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Michigan Monday vs. NW up at the Ozone

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November 12th, 2012 at 8:34 PM
#1
StephenRKass
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Joined: 07/15/2008
MGoPoints: 4202
Michigan Monday vs. NW up at the Ozone

Ohio blog "The Ozone" has their weekly "Michigan Monday" up early this week, due to the Ohio bye week. LINK:  http://theozone.net/football/2012/Wisconsin/michiganmonday.html

Here are some quotes, and then a few bullet points. As always, this is a long column, and  you can't cut and paste the whole thing. Go and read it yourself if you're dying for more analysis.

 

The point of Michigan Monday is to keep an eye on the Wolverines and then later extrapolate how their season of performances relates to how they will do against Ohio State.

After seeing the way the Wildcats ran the ball, and the way they had open receivers running around, it's hard to think the same shouldn't also happen for the Buckeyes when the Wolverines come to town.

The Wildcats' mostly moved the ball through hard work and patience. Ohio State has that same type of patience, and they have a much better power running game.

Last week, I asked how Michigan would defend Ohio State. . . .  the budding brilliance of the Buckeye offense is that they can allow a defense to dictate what they do and be perfectly happy with that. 

If a defense is intent on stopping the running game, then the offense attacks the edges and seams, forcing the defense to open up the middle. When the defense then spreads out, they leave their belly exposed for Carlos Hyde, who is quite happy to gash it.

I expect the Wolverine defense to play at their absolute best against the Buckeyes, but I'm not sure how well they will be able to contain the Ohio State running game. However, as we have already seen, just because a team can run on Michigan doesn't mean they can beat them.

Basically, I believe that if Michigan is going to win in Columbus, they will need to make sure that quarterback Braxton Miller has a poor day throwing the ball, which is something that he doesn't always need help to do.

  • Gardner looks comfortable, and "his scrambling was fantastic."
  • After seeing two seasons of jump balls favoring the Wolverines, it isn't just luck, but is something Borges must be coaching.
  • Apart from one big run a game, Toussaint still isn't doing much.
  • Michigan doesn't defend the option pitch well.
  • Making Michigan play defense in space is a great way to attack them, if you have the talent. NW did. So does Ohio.
  • Kovacs can be beaten with above average throws.
  • Jake Ryan looks mortal when he has to react instead of attack.
  • Michigan needed the speed of Ross more than the experience of Morgan.
  • There were quite a few cutback lanes for QB Colter, as there should be for Braxton Miller.

Closing thoughts:  there are a number of ways for Ohio to attack Michigan's defense. However, this fact won't help Ohio if Miller has a subpar game. Miller has to be able to pass in order to keep the running game going. Michigan has shown repeated ability to win games they probably shouldn't have won. Ohio has the same skill. Oh, and Michigan doesn't have anything to fear against Iowa.

"It does not matter how many times you get knocked down, but how many times you get up." Vince Lombardi

 

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November 12th, 2012 at 8:39 PM | Braxton Miller scares (Score:2 Normal)
JC3
Joined: 07/17/2009
MGoPoints: 1316

Braxton Miller scares me.

Hold me TomVH. 

Twitter l Contact 

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November 13th, 2012 at 2:56 AM | Braxton Miller>Kain (Score:2 Normal)
Metzger
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Joined: 08/31/2012
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Braxton Miller>Kain Colter

OSU offense> NW Offense

OSU Defense> NW Defense

Nervous.

 

Go Blue.  That it all.

My MGoYard

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November 13th, 2012 at 10:08 AM | Not sure I agree.. (Score:2)
Blue in Yarmouth
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I haven't watched enough of either team to know for sure, but from what I have watched I'm not sure I agree. I mean, Miller can be scary, but he still isn't a great QB. As far as the comparison to Colter, he might be a little better, but I don't think he's miles better by any means. Also, OSU doesn't have Mark. With Colter and Mark they can attack you on the perimeter with both guys, but OSU will only do that with Miller, Hyde isn't near the back that Mark is IMHE.

UM has shown that they struggle a bit when their are multiple weapons in the backfield that can reach the perimeter, but have done well when there is only one.I think UM will contain Miller and Hyde in the run game, the trouble will be whether Miller gets open receivers running around all day like last year. 

This year though, there is no posey (not that they don't have some talent at WR, but not a posey). I think UM can win this game if they have a consistent defensive effort whether Denard or Devin play QB. I do hope Denard is good to go though. Al could unleash the same type of plan he blistered them with last year.

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November 12th, 2012 at 8:42 PM | I would (Score:1)
palazzola123
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Joined: 01/20/2010
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I would say that's a pretty good assumption. We're going to have to bring more men in the box against OSU and force Braxton beat us with his arm.



Love seeing Ross getting more time on the field. He has great instincts and quickness we have been lacking the last 5 years at LB.



Can't wait for OSU!

“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft; on the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them.  Keep believing.” Bo

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November 12th, 2012 at 8:48 PM | Has OSU pitched the ball on (Score:2)
corundum
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Joined: 05/10/2012
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Has OSU pitched the ball on the option much this year? It seems like most of Braxton's yards come on designed runs. No doubt they will see the film and attempt to replicate Northwestern's success, but if they haven't been practicing the option pitch all season, I doubt it will be as effective. If Michigan can force Braxton into bad decisions or turnovers we should be fine. Beat OSU!

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November 12th, 2012 at 9:15 PM | What's all this "Braxton" (Score:1 Normal)
snarling wolverine
Joined: 12/14/2011
MGoPoints: 4683

What's all this "Braxton" this,  "Braxton" that?  Are we on a first-name basis with Buckeye players now?

 

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November 12th, 2012 at 9:17 PM | No (Score:5 Normal)
HartAttack20
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Weren't we talking about Toni Braxton?

I can only continue to reference the fact that I live in an onion factory.

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November 12th, 2012 at 9:21 PM | I'm not on a first name basis (Score:5 Normal)
corundum
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Joined: 05/10/2012
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I'm not on a first name basis with Denard Robinson but I still call him "Denard". Plus, Miller is quite the common name, just as "Robinson" could refer to multiple Michigan players.

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November 13th, 2012 at 10:15 AM | Come on... (Score:2)
Blue in Yarmouth
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Joined: 02/18/2009
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I don't agree with the guy making a big deal about you calling him Braxton, but just say you prefer to call him that. Saying it's because Miller is a common name is either a lie or you don't give people on this board much credit for their ability to perform a little deductive reasoning. I mean, we are in a thread where the conversations is focused squarley on OSU. I think we could all figure out you meant Braxton Miller if you said Miller.

Again, I think the guy above was being a little ridiculous making a comment about your use of Braxton, but your response was a little disingenuous IMHE.

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November 13th, 2012 at 1:03 PM | Is it? (Score:1)
justingoblue
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That's always the rule I've used in general, even for people I actually know. People around here know what I'm saying if I used "Charles" to identify Charles Woodson, but in my head I immediately think "Woodson" because it's an easier identifier for me. The opposite is true for Desmond Howard.

Go Blue!

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:19 AM | My point is context.... (Score:2)
Blue in Yarmouth
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Joined: 02/18/2009
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We are in a thread on Mgoblog talking about OSU. I would wager a good portion of my salary that everyone on this thread when reading "Miller" would be able to extrapolate that the poster is refering to Braxton Miller. I couldn't care less how people choose to identify athletes, it's up to the individual. But to say the reason I use Braxton as opposed to Miller is because there are a lot of Millers and I didn't want to confuse people on this blog in a thread about OSU. That just doesn't really add up to me. 

If he were to say I have become accustomed to calling him Braxton because many of the people I know don't follow football like people on this blog so if I were to say Miller they won't know....wait now, even that wouldn't make sense if you are talking about OSU. Some just prefer to use first names and I'm fine with that, but when you try to say it is for identification purposes it implies I'm not smart enough to figure out that when people are talking about a Miller who plays for OSU they mean Braxton Miller.

So I guess what I am saying is either A) his worry of being misunderstood was misguided or B) there is another far more sinister reason for referring to him as Braxton (though I can't be sure what that sinister reason might be at this point).

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November 12th, 2012 at 11:16 PM | He will pitch when necessary, (Score:2 Normal)
Urban Warfare
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He will pitch when necessary, but he's elusive enough that he can usually keep it.  It's more common to see Hyde play about three yards upfield and Braxton to throw a shovel pass than to see the traditional option pitch. 

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November 13th, 2012 at 2:59 AM | OSU runs the true option much (Score:1)
Metzger
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Joined: 08/31/2012
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OSU runs the true option much less than NW.  I certainly wouldn't call it their signature sytle. If they watched any of the NW tape against us, they'd be smart to run it as much as possible. 

Go Blue.  That it all.

My MGoYard

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November 12th, 2012 at 8:56 PM | QB Injury (Score:2)
HartAttack20
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Joined: 06/08/2009
MGoPoints: 1371

In terms of avoiding taking hits and risking an injury, Braxton Miller reminds me of a young Denard. He might take some even worse hits than Denard did early in his career. Denard has become very good at falling safely to the turf of running out of bounds to avoid a hit. Braxton might want to work on that. I don't really expect Michigan to win in Columbus, but I expect them to play their hearts out and compete. Can't really ask for much more than that.

I can only continue to reference the fact that I live in an onion factory.

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November 12th, 2012 at 10:35 PM | "Denard has become very good (Score:5 Normal)
UMgradMSUdad
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"Denard has become very good at falling safely to the turf...."

Well, he's immortal after all, except for the right elbow his mother held him by when she dipped him in the river Styx.

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November 13th, 2012 at 10:28 AM | That's true... (Score:2)
Blue in Yarmouth
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but Miller is also significantly bigger than Denard has ever been, not to mention how small he was as a freshman. I mean, Miller was like 6'3 210 lbs as a HS senior while Denard came in at somewhere near 6" and 170 lbs. Miller has a much bigger body to absorb some of those hits that he takes.

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November 12th, 2012 at 9:07 PM | A humble suggestion: What if (Score:1 Normal)
JimBobTressel
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Joined: 11/28/2010
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A humble suggestion: What if one of the Mgoblog staff started writing these kinds of articles about OSU each week? I think it would go over well.

ATTN NBA Dads and Siblings: Have brothers / sons on the hoops come-up? 

Michigan = NBA Family U

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November 12th, 2012 at 9:16 PM | Not sure if serious? (Score:2)
HartAttack20
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Joined: 06/08/2009
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I really can't tell if you are serious, but I think it's actually a good idea. Maybe even just as another section of unverified voracity?

I can only continue to reference the fact that I live in an onion factory.

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November 12th, 2012 at 9:28 PM | Opponent Watch?  Its (Score:2 Normal)
triangle_M
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Opponent Watch?  Its definately a diet version, but yeah, it exists.

 


And when we play as a team, when the old season is over, you and I know it’s going to be Michigan again. Michigan!

 

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November 12th, 2012 at 10:07 PM | I dunno if it counts for OSU, (Score:5 Normal)
Lionsfan
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I dunno if it counts for OSU, unless I've been really drunk all season and OSU has played Poverty, Evil, and Animal Cruelty

If you're doing nothing, how do you know when you're finished?

StraightDave owes me a steak dinner

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November 13th, 2012 at 10:18 AM | Don't forget their (Score:2)
Colt McBaby Jesus
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Don't forget their contraversial match-up against cancer.

 

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November 13th, 2012 at 6:38 AM | I like to (Score:3 Normal)
Y0ST
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Joined: 02/25/2010
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I like to think that M isn't as obsessed with O as O is with M.

"True loyalty is that quality of service that grows under adversity and expands in defeat. Any street urchin can shout applause in victory, but it takes character to stand fast in defeat. One is noise - the other, loyalty." — Yost

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November 13th, 2012 at 9:09 AM | We aren't. But that's mostly (Score:3 Normal)
Anonymosity
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Joined: 06/30/2008
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We aren't.

But that's mostly just because we're too busy talking about State.

Ann Arbor: now the permanent home of the Little Brown Jug

67-22-3 all-time

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November 13th, 2012 at 10:09 AM | I'm in favor of this. I've (Score:1)
GrowBlue
Joined: 09/15/2011
MGoPoints: 191

I'm in favor of this. I've also suggested it in Heiko's Opponent Watch.

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November 12th, 2012 at 10:42 PM | Uptick In Receiving Yards... (Score:2)
LSAClassOf2000
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Joined: 01/07/2011
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In the last two weeks, as you'll note (I will apologize if this is difficult to read - the full size chart is on the large side), the passing game has picked up quite a bit, and I think some of that is, as Gerdeman mentions, the receivers gaining some confidence. With Gardner, I think Borges feels a little more at ease to go with the West Coast playbook, as he should, and at least in my understanding, the receivers become even more critical, especially when you're using a precise horizontal game to soften up the defense for bigger plays. The receiving corps has stepped up and it has been good to see.

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3

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November 12th, 2012 at 10:50 PM | Hard to disagree with anything he said (Score:1 Flamebait)
bluetell
bluetell's picture
Joined: 07/03/2008
MGoPoints: 4770

If Kain Colter can break down the D and gallop out 5-10 yards regularly then I'm not sure what we're going to do against Braxton...

Rudy watches inspirational movies about Shawn Hunwick

 

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November 13th, 2012 at 12:25 AM | It's worth pointing out that (Score:2)
colin
colin's picture
Joined: 07/01/2008
MGoPoints: 1332

It's worth pointing out that Nebraska's offense is at least as similar as Northwestern's to Ohio's. Part of the reason that game was close was M just happening to play poorly on defense.

...the Canadians make up for it with their emotion and classic ice-dancing skill.

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November 13th, 2012 at 3:01 AM | the D had a bad game?  or (Score:-1 Flamebait)
Metzger
Metzger's picture
Joined: 08/31/2012
MGoPoints: 106

the D had a bad game?  or simply aren't good enough overall?  I hope it's the first one. 

Go Blue.  That it all.

My MGoYard

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November 12th, 2012 at 11:57 PM | ummm.. (Score:3 Normal)
PitchAndCatch
PitchAndCatch's picture
Joined: 10/17/2009
MGoPoints: 1244

you expect me to copy and paste the link like a SAVAGE?!

 

always enjoy these columns.

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November 13th, 2012 at 8:30 AM | Oops. Thank you. (Score:1)
StephenRKass
StephenRKass's picture
Joined: 07/15/2008
MGoPoints: 4202

Can't believe I did that. How gauche and uncivilized of me. Thanks for pointing that out. The shame.

Oh, and I really enjoy Michigan Monday too. I've usually found that Gerdeman has at least some real analysis and commentary. I have to say, I'm not quite as interested in what Ohio is doing as Ohio is interested in Michigan. Or maybe I just don't have the football smarts to understand and explain what they're doing very adequately, at least on my own.

"It does not matter how many times you get knocked down, but how many times you get up." Vince Lombardi

 

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November 13th, 2012 at 9:48 AM | I think Michigan matches up (Score:2)
Magnus
Magnus's picture
Joined: 07/17/2008
MGoPoints: 27432

I think Michigan matches up better with OSU's running game than Northwestern's.  OSU is more about running downhill, and Michigan's defensive line and inside linebackers hold up to those types of runs fairly well (excluding Alabama, obviously).  The wild card is Miller, who can make just about anyone miss and/or outrun just about anyone on our defense.  But the Buckeyes' running backs don't really scare me.  Hopefully Miller has an off day and makes a couple turnovers.

Twitter - Recruiting Update: May 13

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November 13th, 2012 at 12:57 PM | ohio didn't think (Score:2)
BlueinLansing
BlueinLansing's picture
Joined: 09/01/2009
MGoPoints: 4186

they'd lose last year either

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