In other words, I like our odds.
In other words, I like our odds.
This may be a stretch but M has played very well in games 2 and 4 of this tournament. Second game of each weekend. Maybe that bodes well for game 6 Monday night?
I've been expecting them to lose since VCU so I have no idea what to expect anymore. Just enjoying the ride.
My initial and ongoing thought is it sucks living in Shanghai for this game. Tip is at 9:20 AM on Tuesday and there is no way I can miss work. I can block out a portion of game time and sling box it in my office. I have a very important meeting about the time there will be 10 minutes left in regulation. There is a good lesson about priorities somewhere in here but I can't find it.
Sunday (today) was a regular work day in China as determined by the government but I was able to watch the game and go in to work late. It was hard to remain focused. Great win!
This is a game Michigan can win. Louisville looked vulnerable in their game and were lucky to win. Michigan can beat anyone when everyone is on their game.
The most startling fact was that Burke and Stauskus had bad nights, and Michigan still won. Michigan is the definition of teamwork. Other players pick up the slack, take care of business, and help win the game. And that's something Syracuse couldn't do effectively last night.
We'll see what happens, but Michigan certainly has a strong chance to win the title.
...courtesy of TeamRankings:
|Avg Score Margin||+11.7||+15.9|
|Effective FG %||54.4%||50.5%|
|Off Rebound %||30.2%||37.6%|
|Opp Effective FG %||47.9%||44.4%|
Even though Massey's site gives us only a 23% probability to beat Louisville, I do like our chances as well based on some of these numbers above. If we can play as we have and get some of the great rebounding that we've seen in the last few games as well as defense like last night, then I think we are in a good position to be riding high on Tuesday morning. In any case, this will likely be a very uptempo game and very exciting to boot.
Be aggressive early and get Siva and Russ in foul trouble they don't have any good guard subs that have the quality of defense those two play. McGary has to be extra active Dang is a great athlete and plays very well away from the ball. Dang is an underrated shot blocker. Inside behanan and blackshear aren't the tallest guys but are strong and physical it will be a tough matchup strength wise for GR3 but at least these guys are his height. Burke has to make Siva's life or smiths life tough. The harder they have to work on offensive end the more grind it will have on them and their pressure. Lastly Hankcock don't jump when he attempts to shoot delay the jump because he will get you in the air and jump into you and draw the foul. He's very much like Nik. THJ should have a size advantage all game he should be able to get his shot with ease. They're offense is like ours flat ball screens. I like the matchup.
I had this matchup picked in my bracket solely on potential. When we are on and playing go our potential, we win. Scary thing is that we haven't seen a game yet this tourney where everyone is really on. Versus Syracuse it didn't seem like anyone was on. We just did enough to win.
Louisville is a much better matchup for us. Their guards are a more manageable size for Burke. With that being said, early in the game he needs to drive the lane and dish to the shooters. Or pick and roll game with McGary. Get Dieng with a couple fouls and it opens the lane up for us. Defensively, we need to lock down Smith. Their other shooters aren't as scary as he is. Smith ja their Fair. That being said, I think Michigan wins fairly easy. 79-68
I expect many of the analysts to once again pick Louisivlle to win, and once again Michigan will overcome all the odds to bring home the National Championship. What Sayeth THE_KNWOLEDGE!!?
and Lord help me if they win. Please, please, please, please, please, people don't act the fool if they should win. Hell, don't act the fool no matter what happens!
My initial thoughts are: Lagunitas IPAs, Ernie's the best pizza in N. Denver, a couple buddies at my house. I might take the day off tomorrow, maybe Tuesday as well.
Spend some time today making FREE THROWS. Yikes.
Hardaway is key for this matchup. If we can post him up against the 5'2 110 pound smith and draw fouls. It would take smith out of the game which kills them on offense and defense.
Smith is a round Mugsy Bogues
What a special year for this team. I can't stop thinking about how great this is for recruiting in all Michigan sports! No matter the outcome, this is a BIG win. Go Blue!!! One more time to enjoy this amazing team that will forever be remembered...
...this could be YOU!
I am going to add on to what "GREAT" mentioned as I agree Ware not in the rotation will be big. This is a quick turnaround game. Both teams get only 48 hours of rest. Thus fatigue is going to be a factor like the Florida game. Ware was the 1st guard off the bench and reason why Silva/Smith averaged only 30 minutes a game. Both averaged 35 in the WSU win. If Louisville presses, they will expend a lot more energy then Michigan. The press is not really useful if the defenders are tired or slower.
If Louisville presses with Silva/Smith playing 35 minutes I believe it will not be sustainable as they will get tired faster. They will tire because they are forced to play more minutes and they are tired from Saturdays game. If Louisville chooses to press with Silva/Smith getting less rest, it will not be as effective as the other G/F's or Henderson are not going to be as effective.
My prediction is Pitino will attempt to pick & choose when he presses to attempt to generate a point run. I believe he knows that on short rest an all out full court press will exaust his team. Without the constant pressing, Louisville is not the same threat. They are pretty average in scoring out of the half court offense. When we are in our half court offene one of the munchkins will have to guard one of our 6 foot 6 shooters. I am not going to predict a Michigan win as lots of varience in tournament ball with the clash of conference styles. But I think we have a pretty good chance of winning. Michigan plays a style of ball where their starters can stay in for 35+ minutes a game.
Ware was also the reason they started in zone, they wanted to protect their guards from foul trouble.
We have to attack and Burke is GREAT about drawing fouls when you pressure him (even though he fouls just as much, just gets away with it).
The only small guard that has been able to stay on the floor with Burke is Craft. L'ville doesn't have Craft.
Can we really expect U of L, like Syracuse, to go 3 for 14 (21%) from 3-point land? Syracuse is not comprised of great shooters, but they gave M a great assist by shooting so poorly from outside. This woeful performance helped to offset a similarly bad (i.e, nonexistent) shooting night by Mr. Stauskas. We need Nick against U of L.
But during the tournament Nick's shooting woes seem to have occured every other game. My recollection is that he was off against KU, caught fire against FL, then was off again against 'Cuse. He's due on Monday night.
This dude has been our X factor and it isn't a stretch to expect at least a double double along with 2 blocks and two steals. He changes us from a good team to a great team. Dude is the truth, son.