Michigan Opens as 3.5 Road Dog at Utah

Submitted by alum96 on

Commence chest beating, talks of "betting the mortgage", "easy money", and general over analyzing.   One of the few shreds of football stuff until August!

Personally think that is pretty generous - the home team usually gets 3 pts so it's basically saying the teams are a wash on a neutral field.  Based on the last meeting in the Big House, that's already a big improvement!  I was thinking it would be more like 5.5 pts but UM is obviously a name team that gets a lot of money thrown at it.   Whittingham has lost some staff from last year but Utah is generally a very sound team full of well coached 3 star mafia and quite tough at home - beat Rose Bowl Stanford even in a down year (2013).

Other fun lines - Minnesota is a 19.5 home dog vs TCU in their rematch from last year - TCU should be ranked top 3 in most polls going into the year.  Wisconsin is a 12.5 home dog v Alabama - wait did no one watch the Big 10 domination of the bowl season?  Notre Dame is favored by 12.5 at home v Texas.   OSU is a whopping 20.5 favorite on the road vs VATech - man that's a lot of points in the first game of the year, on the road, vs a team that usually presents a good defense.  Seems like best bet to take the points.

Here and here.

CoachBP6

April 28th, 2015 at 9:38 PM ^

Really that line is no surprise. Utah is a tough, well coached team that has beaten us the last two times they have played us. I think the game comes down to the play of our starting QB.

OccaM

April 28th, 2015 at 9:39 PM ^

Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't Whittingham recently lose a power struggle at Utah for raising his assistants' salaries resulting in his DC and OC both leaving for greener pastures? 

I wonder how that will affect them. 

alum96

April 28th, 2015 at 9:51 PM ^

I thought Whittingham was gone from Utah within 12 months - he took over from Urban and really made that program very solid non P5 and then they moved to the Pac 12 - got all the new money, and they still treat him as a mid major.  An absolute bitch to lose your young, well thought of DC in a parallel move WITHIN the conference - to your former DC of all people! 

But after all that went down (and talk of major strife with AD) they gave him mo' money and I guess all is well again. 

Before Harbaugh I was thinking he was a very good candidate for UM or Nebraska.

MichiganTeacher

April 28th, 2015 at 9:47 PM ^

I would not have been surprised to see us bigger dogs. I hope it motivates the team. I've thought this game would be a toss-up for a long time (I also remember the day, even longer ago, when I looked at 2015's schedule and thought it looked like a road to an NC... sigh).

mGrowOld

April 28th, 2015 at 10:12 PM ^

If that's accurate the money line on Michigan will be pretty nice play too.  Personally I'd forgo the points and would just take Michigan straight up cause I dont think you're gonna need the points to win the bet. 

Year of Revenge II

April 29th, 2015 at 8:46 AM ^

I too think the money line is going to be a good value in that, while this is going to be a tough game, I think the stars are aligning for a UM win.

Great, proven coach inherits team with underperforming talent.  Has won everywhere, and strong suit is developing quarterbacks.  Team is program that has been down too long, can be considered sleeping giant.  Coach played there himself and wasn't too bad.  He takes job in the face of all baseless speculation to the contrary (including Oakland, is it still in play?) because he loves the place and the job.  Do you think he will be able to motivate?

Offense may start season slow, but line has a foundation; it has some experience and talent.  Coach brings in assistants who seem to be improvements over what was there before.  

Defense, though, is solid and should keep us in most if not all games, including this one.

Opening win to start the new era means a lot.  Think new coach might get his players to rise to the challenge?

Nothing is a given in sports.  The game will be decided on the field.  (But at least our coach now knows how to use a headset)

I wouldn't bet the mortgage, but I like the money line a lot.

Pinky

April 28th, 2015 at 10:28 PM ^

It will be really interesting to see how much of Hoke's failure was due to bad scheming and how much was due to bad development.  

jaysvw

April 28th, 2015 at 10:39 PM ^

We don't have a (proven) quarterback and our performance in road games against anything resembling a competent opponent has been terrible.  Seems like a perfectly reasonable line to me.  

mGrowOld

April 28th, 2015 at 10:57 PM ^

If only we had changed coaches this off season and given ourselves a chance at changing that narrative.  Perhaps we could've gone out and, dare I say it, swung for the fences and tried to get somebody with a proven track record of success at both the college and maybe even NFL level.  That somebody, if we had gotten him, would certainly make me toss away the last few years of tutility and would make me think of the Michigan of old once again.

If only........

mGrowOld

April 28th, 2015 at 11:31 PM ^

Get my head out of the clouds because I think we'll beat Utah?  A Utah team that lost both their OC and their DC in the offseason?

Jesus man if that's your standard for unbridled optimism I sure as hell don't want to know what you'd consider a negative outlook on our fortunes.