Play action bomb to Jehu. Fitz will score the first touchdown. And Michigan wins 45-6.
Michigan vs Central Michigan Prediction Thread
Michigan 45 CMU 12
I think it wil be a close game, I'll go with
Michigan 486 CMU -44
...how many mini-Ditkas will be involved in the game?
Michigan 38, CMU 6
+1 I Lol'd
My prediction? PAIN.
Just to get that out of the way.
1. Power run to the left with Toussaint, pulling Kalis to Lewan. Just to see if it works as we all hope. It goes for 7, and we all have a glimmer of hope in the power run game.
2. Gardner rolls out from the 2 yard line and outruns a LB to the pylon.
3. I don't think we're going to totally blow the doors off, as they'll leave something in the book for ND, but it'll be a comfortable 38-13 win. Tipton is a good RB and they'll have two or three frustratingly long drives, but only make it into the endzone once.
1.) Fitz run behind Lewan, with a great kick-out block coming from a pulling Kalis
2.) Fitz again, on a 15 -20 yard run cappping off a great first drive
3.) Somewhere in the range of 35-14, with CMU scoring the second TD late in garbage time
PA Deep to Gallon
Gallon will score first TD on said PA Deep Pass
Mich: Gallon 1-0 (0-0)
CMU: No Gallon 0-1 (0-0)
Over/under on the Shoelace nickname explanations: 1.5
3.Bunch to not so much
1) Run play off tackle left.
Not only does Lloyd Carr read the blog but he posts too!
Oh yes, there will be blood.
The one prediction I hope DOESN'T come true is the one currently dealing with the weather. I could certainly do without a repeat of our last meeting with the Chippewas, that of the hour long rain delay in 2006.
HOWEVER, seeing as the last two times we opened (or essentially opened; CMU was game 2 in 2006) the season with rain delays against a directional we won 11 games, maybe the forecast isn't such a bad thing...
Deveon Smith will be our leading rusher.
Betting that the supposed 5th string RB will lead in rushing
Norfleet return for a touchdown!
35-6 Three touchdowns and 228 yards for Fitz. Oh yeah.
for the sake of the palindrome
We put up 31 points
Only manages 13
For the sake of the Haiku.
-1 Inaccurate use of Eastern poetry
That's a correct haiku in bizarro world.
I thought the game was at the big house? I really need to start paying closer attention to the schedule.
1) Screen to the FB (kerridge) going to the left side.
2) Fitz up the middle on a short dive.
1. 4 verts.
2. Devin to Gallon on the second series.
Against Central? Oh boy, if that is true, it is going to be a long year. I see no less than 200 rushing yards by half time.
In a tribute to our forefathers, the first play from scrimmage will be in the Iso, Toussaint runs behind Lewan and a pulling Kalis for 3 yards
Some random but key comparisons from last year's stats, for what it is worth:
- Michigan third down conversions (offense) = 50.29%
- CMU third down conversions (offense) = 37.41%
- Michigan third down conversions (defense) = 35.96%
- CMU third down conversions (defense) = 44.38%
- Michigan points per play (defense) = 0.298
- CMU points per play (defense) = 0.445
CMU also gave up 6.0 yards per play compared to Michigan's 4.8 yards.
One of the more common scores in Vegas - last time I checked - was something along the lines of 42-10, which sounds about right.
Out of curiosity, what's the points per play offense comparision?
Granted, it is against different competition, but they are actually fairly close here -
Michigan points per play (offense) = 0.463
CMU points per play (offense) = 0.436
pitch to Fitz right
Gallon 1st TD
52- 14 M
The game will never be in doubt, but we'll have flashes of great play on both sides of the ball interspersed with a bunch of yakety-sax turnovers, penalties, and special teams gaffes.
We'll be much better next week against ND.
If the other team doesn't score, it is impossible to lose. I hope to see that happen.
Why 47? I also like prime numbers..
Also, we are flying (or driving) up from Alabama for, among other things, the game so I hope I don't get rained on, nor do I hope for a sunburn. Sometimes there is just no pleasing me.
I was unaware that my wife had changed her name and moved to Huntsville.
1) Run off tackle left
2) Norfleet on punt return after we win the toss, elect to defer, force CMU 3 and out.
3) 35-13 Michigan
1) Pistol dive left
2) Toussaint on Borges' FB dive obsession
3) 42-10 M
To the right? No off tackle to the left.
if we receive the ball fleet is taking it to the house bank it... if we defend then get the ball Gallon scores on a 18 yard pass..
we send a message 48-0
First play a roll out pass from Gardner to Dileo. First TD on a run by Fitz.
And can we please not use the "we didn't want to show ND our whole play book" excuse for unimaginative play calling? That one's been very overused, and we frankly don't have a whole stash of secret, surprise plays. Get the offense cranked up and doing everything it can, and dare people to stop us.
I am thinking this will be a shutout.
CMU 18-0 is a bold prediction, friend!
That would be awesome, especially if they can get at least another one this season. UM hasn't had multiple shutouts in a season since 2000.
I just watched some clips of Zurlon Tipton. He looks like a legitimate threat. He has good vision and good feet. He averaged 5.6 ypc against MSU last year.
I'm more worred about Davis #84 at the Flaker. He is a legit deep threat and is built like an NFL wideout.
First play: bubble screen to Gallon
First TD: Fitz
Michigan 40 CMU 0
Watching Al Borges throw a bubble screen on the first play of the season and then never again all year, just to troll Heiko would be EPIC.
Michigan 42-6 CMU
Two TE, single back set. PA to Fitz, 4 verts, deep pass to Chesson who gets the first TD of his career and the second of the season because Norfleet busts his first punt return for a TD after a 3 and out by CMU on the first possession.
First play will be Twins TEs even set, Funchess motions to right FB lead, Power O to the right. ...Right behind THE Kalis.
1st TD, Garner roll out scramble inside the Redzone makes 3 guys whiff
in-state MAC school, but he also doesn't want them to score on us. They get a field goal off a turnover inside our 30.
Our ground game will dominate and eat up time without running up the score. We will see Shane after the first series in the 3rd quarter and Cleary for half of the fourth quarter.
- First offensive play is Fitz power right.
- First touchdown is Kerridge. Gardner rolls out like he is passing to Funchess and dinks one out to Kerridge.
28 points is a long way from embarrassment. With the rankings determined by BCS theres a benefit to crushing the teams you should crush.
the Chips . . . but, he won't. A Michigan Man (TM) does not run up the score (unless it is against a team playing the second or final week of the regular season -- then, if given the chance, he will step on their throats).
First touchdown goes to Fitz; Michigan wins 34-13, and we see at least 4 RBs by the time it's over.
- power left, w/ Kalis pulling towards Williams and Lewan, followed by both backs hitting the hole hard. Fitz gets a first down, w/a gain of 12 yards.
- Fitz powers the ball in for the first TD
Second play: bubble screen. Third play: PAT.
Al's homage to Heiko.
Yes. Friday was canceled due to a scheduling conflict.
Thank god. I was not looking forward to the me vs. work matchup on Friday.
1. Fitz on the left side for the first play
2. Fitz gets the first touchdown from a couple yards out after a long, grinding drive where they don't throw much, but don't need to.
3. Final Score - UM 38 CMU 10
"Many Chippewas and Michigan redshirts knew what it was to be roasted in the depths of the BigHouse that day, I can tell you!
"Yes, have some."
"Yes, have some"
34-6. Michigan misses and extra point. Western moves the ball a few times but the D clamps down and they settle for field goals.
Even if western moves the ball it won't matter... We play CMU
I hope Western moves the ball and scores. I predict a Western victory.. Yeah I do.... Over MSUck. (Yeah I went all 11W on MSUck.
Tread lightly my friend, that's the kind of stuff that gets you the banhammer. Brian and the mods have no tolerance for juvenile slurs against our rivals.
Just a one time thing. Needed to get it out of my system.
I'd say 31 - 6
First play: play action rollout pass to Dileo for 8 yards.
First TD: Toussaint from 2 yards out.
Final score: Michigan 34, Central 16
Since Central has a good power back, I'd say we get a good idea of how much the defense has improved against the run.
First play: Manbawl.
First Touchdown: Fitz up the middle
That's my guess
1. Play action to Funchess for 19.
2. Fitz from 11 out
3. 45-0 look out Irish the train's a'comin'
The defense will look soft early, particularly the defensive backfield. But they will tighten up quickly (after a series or two in which CMU scores 6, possibly 10). The defense will end up scoring a defensive TD at some point, most likely from a sack fumble forced by an unblocked WDE.
The running game will look solid, but not dominating, as the interior line will appear serviceable. The first TD will be through the air; either 20-ish yard pass to Gallon or redzone toss to Funchess in the back of the end zone.
Michigan wins easily after starting maybe a little slower than we'd like: 41 - 13.
I don't know which Michigan defender scores on the kick-off fumble recovery, my crystal ball is cloudy.
If only that were possible and within the rule book.
CMU is not a cupcake and we are replacing too many key pieces to put it together this quickly. If this was October, I'd feel stronger about this game, but I can't buy into the offense yet until we have a proven #1 tailback.
How is Fitz not a proven #1 tailback? He's won the running back competition for 2 and a half years now. He's clearly better than any other running back option. He can jump cut in a phonebooth. He can outrun all the purdue linebackers. He just had a problem running behind Omameh, who is an awesome human being and all, but managed to get in the way of Fitz EVERY SINGLE TIME HE WAS PULLING.
So that means the last time he was in a real game was 9 months ago. Once he's doing all that "jump cutting" and outrunning linebackers on a team on our actual schedule THIS year, then I'm reserving judgement.
And considering how underwhelming our other RBs have been the past couple of years, I'm not sure how daunting the competition really was those years.
I say it's a 45-3 asswhooping. Ball out.
but many of you will recall the 1997 opener vs. Colorado, where we all watched and thought "Damn, this defense is awesome."
I'm guessing the D play gets us pumped for ND and beyond. Offense will move and score aplenty, but the D smothers.
1st play is play action deep to Chesson leaping catch on the sideline.
1st to score - Fitz up the middle
Final - 45-10
Bonus - Clark, Heitzman & Charlton all get 1 sack
Fitz gets 175 yrds 2 tds. Jake Butt will catch Td
Did you intentionally pick last year's Alabama score?
to open the game. Norfleet goes the distance for the first TD of the year. If not, Fitz goes right up the gut for 6.
First play....Fitz right up the gut.
First receiving touchdown is Jeremy Jackson taking a bubble screen for 80 yards. It will go down as the slowest touchdown run/pass ever and will feature many bone crushing blocks by the wide receivers. ;>P
I don't think Dan Enos is anything special, but there are still a few Butch Jones players on that roster who can actually play. Either way, we'll win. 34-17. I feel like Hoke won't blow out the in-state directionals or maybe I'm just thinking about that underwhelming win against EMU and the huggy-smiley postgame handshake between Hoke and English.
I will say, I am a big Buffalo fan this week.
1. Fitz run for 11 yards and a first down.
2. I'm going to be bold and say DeVeon Smith.
3. I think it'll be 34-10. We get up big early (maybe 28-3) then start putting backups in. We'll stall on offense (can't run behind OL backups and won't throw with Morris) and give up a TD on defense.
1.) I agree with your sentiment. Hoke wants to establish MANBALL. He's sending Fitz right up the gut, and I'm hoping he bursts through the line with the fire of a thousand suns en route to a 70 yd TD run.
2.) I say the first TD will go to Funchess, though. Borges will put together a methodical first drive that eats up 5-6 minutes of clock time, and once we get inside the red zone, I say Funchess gets hit with a 10 yd TD pass over the middle. He will show why he's going to be such a redzone nightmare this year.
3.) 49-10. The running game might start off a little slow in the first half, but the O-Line interior will start to settle into a groove by the 3rd quarter. Gardner has a big day through the air, connecting with Gallon for 2 TDs, and is sitting by the start of the 4th. Shane gets the nod for the entire 4th quarter, looks like a freshman, but connects with Chesson for a TD. Frank Clark will have a sack/TFL that is so bone-crushing, a la Braxton Miller, we make a GIF out of it.
The wave will be in full effect, and chants of "Beat the Irish" will be heard loud and clear. Snowflakes will abound, and for at least one week, all will be right with the world.
as an opponent. I don't expect a close game, but I do expect Michigan to not come busting out of the gate with success, unless the aggressive gameplan that Devin claims will be the case this year, actually is on opening day.
So, given that he wants to prove something immediately, I will expect the first play to be play-action pass or a slant cut to Gallon. And then Michigan goes into run mode.
If you really want to analyze this, just go back to Borges tendencies on first down and first plays. I don't believe there is necessarily a pattern, but with Denard, any play could go the distance, expecially against lesser teams. So, you'd have always picked a run play to start.
Michigan wins handily 28-10 or so. I'd say that CMU scores at least twice. Michigan may score more, struggle somewhat and then find rhythm and execution.
I don't think you need to hold anything back Saturday for fear of givng away plays or formations and tendencies in preparation for ND. So the main issue in this game is execution and seeing how the rotations and youngest guys play. There will be fun and excitement.
And hopefully, not too much hand-wringing or crazy feeling afterward. In any case, the season will have kicked off, and we will overanalyze and worry about everything. That's just the way it is and goes.
Central wins 29-27....oh wait, that's a mistake. I thought I was predicting Central vs. Michigan State and I just threw up the 2011 score. Sorry about that, how silly of me.
Prediction for Central vs. Michigan? Central is going to get it's sh!t pushed in.
Fun Fact: MSU's career winning percentage against Central Michigan is .667, which is NOT 1.000....bwaahahahaha!
Of course, you're correct.
In 2011 they were 111-3. They won six rose bowls and beat us 14 times in a row all while out recruiting us and the world. Their coach owned us for seven years straight in that one year.
Unsolicited Michigan State bashing ftw?
1st play- Fitz run left with pulling Kalis
6 yd gain
1s TD - Gardner on 3rd and goal from1
Final - M 42 CM17
1. MANBALL. Fitz off left tackle for 6 yards.
2. MANBALL. Fitz up the middle.
3. 52-7. One touchdown each for the defense (Cam Gordon) and special teams (Norfleet, of course).
1. Quick hitch to Gallon. Borges wants the secondary to think about the pass before he tries to cram the ball down their throats.
2. Jake Butt catches a short pass for the first TD on that goalline run/pass bootleg play that Borges loves so much.
3. 41-13. I think that the offense will start off strong, but in the second half Borges will start monkeying around with Morris and the freshman RBs, holding down our point total slightly. And the defense will play a strong game, but the secondary will have a few mental errors that lead to red zone opportunities for CMU.
1st win of our 10-2 regular season
This is largely a young team that is likely make first-game mistakes. I don't see a blowout 30 point win, but we will prevail.
And I will go hoarse yelling, "What the hell was that?" many times.
I think the line was somewhere around -31.5 last time I checked. IMO, that's a bit generous for the first game... Michigan 38-17. First play - TE waggle to Funchess. First TD - Gardner on the sneak from inside a yard.
well then if you think a line is off by 11.5 points, you really should be calling quicken loans to refinance your home by like, tomorrow.
First TD: Gardner scramble to the pylon on a rollout pass option
I say CMU picks us apart first drive, gets to the red zone, Clark sack and they kick a field goal taking a 3-0 lead. fans grumble and call the season a failure, we only score 10 in the first quarter, they tie it in the second then we take off from there.
The defense shines! Gardner takes over the game. OL opens some holes for Fitz to break a couple of nice runs! Bring on the Irish!
Hope they prove me wrong but I am going to say 31-20 good guys!
For the first play, Al calls for a read-option run for Devin....who, realzing that Al thinks that Shoelace is still his QB, audibles out of it, stays in the shotgun and hits Gallon for a 30 yd gain.
Coach Hoke grabs a headseat, calls Al upstairs and say's; "Al, snap out of it....don't you remember what we've been doing all spring and fall camp".
Al, visably shaken, calls for a full house backfield and runs Fitz for the next 4 plays in a row until Fitz carries it in for his first score of the day.
He suffciently recovers and we end up 38-10 on the Chips.
Gardner in a cap mid-3rd quarter, chattin' up Big Al, and slappin' Shane on the butt after every drive/time out/commercial break to encourage the young 'un.
1. Fitz takes the hand off and runs 3 yards off tackle.
2. Gallon catches a 15 yard TD pass.
3. Final score 38-7. The D will get 3 sacks and 1 INT. Fitz runs for 110 yards. Gallon and Funchess combine for 220 yards receiving.
Play action out to Gallon for 9.
2. Fitz Toussaint from close for the first TD.
3. 42-10. CMU with a late TD.
Question: I don't have post access, but does anyone know a good bar in Jacksonville that plays BTN, thus Michigan on Saturday?
to pick a score yesterday, 37-3 Michigan.
34-3 for Trey burke, my bad.