Iowa hangs for a little more than a quarter, but then is unable to keep pace offensively and their defense wears out.
Iowa hangs for a little more than a quarter, but then is unable to keep pace offensively and their defense wears out.
We should wait for the KNOWLEGE to tell us what the score WAS.
UM 34, Iowa 20.
Saragin has UM as about a 14 point win, home field adjusted
Even prior to Iowa's loss last week, Saragin had Michigan as a 6 point win
Iowa has been a much stronger team at home, but they do have one of the worst pass defenses in the Big 10, and as a post on MGoBlog said ... what's their best win? At Pitt?
I think Denard is relatively effective, limits mistakes, and our defense holds Iowa's running game under 175 yds.
Pitt played Iowa in Iowa City.
I am believing in our ability to hold the opposition to less than 20 points, and the Iowa defense seems very vulnerable. I think the 35-17 seems about right.
M = high 30s
Iowa = high teens
And another Fitz field day
Pain. For Iowa.
Michigan 48- Iowa 17
Denard has a clean game, there is much rejoicing
Mitch McGary 31, Iowa 28.
Think his post defense and up-tempo style make the difference.
Ditka - 1 bagillion
Hawkeyes - negative 12
M 28 - Iowa 20. Comfortable win, Iowa scores a touchdown in the last couple minutes.
I'm saving my prediction for THE_KNOWLEDGE. Your thread doesn't come with the opportunity for recognition.
Is Iowa better than Purdue? Purdue played PSU closer (at least as close) and Iowa has losses to ISU and Minnesota. This one's on the road so it's a little different, but I think we win by two TDs minimum, probably closer to three.
is ND better than UM? ND handled MSU but UM lost to MSU so I guess UM should have lost to ND.
Kansas St beat Texas Tech by 7, and Oklahoma beat Kansas St by 41 so Oklahoma should beat Texas Tech, right? Oklahoma lost to Texas Tech.
Wake Forst beat Duke by 1. Florida St beat Duke by 25 should Florida St should beat Wake. Florida St lost to Walke Forest.
Oklahoma beat Kansas by 30. Texas beat Kansas by 43 so OU vs Texas should be fairly competitive. Oklahoma beat Texas by 38.
I'm not sure what your point is. The better team doesn't win every time, but most of the time they do. I wasn't asking who would win one game between Purdue and Iowa, I was comparing the resumes of those two in thinking how we would fare against him.
On any given Saturday, most games could go either way, but most of the time there is an expected outcome. If we say that Iowa is comparable to Purdue, and that we're much better than Purdue, it's a decent way to predict us as a winner on Saturday. Don't tell me Iowa will beat Michigan just because Texas Tech beat Oklahoma.
this year. This week I will call it Michigan 28 Iowa 14.
Just looked at the forecast, and we're looking at wind here in Iowa City. I'm thinking we keep the ball on the ground (16 pass attempts max), wear down the Hawks and come away with a 28-17 win.
/see you in section 136 (endzone - Michigan side of field)
At least it will be warm, about 60, and let's hope we don't see another trash tornado.
Michigan 31 Iowa 16. Boom.
And 8 renditions of The Victors from the Blarney Stone at 9 am.
Like the last two years, I predict a lot of stress for everyone watching (UM and Iowa fans); however, unlike the last two years, I predict elation at the end of regulation for UM fans.
Floyd interception with under 2 minutes left as Martin and Roh chase VanderHawkeye out of the pocket.
A swift kick to the chops to Iowa
Michigan - 35
Iowa - 21
31-20 Michigan. Iowa has a 2nd half lead but Michigan wears them down and wins going away in the 4th Quarter.
Yes, definitely Mitch McGary.
Right now, I feel like that scene in Being John Malkovich where he goes thru his own tunnel and ends up in a restuarant (Malkovich....Malkovich? Malkovich!); except it is all going "Mitch McGary"
I'll make roughly the same prediction I made for MSU. I think it will be within 1 TD at some point in the 4th quarter and then the winning team will score again to put the game away. The difference is that I didn't know who would be the winning team, however, this time I am predicting it will be Michigan.
Iowa is at about the same level as San Diego State, Northwestern, and Purdue. Our offense has shown that it can shred bad defenses. Iowa's offense can do some damage, but they will probably need to be at least +2 on turnovers to hang with us.
why does everyone think Iowa is going to score so many points? they just got beat by a team we blanked....
Losing to Minnesota was a disaster, and it is no reflection of the "real" 2011 Hawkeyes. McNutt is a very dangerous receiver, and now with McCall back (broke ankle in first game of season), Coker will have an able back-up to spell him. My opinion is that Iowa's defense is not as good as it has been the past 4 or so years, but Vandenberg can kill you. It's all on our d-line to play great tomorrow, and we need to win the turnover and special teams battles.
road Iowa<<<<<<home Iowa
and road UM<<home UM
Still, I think Michigan should win this one. If you look at how many points they have given up, its hard to see their defense stopping us unless we commit a bunch of turnovers.
They gained a gazilion yards (446) against them and their running back is the second leading rusher in the country and their top wide receiver is the second leader receiver in the country. If they can finish in the red zone, this team can put up points. Not saying they will, but you can see why people give them credit.
The shutout of Minnesota is a relation between Michigan's defense and Minnesota's offense. The only valid comparison to be made based on that would be Iowa's defense to Michigan's defense. What you really need to do is to compare Iowa's offense to Michigan's defense, which is not possible by going through a set of games unless that set of games is odd (direct comparison or Michigan beat Minnesota, who beat Iowa, who beat Northwestern).
Now, to answer your question more directly, Iowa's 3 losses have come on the road and they've scored 24, 21, and 3 points in regulation in those games. At home, Iowa is 5-0 and has scored 45, 45, 41, 34, and 31 points. Looking into those numbers, they've only scored fewer than 21 points once. The 3 points came against PSU, who has the best defense in the conference. Unless you think that Michigan's defense is comparable to PSU's, Iowa is probably going to score more than 10 points.
I'm not sure if we will totally be able to stop Coker. Also Vandenburg or whatever his name is has the 2nd highest passer rating in the B1G right now. If we can't get to him, it might be a long day because he is very accurate.
This is a tough one. Coker is a tough RB, and if we give their QB time, he could pick us apart. I feel like I sound like Hoke, but this game is going to be won up front for us. Can our DL and LBs contain Coker in the running game? Can our DL get enough pressure on passing downs?
I'm going to say 24-21, Meeeechigan.
Its going to be way closer than most of you guys think. Michigan by 3.
Michigan 38, Iowa 24
It's only close at kickoff.
This game will go a lot like the Northwestern game. I think Iowa will keep it close early, but eventually, Michigan will bust it open with a few running plays. The big difference between this Iowa team and last year's Iowa team is their inability to stop the run and get pressure on the quarterback, forcing mistakes. Their newfound weakness plays into Michigan's strengths. I think Denard and Fitz have big days.
On the defensive side of the ball, the key will be to stopping Coker and McNutt. I would probably look for double coverage on McNutt and crowd the line of scrimmage to stop Coker. This team is stoppable. Minnesota with their division 3 tackling stopped Iowa last week and it resulted in a couple missed field goals. Michigan's defense can put a much stronger push on them.
Michigan 42, Iowa 20.
I guess I'm the only one who thinks Iowa will be pissed about their loss to Minny. I think they will come out on fire. I'm not sure if we will be able to keep up in the first half. Second half we will improve, but my prediction is 24-14 Iowa.
Not saying this definitely means we win, but Iowa has a passing offense giving up 239ypg, which for comparison is one yard more then Northwestern, and 34 more than Purdue. Their rush defense is giving up six yards per game less than Purdue, and their scoring defense is ranked behind Purdue, Notre Dame and MSU, which we averaged 28.3ppg against. Iowa has not shown they can stop an offense like ours. Fourteen points would be an embarrassment against their below average defense.
So was our sixteen point production an embarassment?
Michigan takes it home 31-20. A late TD by Iowa will make it appear closer than it was.
Just because they lost to Minn doesn't mean this is a cakewalk for us.... or does it?
USC beat Minn by 2 points, losing to Stanford in triple overtime.
So, if Lou Holtz logic applies, we beat Minnesota by 58, who lost to USC by 2. USC trounced ND by 14, who beat pitt by 3 and Iowa beat Pitt by 4. If Lou Holtz' calculations are correct, we should beat Iowa by 69 points. (58 - 2 + 14 +3 - 4)
In all seriousness, I think this is one of the closer games we have this year. If Denard shows up in the passing game we'll blow them out of the water, but if their defense is strong, I think we win 27-23.
Another thing ot worry about, our OL depth this week in particular. Barnum and Lewan aren't 100%.
I expect our D to be tested by a top back & receiver combo, and a QB who doesn't throw INT's much even though he only throws to that one receiver. Eventually, though, their D wears down trying to keep up with DRob & Fitz. UM wins as long as they keep turnover ratio no worse than -1. Score: 34-27. Go Blue!
Safety in the first, Iowa field goal before the half, and we get a field goal in the 3rd.
we are SO not penn state. 5-3 will not happen.
I think ppl are overrating the Iowa-minny game way too much. I don't expect Iowa to look that bad again, especially at home.
37-20 They move the ball on us but can't finish and we pull the starters at the beginning of the 4th!
Iowa hasn't lost by more than a touchdown at home since 2007... which was incidently the same year in which Iowa last lost to Iowa State. But Michigan seems to always have trouble with big running backs. When was the last time we held even an average B1G team under 100yards rushing (MN, Purdue, NW don't count)? Its been a while. I say Coker goes for at least a 120. Hopefully Denard took his good arm to Iowa City because Iowa's cover 2 has halted our last two comebacks in 2010 and 2009. I'd say the wind will be in Iowa's favor. I expect a close game. The X factor is gonna be Vandenberg. 27-24 Michigan.
Dog Groomers 35
what happened to the knowledge? thats 2 games now without his post
Mich - 34
Iowa - 21
If kovacs can play, should be an easy win, otherwise we might be in trouble until late four quarter.
1) Martin rearranges Vandenhenneberg's face with 2 sacks, all without even removing his helmet.
2) Lewan gets removed from the game, but not because of injury or being hotheaded. Instead it will be revealed that, fearing for their lives, the Iowa linemen had collectively filed restraining orders on Lewan and they will come into effect Saturday morning.
3) The Iowa fanbase attempts to enrage and distract Borges by chanting "Bubble Screen". It doesn't work, and only serves to put everyone in attendance on Borges Sr.'s shitlist.
4) Ferentz pulls a Zook and punts on 3rd down from the Michigan 12 yard line thinking that they're winning 75 - 3 and he should give Michigan some garbage time experience. It will also be the first drive of the game.
5) Hoke points at the walls in the locker room and they explode into electric Maize and Blue colors.
6) After losing to Michigan, Ferentz states that at least it wasn't for an ugly trophy of a pig. The Hawkeye faithful then proceed to tar and feather Saint Kirk.
looking at a more lopsided win are the ones who will be right this time. I think for the first time all year we play a game where the offense and defense play well the entire game. I think going in to halftime it is already over. I am saying UM 42 Iowa 10.
I don't think IA will score more than 20 points on us. Only way we could lose is if the offense plays as poorly as it did against MSU and IA defense can get several turnovers. I don't think it will happen but being a road game the offense will make some mistakes but not enough to cause us to lose.
Michigan 31 Iowa 17
Only way I can see this being close is if we start turning it over. Otherwise we should win by three TDs - two if they score late in garbage time. 38-17.
Michigan has played 8 quarters of football on the road this year, and played poorly in 6 of them. Iowa is a big, physical team, and I'm not yet convinced we're at the point where we can deal effectively with that, especially on the road. The fact that Kovacs, Lewan, and Barnum are not 100% doesn't help things, nor does the fact that DR and DG still turn the ball over at alarming rates.
level-headed posters on MGoBlog. I might agree with you except Iowa hasn't looked good at all this year, even struggling at home. I have a lot of respect for Iowa, but this is also the weakest Iowa D in YEARS.
I have a lot of faith in this Michigan defense under Mattison. Michigan 34, Iowa 24.
Off-the-wall prediction: Gardner catches a TD from Denard.
I'm also going to take a deep interest in the LSU BAMA game, I want to see how good Bama is and also hoping and praying they lose a lot of players to the NFL so our opener next season is that much easier.
I still think this Michigan team is just better wired for adversity than any of the Rodriguez-era squads, so I'll say Michigan 38, Iowa 21. If we can get through this week and Illinois without a loss, I really feel like this could be a special season, not just a return to form...
Everyone is putting waayyyyyy too much weight on last weeks MN loss. A terrible MN team beat a decent Iowa team in 2010. For whatever reason, MN plays Iowa tough. As does Northwestern (Idk why, but Northwestern has a knack for beating Iowa at Iowa City). Iowa's cover 2 D has a similar mentality as our D... bend but don't break. They are willing to give up some underneath stuff, but they don't seem to give up the big play often. I don't see the deep jumpball working this week which in the past few months has significantly moved the momentum in our favor. IMO, a 14 point win isn't realistic. If we win this game, it won't be by more than a score.
Is wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy too much weight more than way too much weight?
In fact, his post has a street value of about $900.
The deep ball might not be there, but I can see our WR being open in between the corner and the safety. Just go read this weeks FFFF.
Both teams are going to be able to move the ball on the ground.
I think Marcus Coker has another big day rushing the football vs. Michigan's defense, but VandenHenneThreetSheridammit is going to have some serious issues man.
It'll be a satisfying win for Michigan, but the sad bit is that Michigan's offense is going to closely resemble this statuesque, run-run-pass-punt Vanhindenburg business in about 3 years. And half of UM's football fans are actually looking forward to that. Unbelievable.
"...but the sad bit is that Michigan's offense is going to closely resemble this statuesque, run-run-pass-punt Vanhindenburg business in about 3 years. And half of UM's football fans are actually looking forward to that. Unbelievable."
I don't understand why you would think this. If anything, Borges has shown an inclination to be too experimental (such as throwing a lot in the wind against MSU instead of running it more).
I'm reading Three and Out right now and the Ghost of Football Past is haunting me. I say Iowa, 24 - 21.
Sorry, make that Michigan 30-24. I'm still so geeked about yesterday, I have to get back to football mode.
Iowa takes the lead at halftime 17-7. Our offense has a couple WTF moments.
Super special awesome halftime adjustment.exe
Michigan wins 27-20.
Why do I feel like this is going to be a trap game?
Prediction: Pink locker room is the difference maker... 28 -17 Iowa.
/irrational fear of losing.
UM 23 Iowa 21, but 13 rebounds for McGary
MICHIGAN - 30
IOWA - Anything less than 30
Get a win, and get out
I am not going to post a prediction at all.
I am really concerned about this game. I am concerned that Iowa is way better than we think. I am concerned that Minnesota with Marquis Gray is a lot different than Minnesota without him. I am also afraid that Penn State is a lot better than we think. This combination of beliefs is making me scared to look at my TV between noon and 4:00 tommorow. God, I really hope that my fear is misguided.
Why does it feel like I'm rereading the SDSU thread. Big RB or not Michigan defense is playing dare i say well. Iowa is a bad football team, albeit at home. Maize and Blue win by 15+. Book it
In a hostile environment..But I hope you're right
Save that for next week.
I live here in Iowa, all my friends and fiance are Iowa fans...id love nothing more than to steam roll them. I've heard about our last few losses to them nonstop.
I think Vandenberg is a good qb and if we lose he's why. He has the ability to pick apart defenses if given time.
Their defense is much much worse than previous Iowa defenses. They really don't have that one big play maker. Steele Jantz (Iowa State QB) gave them fits all day. They usually struggle against dual threat QBs. DR could really have a huge day. Their defense lacks speed and for the most part talent.
My prediction UM- 34 UI- 10 but I also wouldn't be suprised to see a 3 point game. We should pound them, but Iowa is strangely good at home. I think Michigans speed plays the killer.
At hawkeyenation.com a hawk fan is guaranteeing we win by 40+ lol he's completely serious. His prediction UM-61 UI-9
Breakdown by team.
Total Offense vs Total Defense
Offense - Michigan 441.2 YPG (24) - Iowa 403.9 YPG (53)
Defense - Michigan 332.9 YPG (21) - Iowa 417.4 YPG (72)
Rush Offense vs Rush Defense
Offense - Michigan 245.4 YPG (10) - Iowa 160.7 YPG (53)
Defense - Michigan 138.2 YPG (42) - Iowa 167 YPG (64)
Pass Offense vs Pass Defense
Offense - Michigan 195.9 YPG (87) - Iowa 243.1 YPG (50)
Defense - Michigan 194.6 YPG (19) - Iowa 250.4 YPG (84)
Obviously Michigan's glaring problem is passing offense while the rushing offense remains the staple. Defensively I think that Michigan has exceeded fan expectations. 42nd in rushing defense and 19th (!) in pass defense far surpasses my expectations. However, Michigan's offense has given me ulcers not reflective of their 7-1 record. Another big scary is that the 3 losses for Iowa only total a 14 point deficit. 10 of those were at Penn State! So even with their mind boggling loss to Minnesota, you have to be nervous about this game. It should also be noted that Iowa is 5-0 at home and 0-3 on the road! This is why the line has dropped down to as low as 3-1/2 points, when the statistics far favor Michigan. Iowa is capable of a win, but they will need help from Michigan to get it (turnovers). We are clearly the best team on paper and should win by double digits. Which Denard shows up tomorrow will be the key.
Evil Denard and Tacopants stay home and Mike Martin has a glorious day
Michigan 37 - Iowa 18
I hope everyone is on point... For me, road game + Iowa off a loss + extreme M fan confidence = Pepto until the final whistle. That said Go Blue 32-24
Making me thirsty.
It's November and Michigan is 7-1. On all accounts, improvement is happening every week, but we continue to temper our collective enthusiasm.
I'm tired of tempering. I feel like we're in a cage, and we keep telling each other, "guys, we can be as loud as we want in here, but we're not supposed to come out of the cage until 2013."
F*** THAT. I have the keys to the lock. They're Denard, Toussaint, Martin, RVB, Roundtree, Gallon, Kovacs and co. There's a master key too, called "BRADY GETS IT, and MATTISON DOES TOO."
I believe in this team. It's talented and it can go the distance.
Iowa is not a good team. Michigan is a good team. Iowa is for the birds. Michigan is hungry.
Michigan 35. Iowa 10ish.
I keep going back and forth on this game. I like Michigan and I'm relatively comfortable predicting a victory, but I have some feeling that Iowa is going to have some luck on their side...
Michigan 34-24 with Michigan trailing 21-17 at half.
I predict that I will be heavily medicated thanks to our friends in Golden, Colorado. Just to be safe.
which means my PISS will still have more flavor left than your Golden, Co. beer.
JK dude, enjoy the game.
I hate myself for thinking this way...
Last week, I thought it was going to be a defensive-oriented, last-possession-wins kind of game. Thought Purdue would challenge us like they had in past years under the prior regime. Thought we'd show the same struggles as we did vs. Sparty.
So, well, about my accuracy... not so much.
This week, I look at Iowa and go, there's nothing there on defense. We should be able to gash them and throw over and around them, and run up the score. So that takes them out of Coger-ing us all game. They can't run the ball 40 times when they are down 3 touchdowns in the 3d quarter. They might move the ball but won't get into the endzone much. Our turnovers won't kill us.
Now don't hate me for predicting it.
To me this game feels just like last year, except the outcome is flipped. They score on us early, we put up loads of points to feel like the game is out of reach, they come back and we need a first down late to ice it. 38-28 Michigan.
31-21. Late comeback by Iowa falls short.
hail to the victors!
Fitz and Shaw rack up 250 rushing yards, Denard throws for 4 touchdowns, and the Michigan D gets 3 ints. Iowa's rushing game goes for 130 yards but it ain't enough as Michigan runs away by the 3rd qtr. Vandenberg has a bad, bad day trying to deal with Mattison's crazy blitzes.
Wait.. you forgot the chip-shot field-goal-from-distance-of-a-PAT by Gibbons, when our OL can't get enough push on 3'd and close from the GL. So you meant 45-17, not 42-17. See my prediction a few posts up.
I bet both teams have pretty similar yardage numbers, and the score will be low-ish. The big difference is that once Iowa gets into the redzone, they'll settle for mostly FGs and we'll get the touchdowns. I also expect us to have a couple more big plays than they have.
I expect Iowa to score something like 16 points on 3 FGs and a TD. Even if we have the same number of scores, I would expect ours to be more like 3 TDs and a FG, giving us 24.
Totally unrelated, but not sure where to put this.
I will be in the Toronto area tomorrow and I am trying to figure out if the game will be on TV here. One of the channels lists a game as "Ball State Cardinals at Michigan Wolverines", so I am a bit confused.
Does anyone know what channel it is on if at all? Or do I need to head downtown to a sports bar? Thanks!
I Googled Ball State's schedule, and they play EMU next, so it definitely could be a typo.
Meeechigan 38 - Iowa 17
75% of me feels like we will win 38-20
15% is right around a 28-24 win
10% has a grave amount of respect for the fact that IOWA doesn't usually lose at home...so....
Since the game is supposedly blacked out on ESPN3 locally does anyone know of any other sites that the game can be streamed on ?
I believe the defense will raise up and stop a late rally by IA...Mich 24/IA 21
I'm here in Iowa. Drove by the stadium with the scoreboard reading Iowa 45, Michigan 24. Maybe they think that they need a head start.
Coker rumbles for a ton of yards but not a lot of points. Vanderberg completes a bunch of stupid short passes but nothing long. Our offense chugs away
I think Iowa is going to come out pretty inspired and will give us some fits tomorrow. Fortunately, I think we will also give them Fitz. (Sorry.)
- Toussaint eeks past 100 yards on 22 carries and a TD.
- Denard makes some nice plays here and there, but puts up similar numbers as he did to purdue. 12-20, 175 yards 1 td / 1 awful interception. 12 carries, 75 yards and a td on the ground.
- We score a TD out of the Devin/Denard package (Devin)
- Coker annoys us all day to the tune of 25 carries, 125 yards, 2 TDs.
- Vandenberg finds McNutt on a big play td, puts up Cousins-esque numbers, but gives an INT and a fumble on a sack. 20-35, 225 yards, 1 td, 1 int
- Roy Roundtree has a big day. 6 catches, 100 yards and a TD. welcome back, Roy.
'lace 150+ passing 85+ rushing
iowa comes out and has a much better day than expected. the game is close throughout but denard leads a late drive and gibbons fully lets go of the past and kicks a fg as time expires. mich 31-iowa-28.