Noon BTN
Finally back at home on throwback day. A lot of former players will be in the house today. Burke and THJ will lead us to the win this afternoon. I will predict that GR3 will throw down a nice slam today. J Morgan will play more today and really need him healthy for the bottom of the stretch.
Michigan 78
Penn St 57
Gr3
47-21 at the half
After that, it depends if Beilein sets up a competition in the 2nd half among players for playing time.
I hope they come out and play ridiculous defense.
Take no prisoners and get their minds right.
64-51
Michigan. We'll be up by over 20 in the first half, but frequent substitutions and a lack of urgency will whittle the margin down a bit in the second half.
Eh
72-50
Pennsylvania is the California of the East
M wins by less than 15, I
M wins by less than 15, I read the thread and get pissed off at the unacceptable crowd.
Harvard: The MICHIGAN of the East
We're not arrogant, we're just better.
74-58 M
74-58 M
Some Numbers...
Massy is going with a 99% win probability for Michigan and a predicted margin of thirty points, and the line for this game has typically sat near 20 points at most sites, I believe. This would be a statistical way of saying "pain", I would assume.
Here is a summary comparison with just in-conference games factored in:
| Offensive Stat Comparison | ||
|
|
Penn St. | Michigan |
| Points/Game | 56.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Score Margin | -12.5 | 7.9 |
| Assists/Game | 9.3 | 14.8 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 33.6 | 34.6 |
| Effective FG % | 39.8% | 54.2% |
| Off Rebound % | 29.1% | 31.9% |
|
Defensive Stat Comparison
|
||
|
|
Penn St. | Michigan |
| Opp Points/Game | 67.3 | 61.0 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.1% | 49.5% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 10.9 | 10.4 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 22.7 | 24.2 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Steals/Game | 4.9 | 6.2 |
I don't foresee too much difficulty here, given the predictive stats myself. I would say that we stand a good chance of winning comfortably against Penn State in our own house. I'll go with Michigan in a 76-56-ish performance.
"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."
Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3
85-53
Another one of our statements days... The boys have had five days to rest, and they need to take out some pent up frustration. Go Blue.
2013 will be the year.
At least 3 alley-oops
occur. Swag also happens for the first time in a few games
74-52. Close early, then
74-52. Close early, then Michigan puts the hammer down at about the 10-minute mark of the 1st half. Next thing you know, we're up 15 late in the first half, and the drama is done for the afternoon.
Also
Mcgary will have a big day he has been improving against great competition. He will use what he's learned the past couple weeks and have a break out game against poor competition.
65-60 UM doesn't look good
65-60 UM doesn't look good again. You can tell the guys are getting tired as the season goes on and I think it shows again today.
I agree
That they have looked tired but their young kids and they finally got a little time off I do not think that will be an issue.
Or
They're
Grammar 5-0
Grammar 5-0
I got the shotgun. You got the briefcase. It's all in the game though, right?
Also
Needs at least one comma...
*I just can't help myself sometimes. Grammar and punctuation are what make our language readable. Without them it's just a jumble of words. Our schools are failing us on the most basic level here. As Brian likes to say; "Cumong man".
not just "douchey" MGoBlog user, but now TRUSTED MGoBlog user
You really think Michigan will miss expectations by 20 points?
Go to Kenpom and read some of the names of the schools ranked similarly to Penn State.
Elon, Rider, High Point, Bryant, Lafayette, UC Davis, Wagner, Gardner Webb.
You're entitled to your opinion, but do you actually think Michigan is going to only beat some of those schools by 5 at home? Because Penn State is just about as bad as they are.
All I will say is upsets, no
All I will say is upsets, no mater how big, have happened. Obviously I hope I'm completely wrong and UM blows then out but I just think a young tired team will come in dogging it trying too not put much energy into this game because of how bad State is. You can say "oh Belien won't allow it". But they are young, and young people do what young people want to do.
oops
good thing PSU is as bad as they are.
We win big,
PSU couldn't come at a better time. GRIII and McGary have big games and we cruise to a 25 point win..... 72-47.
I think it will be close for
I think it will be close for the first 10 minutes, but the floodgates will burst open after that. They've had 5 days off, they're at home, and its against a school that's winless in B1G competition. If they win by any less than 20, today is a disappointment. No excuses today. But, I don't think that will happen.
91-60 UM
It's been a lot. Its been a roller coaster that for some reason seemed like it would never get good. But you know what? We kept fighting. It's like that old saying goes, "Those Who Stay Will Be Champions." -David Molk
Michigan wins 81-62
Michigan wins 81-62
"Fortune leaves always some door open."
I took Michigan -22...
thinking Kenpom is at -25 and it's a gimme bet. Also took over 131. But then I read some of these comments and I hedged it with a parlay of PSU +21.5 and the under. My gut feeling is Michigan barely covers the 22 point spread with a garbage time field goal with less than a minute to go. Who the hell knows about the O/U?
Hoke bitches...Hoke.
Michigan won
and that's the important thing.
Hoke bitches...Hoke.
Michigan PSU prediction
Option A. UM blows out PSU early and cruises in the 2nd half. UM 80, PSU 55.
Option B. UM comes out flat. PSU hangs around. UM gets down to business in the 2nd half and pulls away. UM 80, PSU 55.
Option C. Treat Options A and B as discrete quantum states and Option C is a superposition of A and B with the outcome of UM 80 PSU 55.
Any other deviation from a UM blowout would be a violation of the laws of physics and I would have to dump the standard model to explain such a violation. But kids seem to not want to follow rules which is what makes college sports so fun. Let us hope for at least one day that the magic that is college sports does not happen and reality stays the course for one day.
Prediction?
Pain.
(for PSU, obviously)
We reach 100 points.
We reach 100 points.
"This is Michigan for God sakes" -Brady Hoke
Hopefully, this is an easy
Hopefully, this is an easy game.
Michigan 87
PSU 51
This team is incredibly
This team is incredibly consistent in how inconsistent they play. So, that being said, we get slightly concerned in the first 10 minutes of the 1st half as we volley the lead back and forth with PSU for a while. We eventually wake up and end the 1st half up by 11. We continue that dominance in the 2nd half until we're up by 26 with 7 mins left. By that time, we cool down and start emptying the bench and end the game with a 74-59 victory.
Puts up 20 because it's at home against Penn state. Gotta get him going on the road.