Michigan comes back home for a very big game today against state at 4pm CBS. Our backs are against the wall, and the beatdown at East Lansing should have our guys motivated for this one today. In February, we were missing our swagger from the beginning of the year when we went on 20-1 start. The frosh have been playing better at home. Let's keep winning at home and protect it. I have the confidence will get it done today.
Michigan 69
State 64
My prediction
76-69 Michigan.
/haha69
76-69 Michigan.
/haha69
Kittens and snowflakes
Kittens and snowflakes
"All I've had today is, like, six gummy bears and some scotch"
What Massey Says...
Interestingly, Massey is going with a 78% win probability for Michigan and a 68-64-ish performance for an esitimate. Here is a quick comparison using conference play only:
| COMPARISON STATS | |||
| METRIC | Michigan | Michigan St. | |
| Points Per Game | 63.5 | 68.2 | |
| Points Per Poss. | 1.147 | 1.071 | |
| Floor % | 56.49% | 53.54% | |
| Eff. FG% | 54.56% | 51.13% | |
| Opp. Eff. FG% | 48.30% | 42.60% | |
| Off. Rebound% | 31.58% | 32.56% | |
| Rebond Margin | -3.50 | 7.40 | |
| Block% | 4.76% | 6.04% | |
| Turnover% | 15.15% | 18.19% | |
| Assist / Turnover | 1.2 | 1.1 | |
If we can get offensive rebounds and keep control of the ball, I could see something like what Massey went with, but it will not be easy to do without some rather gritty defense down the stretch. Not much of a prediction, but I could see this game as being a few possessions in either direction. It should be a close one. The optimist in me, however, goes 70-67 Michigan.
"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."
Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3
I'm a huge fan of stats, and
I'm a huge fan of stats, and really like analyzing them - but it seems like when they play us you can toss them out the window. I really hope we are geared up for this game mentally.
GET FIRED UP WHOO!
IDK
I don't know man... too much anger, too much lack of perspective. I have always been more partial to the speak softly and carry an armored tank division type speech...
Either that or he could say: who am I? Petey Pie mutha fucka!
jdon
We are the dead.
Nice Petey Pablo reference
But it's Petey Pab... Mutha fucka.
Hopeful
Wonder what those stats are for past seven games, comparatively? Hoping for smart play by the team and a much-needed win. Go Blue!
Pain
Pain
The Team, The Team, The Team.
Staee
67-62. Tight all the way, Nix too much underneath, literally & figuratively.
Ugh.
I have lost faith. 79-63, Bad Guys.
Pain
MSU 82
Michigan 51
We lose.
We lose.
Not guessing a score
I want to see how the team reacts. State will punch them in the mouth; will they punch back or cower in the corner like they did at the Breslin?
We're going to win, but this
We're going to win, but this game is essentially useless. We have already made the tournament, and will probably be a 2 seed.
If you lose this game I can
If you lose this game I can guarantee that you won't be any higher than a 3. Then you still have the Indiana & the BIG tourny. So lose today and you are probably looking at probably 2 more losses.
You Guarantee?
Tommy: Let’s think about this for a sec, Ted. Why would somebody put a guarantee on a box? Hmmm, very interesting.
Ted Nelson, Customer: Go on, I’m listening.
Tommy: Here’s the way I see it, Ted. Guy puts a fancy guarantee on a box ’cause he wants you to feel all warm and toasty inside.
Ted Nelson, Customer: Yeah, makes a man feel good.
Tommy: ‘Course it does. Why shouldn’t it? Ya figure you put that little box under your pillow at night, the Guarantee Fairy might come by and leave a quarter, am I right, Ted?
[chuckles until he sees that Ted is not laughing]
Ted Nelson, Customer: [impatiently] What’s your point?
Tommy: The point is, how do you know the fairy isn’t a crazy glue sniffer? “Building model airplanes” says the little fairy; well, we’re not buying it. He sneaks into your house once, that’s all it takes. The next thing you know, there’s money missing off the dresser, and your daughter’s knocked up. I seen it a hundred times.
Ted Nelson, Customer: But why do they put a guarantee on the box?
Tommy: Because they know all they sold ya was a guaranteed piece of shi*. That’s all it is, isn’t it? Hey, if you want me to take a dump in a box and mark it guaranteed, I will. I got spare time. But for now, for your customer’s sake, for your daughter’s sake, ya might wanna think about buying a quality product from me.
phork
you
.
yes
.
L.S.A. '88
No troll intended, facts of life Tooty.
Umm... If we don't beat at
Umm... If we don't beat at least one of MSU or IU, then we aren't going to be a 2 seed. Lunardi has us as a 3 seed right now.
So you're basically agreeing
So you're basically agreeing with me?
Worst case scenario, we're a 3 seed in the tourney. I can't even fathom how horrible it would be to be a 3 seed instead of a 2 seed. We might as well just stay home if we get that 3 slot instead of 2.
I'd rather not play on
I'd rather not play on Thursday of the Big Ten Tournament but that's just me
I got the shotgun. You got the briefcase. It's all in the game though, right?
Do not listen to Lundardi.
Do not listen to Lundardi. His bracket sucks. Half of the time it does't even follow the bracketing rules the committee uses.
Yeah but he's got a pretty
Yeah but he's got a pretty good record. Look at his final brackets compared to the actual brackets.
If you spell Crisler like the car company you should hand in your fan card before the next meeting.... Same goes for Ferry Field
Him and Palm have a habit of
Him and Palm have a habit of making some suspicious last second changes to their brackets. Yahoosports' big board to me looks pretty accurate and its also easy to read. Lunardi yesterday had the Vols moving into the bracket after an awful loss to Georgia. That is not in any way logical. He has Alabama as the first team out. No way that is correct. The committee over the years has made it clear with the Pac12 that major conferences teams with nice records, but no good wins and alot of bad losses will not get the benefit of the doubt.
Nothing
Nothing in the past month to suggest that we will play good basketball against a good physical defense. I hope we have a little pride and stand up for ourselves, but I dont see how that will happen all of a sudden. State wins by 10, disgust
*
A wide range of outcomes, some desirable and some not, are within the range of probability.
Most likely though and either way I will likely be at Comcast tomorrow picking up a new remote.
"That's some catch, that Catch-22," he observed.
"It's the best there is," Doc Daneeka agreed.
Agreed
This team is guilty against physical teams until proven innocent. Hate to say it, but I agree with the prediction, although I think it'll be a single digit loss.
Hoping we can pull one off,
Hoping we can pull one off, but the way we've been playing lately doesn't bode well. I just don't see us holding up against their big men and against their tight defense. If we can limit turnovers and hit some outside shots, we'll have a good chance, but it'll be tight. If we don't, we could be in for a long afternoon.
78-67
MSU
That's basically exactly what
That's basically exactly what I was going to put:
MSU 80
Mich 68
It pains me to think so, of course. But hey, we still have a great university right? And spring's coming up.
STAEE by a couch and a half.
STAEE by a couch and a half.
McGary Rise Up!
Mich 81
Lil Brah 77
Im not looking forward to
Im not looking forward to this game as much as I would of before Penn State.It could be tough at home to win.You can never go against the home team so Ill say 70-65.
"Are you an official here?Because you've officially given me a boner."
Can We Use This As A Drinking Thread Too, Please?
It's barely 9 in the a.m. in MN and the interwebs are causing my PC to heave to and fro like the TV in Poltergeist. Dunno if we will win or lose, but let the cliches fly.
It's a gut check game.
This is where the rubber meets the road (or court)
and my all-time favorite:
"If at first you don't succeed, keep on sucking 'til you do suck seed." (Sylvester T. Cat)
Prediction: Kittens 62 Snowlakes 59
L.S.A. '88
75-63 bad guys. and lots of
75-63 bad guys. and lots of excited brahs yelling on the way out of crisler.
Anger
85-71 MSU
After the last half dozen games...
Score doesn't matter. M loses by 12
Let's Go Blue!
I think it will be a close
I think it will be a close game till the end with either team having a chance to win. I am picking 67-62 win for Michigan because of the home court.
That being said, I think that it is very unlikely that we lose by double digits at Crisler as some have suggested. But, if any of you think that might be the case you could win a lot of money to soften the gut-punch of a Michigan loss (most places have us as a 4 point favorite).
I predict I will take my son
I predict I will take my son to the museum because it will be less painful to watch.
i predict
i predict izzo will stomp, whine, cry, scream, and a range of other things designed to get the most out of the refs.
also, michigan will win, by a bucket or two.
I am not really Coach Schiano. -Coach Schiano on Mgoblog
Today we find out what kind of a team we have
and if we have potential for a tournament run.
"I hate losing more than I like winning." - Zack
No faith
From the fanbase ...Sparty in our heads? Hopefully not in the heads of our young, soft team of 3-point shooter. And MaizeRage is on Spring Break???
Those who commit will be Champions!
Good guys 68-65
Good guys 68-65
"I think Hoke has changed the tide on the rivalry. Hell people in Ohio are starting to believe him. Never in a million years I would have thought that. Selling Michigan jerseys is a good start."
M shuts up the faithless loser-doubters,
79-73.
This Time When Nix Tells Trey Burke..
This time when Nix tells Trey Burke, "you're soft", Burke retorts, "that's not what your girl said".
Michigan gives 100% for 40 minutes and discovers the antidote to soft play. Michigan 78, State 70.
“Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win" -Sun Tzu, Art of War
If Trey's smart he wouldn't touch Nix's GF
with anyone's thang.
Da Bears, 432 to 6.
Da Bears, 432 to 6.
Seriously?
Have we not learned about creating bad juju?
ALWAYS remember the golden rule: He who has the gold, makes the rules
State by 7
78-71. Unless Michigan throws in some new wrinkles and plays an effective zone. McGary has to be the X Factor. I hope he plays more than 8 minutes like he did in Happy Valley.
You Get Nothing MSU. You Lose, Good Day Sir!
I predict there isnt a person
I predict there isnt a person alive who has a clue what we're going to see in five hours. This team has played fantastic at home (but the students are on home break). Has recently enjoyed success against MSU (but got curb-stomped by them 10 days ago). Was rated 4th in the country then managed to blow a 15 point second half lead to a winless team in the B1G.
I doublt even Coach Beilein knows what's coming next. If you told me we were going to win by 20 I wouldnt be surprised (the team is that good when it wants to be). If you told me we lost by 20 I wouldn't be surprised (the team can play that soft).
I have no fucking idea. Truly none.
Michigan _______
Michigan State______
EDIT: Did Fearless Leader post a prediction? If so I missed it.
Michigan 72
East Lansing - 68 couches