Michigan Opens -34 vs UNLV

Submitted by Bigku22 on

UM opens up -34 in Vegas. 

My initial reaction is to pass. Been on the right side for weeks 1 and 2, but this will be a no play for me. UNLV QB injured last week, but UM does not play the type of offense that makes you comfortable laying 5 TDs. Gun to my head I would take the points, but I will pass. 

Other lines:

Ohio State -34 vs Northern Illinois

LSU -7 vs Auburn

Miami -3 vs Nebraska 

GT -2 vs ND

Michigan State -27 vs Air Force

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/

M-Dog

September 16th, 2015 at 9:56 AM ^

 

 

1st Quarter:  Establish a big lead so that we can use the rest of the game to fuck around with things.

2nd Quarter:  100% power running plays with Smith / Ty / Green / Drake.

3rd Quarter:  100% long passes from Rudock.

4th Quarter:  100% field goals.

Profit. 

Clarence Beeks

September 16th, 2015 at 12:14 AM ^

If we cover, anticipate breaking into the rankings. The #10 team in the country beat UNLV at UNLV (but was a virtual home game for UCLA - in what was a truly awful game to watch) by 34 last week.

uminks

September 16th, 2015 at 1:38 AM ^

If we are up 24-3 at halftime I could see Harbaugh letting Morris and the 2nd string play which could limit our 2nd half point production and allow UNLV score a few more points. However, it is still possible that we win 55-13 or something, even with some of our reserves playing. Who knows, Morris could light up the scoreboard!

Danwillhor

September 16th, 2015 at 3:06 AM ^

so while I've always generally understood the "odds" betting system (like horse racing, 10:1, etc) I've never understood the "point spread" system. Every time I think I do there seems to be some deeper rule so please correct me if wrong on any of these: 1) "odds" betting says that you win the amount staked, dollar for dollar, based on odds. So, if I choose a horse or boxer at 10-1 (10:1) and they win I get $10 for every $1 I bet, correct? It's pure win/lose and the higher the risk the higher the payout. I just don't understand when some bets are 1:2, etc. I've seen them and do those mean that the bet is so overwhelmingly likely that you get $0.50 on the dollar or is it a bet you can't take? 2) "point spreads" seem strange to me but they seem to be the most used bets out there (likely do to the simplicity I don't get lol). Ok, so if UM is "-34" that means they are a 34 point favorite. As the gambler, I can bet any amount of money (or the bookie/house minimum/limit) on whether UM will or won't win by 34 or more. If I think UM will win by 34+ it's called "covering" and if I think they don't win by 34+ (win by 1-33 or lose, doesn't matter) it's referred to simply as "not cover", correct? So, if I bet $10 on UM to "cover" and they win by 34+, I've won $10? There are no "odds" but pure opinionated likelihood deciding point spreads. Finally, when a spread is "-34.5" that's saying UM would have to win by 35+, correct? A fraction or half is used when a full touchdown or field goal is deemed to much to make the spread they want? The slang used seems to really throw me off as it always seems to change. Is "taking the points" a bet to cover or not cover haha? Also, what determines a negative or positive sign (-/+)? Is it always next to the home team and -X means "win by" and +X means "lose by"? Thanks and I know Google exists but believe it or not it hasn't helped me fully feel like I understand the times I've looked it up. Thanks to anyone that read and replies.

MaizeNBlue_Kzoo

September 16th, 2015 at 8:44 AM ^

Basically you are correct. If you see a line like Michigan -34, that means you can bet on Michigan to win by at least 34 and "give" the points, or UNLV and "take" the points. A .5 line is used to break ties, e.g. If a line is Michigan -7 and they win by exactly 7 that is a "push" where neither side wins money (or depending on rules the "house" may win ties).

MaizeNBlue_Kzoo

September 16th, 2015 at 8:57 AM ^

In other words the favorite is always listed as -n and/or the underdog is always listed as +n. Both mean the same thing. You can think of choosing the favorite and "giving" the underdog n points to add to their score to see who wins the bet.

"Cover" means that the favorite wins by enough to still win the bet after "giving" the points.

Hannibal.

September 16th, 2015 at 8:40 AM ^

27 points is a huge amount to give up to a triple option team.  Those teams are maddening to play against.  I'll take Air Force +27 every day of the week and twice on Sunday.

chickenpotpie

September 16th, 2015 at 9:46 AM ^

win by at least 25 points, have no turnovers, and give up no more than 7 points for everyone to feel good about this, imo. of course, the byu game is the big one in terms of confidence-building. if we crush unlv and beat byu by more than a TD, i feel like we'll start to get some swagger going here.

ThatTCGuy

September 16th, 2015 at 11:50 AM ^

To be honest, I think we might cover here. We can all agree that Oregon State has better talent and coaching than UNLV, right? We just beat Oregon State by 28. There's no reason why we shouldn't be able to put up 40+ on UNLV.