune with a run of QBs we played early (Ore State, UNLV, BYU, NW) - a bunch of freshman types and then UNLVs QB (who was probably the 4th best we would have played all year) was hurt and a shell of himself.  Mangum is good but was overwhelmed by us.

Even the defense to a degree was a smoke and mirrors job in 1 fashion - everything was designed to hide the LBs in space.  Not saying it was not a good unit - it very much was - but Indiana and OSU showed its major deficiencies and maybe we'd still win vs BYU but after watching that there was indeed lots of reason to fear Taysom Hill vs that D (yes the DL was healthier back then).

Taking a big step back this was a D that lost 2 of its top 3 players in Jake and Clark and still improved overall. 

That said....per the twitter:

Michigan football's points allowed

  • First 6 games: 38
  • Last 6 games: 168

(FWIW, Wolverines allowed 132 over final 6 games of 2014)

On offense we will look back in wonderment we won 9 games without the ability to have a functioning run game vs Big 10 opponents.  Teams like Indiana and OSU gave up rush yds to other teams - we couldnt do diddly.  So we had 1 arm tied behind our back.

Big 10 teams win with running and defense and turnover margin.  We sucked at 2 of those 3.  So again it's amazing we squeezed out so many wins in that regard.

This is not an overly talented team outside of a few DBs and the DL.  But we played to our potential and in some ways overachieved which is all you ask. 

A year ago I was jealous of Utah as I saw a team what was well coached, and played to their ceiling if it wasn't championship level.  This year I saw the same at Michigan - for the first time since 2006 IMO.

We were competitive in 11/12 games.  Outside of 2011 again that is not something we could say since 2006.  Which is sad to say but reality.

Add all that up and 9 is a hell of an accomplishment ; and it was a fluke away from 10-2 (yes you could argue it could have been 8-4 just as easy)- I only wish the MSU and Indiana games had flipped in terms of how we got to 9-3.

 

Padog

November 30th, 2015 at 9:52 AM ^

Wow, that's a crazy stat. The level of competition did improve over the last 6 games. However, teams averaged 33 points a game against us without Glasgow this is opposed to 12 points against us with Glasgow.
These do not subtract the special teams or defensive touchdowns of which there were at least 3. That brings your stats down to 31 in the first six games and 154 in the last 6 games.
It brings my stats down to 31 points a game without Glasgow and 10 points a game with him.



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alum96

November 30th, 2015 at 2:04 PM ^

which position group outside of DL and DBs would you put top 20 in the country.

I'll give you TE based on 1 player.

OL and rb are average to bad.  Wrs are solid but not top 20.  LBs are ok.

We have 2 very very good units and then Butt alone makes TE a good unit I suppose.

I mean Navy is top 20 too so thats a wide bar.

pescadero

November 30th, 2015 at 3:49 PM ^

which position group outside of DL and DBs would you put top 20 in the country.

 

In terms of talent, including young players not yet up to potential -

DL and DBs are in the top 10 range.

TE is top 20.

WR is top 20.

 

If you had to change COMPLETE rosters with any team in college football - are there 20 teams out there you would trade with?

 

 

flashOverride

November 30th, 2015 at 9:46 AM ^

Forgive the hot take, but this is my first post since before the game. You can count me among those who really thought people believing a win was signed, sealed, delivered because of the previous week were getting WAY ahead of themselves. My jackass bandwagon MSU fan cousin (Spartying On since 2012, when he was already in his 30s!) was typical. I gave my honest, impartial assessment before their game last week that OSU would defeat MSU because Barrett would torch MSU's suspect secondary (and I'm sorry, but suspect is what they were) and MSU's offense, with Cook either not playing or not 100%, wouldn't be able to keep up, especially on the road. That OSU would have no contingency plan for bad weather, wouldn't use the Heisman-calibre weapon they have at RB, had no game plan for MSU switching between backup QBs, these are things that simply cannot be predicted by an outside observer. And knowing jack shit/fuck all about football, he wouldn't understand that. It's all a video game to him. The names on the jerseys are the same every week, so then it's the same team that takes the field week to week.

So of course afterward I have to hear a bunch of passive-aggressive shit about how it's too bad I'm so blinded by dislike for Mark Dantonio (because, you know, I LOVE Urban...fuckhead) that I can't give him his propers and had to pick against him, apparently out of spite (because who I pick matters to the outcome...fuckhead). He then caps it off with a patronizing, "Don't worry though, you guys are definitely going to kick their asses next week now!" Ugh, fuckhead. And the fact that I tried to temper that with, "Well, I wouldn't go that far, I expect a very different Buckeye team next week. Weather will probably be a little more cooperative, too" (that's of course just met with an "LOL") didn't matter this Sunday, when "So what happened to your boys?" was exactly what I got, like I'd been the one with hubris beforehand. Fuckhead.   

The point of all this is, to me Michigan felt all season like there was some first-year magic going on a lot and that there was still a long way to go, but I think a lot of people got caught up. I hope they can get past this and relax. That said, I do have to say I'm a little bit disappointed in the fact that while I was pretty pessimistic about a win, I'm shocked by the score. I did not expect a team led by Harbaugh to be blown out, and at home. I hope that can just be chalked up to the fact that while he can change the culture, he hasn't had time to change the personnel yet. I certainly do believe he has changed the culture. 4-0 in conference road play is, I feel, proof of that. You can say, "Well, competition", but Maryland was the only true dumpster fire on the slate, against which Brady Hoke probably goes 1-3. So I really hope that with bringing in some of his own selections, particularly at LB, better things are coming. I am damn sick of watching Michigan get shredded by spread or read option attacks. 17 years and counting, it seems. 

westwardwolverine

November 30th, 2015 at 9:54 AM ^

Can I ask how we had some "first year magic" going on? The post above you by alum96 alludes to this as well talking about how it could have been 8-4 instead of 10-2 and I've seen this a lot. 

We had very little "magic" this year. Our defense had almost no turnovers (we had two over the last six games. Two). Games that people are saying we were "lucky" in we either won straight up (Indiana) or we had about 1% of the luck (Minnesota), while games we lost outside of of OSU we lost by a total fluke play after being unlucky all game (MSU) or boiled down to breaking in a new QB (Utah). Compare this to Hoke's first year where he had an all-time electric offensive player in Denard,  faced a weak schedule, had the Notre Dame and Virginia Tech games handed to him, faced the worst Ohio State team in some time and had an incredible turnover margin.

I think people are equating good coaching and bad luck (seriously, calling the Minnesota or Indiana games lucky is misguided. In each game, the other team caught the majority of the breaks and we still beat them) to "magic" just because we were so used to the general incompetence of the previous staff that any success much be some kind of wizardry. It wasn't, it was just this staff being better than the previous one and the players being a little more experienced than they were last year.

alum96

November 30th, 2015 at 10:31 AM ^

I think you have to discern btw Indiana and Minn games.

Minn the QB did something he normally never does and completed every damn 40+ yd pass early then started looking like a NFL 2nd round pick in the last drive.  Thats atypical.  The only "luck" there was the dude's knee came down at the 1/2 yd line on the last drive rather than 30 inches farther ahead.  Otherwise UM played a pretty good game and got hit on a lot of huge throws that all seemed to go against us.

Meanwhile Indiana did what they wanted to do vs our team esp in the 2nd half.  They ran the ball 19x in a row and we had no answer.  We could not stop Jordan Howard at all.  Indiana came out and tempoed us to the tune of 37 plays in the 1st quarter - we could not get off the field.  That laid the groundwork for an exhausted UM D in teh 2nd half.  It was a shootout ala Rich Rod 67-65 that either team could win.  We had good "luck" winning that in terms of it was a 50/50 game that either team could win.  Even championship teams have those type of games once or twice a year.  That was one of ours.  We didnt outplay Indiana by a large margin or were clearly better... and one bad break or missed tackle and we lose that game. 

That's different than how I viewed the MN game which they seemed to make so many plays and do atypical things.  Indiana just took us apart on defense from 1st quarter to 4th quarter and it was not luck nor out of character especially as we analyze the OSU game and see the same offensive concepts with better players was even more effective.  It was a shootout that either team had the right to win.

alum96

November 30th, 2015 at 10:33 AM ^

Hoke never beat Meyer.  So no he would not have won Saturday either.  But he would have made it close!

And being close vs OSU while going 4-7 outside of OSU (while losing to OSU as well) and being destroyed by MSU is the important thing I guess!!

Zoltanrules

November 30th, 2015 at 10:04 AM ^

This used to apply to UM and now will apply to our main rivals. As UM begins to fire on all cylinders we will get more than our share of real game changing talent. I trust my experienced eyes more than the stars rivals handed out to Hoke's recruits. Guys like Jordan Lewis are going to play on Sundays. We don't have enough of these guys compared to MSU and OSU who in fairness are both top 5 teams nationally.How we are all in the same division is a topic for another time.

Both our lines, LBs, and RBs are not big enough, fast enough, and strong enough - they try hard and are more in correct positions but that is not enough against well coached, motivated, elite talent. Play makers make plays and win big games. The next month of recruiting is huge and we wont know the success until next fall at the earliest. So stay patient and trust Coach Harbaugh. He is as competitive, driven and talented a coach as we have had in a long time, and if you think this loss won't be permanentl etched in his mind as he recruits, you are mistaken.

If you have a hard on for OSU,like they have for us, watch their hoops and hockey teams which are disasters and hope they are ranked in the top 4 and left out of the championship in football.

erald01

November 30th, 2015 at 10:12 AM ^

Its pretty abvious that our defense could not contain osu, and listening to Sam Webb this morning he mentioned that first things on Harbaughs shopping list are defense of players especially DBs and LBs. He also mentioned michigan been looking to transfer a 5th year LB but its in the works and he didnt mention any names...any idea who that might be?



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funkywolve

November 30th, 2015 at 10:56 AM ^

Unless Harbaugh pulls something out of his hat, I'm not expecting much here.  Other people have pointed this out in other threads, but it's probably doubtful you're getting a starting LB to due a grad transfer.  We kind of found a diamond in the rough with Rudock - a QB who had a good amount of starting experience but knew he wasn't going to start in his final year unless he changed schools.  

At best we're probably looking at a back up LB from somewhere doing a grad transfer to UM.  He might be better than some of the options what we have penciled in for next year at LB, but unless he's coming from some place like Bama/FSU, I'm not expecting an earth shattering grad transfer to come in here at LB.

VauntedD

November 30th, 2015 at 10:16 AM ^

It was not only a depleted by injury defensive line. The linebackers couldn't get around blocks and make tackles. All the linebackers graduate and that's good for next year.

SF Wolverine

November 30th, 2015 at 10:34 AM ^

is that this was likely a 4-8 team under Hoke & Co., and probably no better than 7-5 under any one else we could have hired.  Bad news -- we have nothing at RB and LB.  We could solve RB with a recruiting hit, but LB won't be even adequate until 2017. 

Need to get him a 27-28 person class this year, and something pretty close to that the next.  Talent gap exists, but with two robust classes, we could be ready to compete with the truly big boys in 2017. 

If JH can spin another 9-3 with next year's schedule, we will be in great shape.

Don

November 30th, 2015 at 11:14 AM ^

Sam Webb said that Green did not dress for the OSU game, and he directly implied this meant something going forward. I inferred that Green's time with the program might be coming to a close, but I might be misinterpreting what Sam said. I'd have to listen to the podcast to make sure. Given Green's disappearance from the field, it wouldn't be surprising if he transferred.

Don

November 30th, 2015 at 11:36 AM ^

FWIW, Sam specifically said that there is no indication whatsoever right now that Isaac has any intent to transfer, and that he's committed enough to Michigan to have driven down to the Indiana game by himself even though he wasn't on the travel squad. He also said that Isaac had a really strong week of practice in the week leading up to the OSU game, and it seemed like Sam was a bit surprised Isaac didn't get any carries.

I'm surprised Isaac didn't get more carries during the season myself, esp. since nobody else really locked down the RB spot. I suspect that Smith's generally decent blocking may have been a contributing factor.

UMAmaizinBlue

November 30th, 2015 at 11:05 AM ^

Than I was on Saturday. I was upset about the outcome, sure. But I was more upset about the Buckeye fans, once again, taking over our stadium with their chants.

 

I know that winning will help alleviate this (Buckeye fans won't travel as much if they expect a loss and/or have lost to us consistently), but it still pisses me off that fans who held onto their tickets had to suffer through that because others choose to cash in.

 

I know that people have legit excuses at times, but we all know that the practice of trying to recoup some of the cost of the season from one game is common. I don't have a solution, but it makes me sad that UM fans would blindly sell to Buckeye fans when this team needs our support. Don't let the Big House become the Mini Horseshoe.

Hugh

November 30th, 2015 at 11:08 AM ^

I am beginning to think that OSU has put a premium on knocking out quarterbacks. The hit looked like spearing to me. In the replay it looked like Rudock was hit with the crown of the helmet. Spearing has been illegal in the past and should be know as it is dangerous to both the player being hit and to the player doing the hitting. 

It reminded me of the hit that put Mariotta out of the championship game last year. Mariota was lying on the ground when he was pancaked by OSU. In my book, both hits are dirty plays intended to knock out the QB from the game. I respect a hard hit but both hits go way beyond that. 

The Geek

November 30th, 2015 at 11:19 AM ^

Even a normally reserved and respectful Iowa grad stopped by my desk this morning to gloat.

My arch nemesis OSU fan has not been by to troll yet... But he is in the building.

Hrmpf.

Tuebor

November 30th, 2015 at 11:32 AM ^

The most disappointing thing about this season aside from losing to our rivals is the amount of penalties this team has taken.  It seems like every game we get a ton of penalties, some legit calls others not so legit.

CoachBP6

November 30th, 2015 at 11:56 AM ^

I'm not upset at all other than my qualms with Durkin running a 3-3-5 and refusing to adjust or try anything different. The Buckeyes could hardly throw so I'm not sure why we didn't take more chances.

Going forward, I am very excited about recruiting, bowl practices, and the bowl game.



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