|National Rank||Yds/Pts Per Game||National Rank||Yds/Pts Per Game|
|Rushing Offense||3||324.4||Rushing Defense||20||101.2|
|Passing Offense||38||240.6||Pass Defense||78||227.4|
|Total Offense||2||565||Total Defense||41||328.6|
|Scoring Offense||9||41.4||Scoring Defense||36||18.6|
|Rushing Defense||37||125.8||Rushing Offense||20||220.2|
|Pass Efficiency Defense||79||129.47||Passing Efficiency||12||166.09|
|Total Defense||102||433.6||Total Offense||23||460.6|
|Scoring Defense||73||25.4||Scoring Offense||24||36.2|
|Net Punting||88||34||Net Punting||35||38.05|
|Kickoff Returns||104||18.72||Kickoff Returns||66||21.31|
|Turnover Margin||T-15||0.8||Turnover Margin||T-43||0.4|
|Pass Defense||120||307.8||Passing Offense||39||240.4|
|Passing Efficiency||4||181.29||Pass Efficiency Defense||29||110.68|
|Tackles For Loss||T-61||6||Tackles For Loss||103||4.2|
|Red Zone Efficiency||6||6.48||Red Zone Defense||54||4.93|
|Red Zone Defense||71||5.26||Red Zone Efficiency||49||5.35|
Let me start by saying all the stats above can be found here:
I'm not going to pretend I'm an expert on the metrics and their relationship to the outcome of this game but I will make a few quick observations and let everyone else draw whatever conclusions they choose.
1. Looks to be the classic coin flip game, it's basically strength against strength and weakness against weakness.
2. The second number in the red zone effeciency categories is simply the total number of points scored devided by the number of opportunities. The national ranking however is based on a flat conversion ratio. These numbers jumped out at me more than any others.
3. I'm sure there are all sorts of metrics that I could have added/included/weighted, I didn't, this is meant to be quick and dirty.
4. According to the numbers, and this game looks to be about execution.
In my opinion if we win the turnover battle, finish with TD's in the red zone and can tie on hidden yardage (penalty yardage + return yardage) we should win this game.
P.S. A warning to those pining for old school big ten football this should be another barn burner. Then again, as with the rest of this post, I'm not saying anything most people didn't already know.