Michigan -5 vs PSU

Submitted by RED DAWN on

Opening spread favors Michigan by 5

MGoBoard

Mr. Yost

November 15th, 2015 at 5:10 PM ^

His teams sucked on the road - especially after 2012.

In 2012 we had the breakout Devin Gardner game @ Minnesota. We also destroyed Purdue that year.

But in the Carr era we had huge wins @ND and @PSU and @MSU that people remember...I think that's why it doesn't always feel like we've won on the road.

Joined: 07/25/2011

MGoPoints: -9898220

jaysvw

November 15th, 2015 at 5:16 PM ^

Michigan has been terrible on the road for the last several years against anything remotely resembling a quality team.  The last quality win?  Sugar Bowl?  Capital One? Notre Dame 06'? Ouch.  

Joined: 09/27/2008

MGoPoints: 2838

Mr. Yost

November 15th, 2015 at 5:26 PM ^


 

MATCHUP   TIME  (ET) NAT TV LOCATION
#21Memphis
#22Temple		 12:00 PM ESPNU
WatchESPN		 Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
#23North Carolina
Virginia Tech		 12:00 PM ESPN
WatchESPN		 Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA
#14Michigan
Penn State		 12:00 PM ABC
WatchESPN		 Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
#9LSU
Ole Miss		 3:30 PM   Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
USC
Oregon		 3:30 PM ESPN
WatchESPN		 Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
#19UCLA
#10Utah		 3:30 PM   Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT
#18Northwestern
#25Wisconsin		 3:30 PM   Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
#13Michigan State
#3Ohio State		 3:30 PM ABC
WatchESPN		 Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
Boston College
#4Notre Dame		 7:30 PM NBC Fenway Park, Boston, MA
#6Baylor
#8Oklahoma State		 7:30 PM   Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
#15TCU
#12Oklahoma		 8:00 PM ABC
WatchESPN		 Memorial Stadium , Norman, OK
California
#7Stanford		 10:30 PM ESPN
WatchESPN		 Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
  1. UNC could go down @ Virginia Tech in Beamer's last game at home - Blacksburg will be rocking even though it's a noon game. Their starting QB - Michael Brewer is also back healthy and playing. I look for a Hokie win.
  2. Memphis/Temple is an intriguing matchup as well...no real impact on Michigan though. I suppose the worse Temple looks, you can associate that with ND...but ND's got to lose for Michigan to jump them, so it's not an "eye contest" conversation.
  3. LSU/Ole Miss is of interest to Michigan because they could be a Captial One/Outback Bowl matchup - that's also the only SEC game of note.
  4. UCLA and Cal have shots to put the nail in Pac-12 Champion coffin
  5. MSU must lose. They just must.
  6. Go BC!
  7. Baylor/Okie St. will be on FOX or FS1 --- TCU/Oklahoma also very intriging.

Joined: 07/25/2011

MGoPoints: -9898220

LSAClassOf2000

November 15th, 2015 at 5:56 PM ^

That's actually pretty consistent with the Sagarin prediction:

12) 85.97 (Michigan)

39) 77.14 (Penn State)

85.97-77.14 = 7.83

7.83 - 2.71 (HFA for PSU) = 5.12 in favor of Michigan.

I'll take that. It will be an interesting game regardless.

Joined: 01/07/2011

MGoPoints: 130612

reshp1

November 15th, 2015 at 6:00 PM ^

Meh, as Brian says, the last thing that happened is the thing that will always happen. There's reason for concern from the Indiana game, particularly for Ohio, but there's relatively little penn state can do to replicate Indiana's success. This defense isn't going to go from elite to terrible from one guy going down, certainly not against a team that got shut out in the first half by northwestern a week ago. If Rudock can keep up his streak of good performances, I think we win comfortably.

Joined: 10/31/2011

MGoPoints: 34177

goblue16

November 15th, 2015 at 6:04 PM ^

I think our defense matches up much better against PSU. The question is will our offense be able to put up enough points to win. I don't think ruddock will have too much time to throw in the pocket and rush of fens might struggle more than the Indiana game. Hopefully our oline can play tough enough to keep the pressure of ruddock

Joined: 03/28/2010

MGoPoints: 17468

Franz Schubert

November 15th, 2015 at 6:13 PM ^

Against Indiana

- UM defense surrendered 27 points in regulation. Same number as OSU. (This does not include punt return)

- UM defense only allowed 65 yards more than OSU in regulation.

- Sudfeld and Howard were injured and sat out a good portion of the OSU game.

- Michigan defense is better than it appeared against the run as the UM defensive gameplan     called for deep safeties in order to contain Sudfeld. They conseded some yards on the             ground to limit the deep ball. The UFR will illuminate this.

- Lastly, UM and OSU both won by 7 points.

 

Joined: 07/20/2009

MGoPoints: 4453

CoachBP6

November 15th, 2015 at 6:31 PM ^

Lol hackenberg will pick us apart just like the rest of the above avg QB's we have faced. Without Glasgow they will be able to run up the middle, and also Glasgow covered up the weakness of the LB corps. This is not a good matchup for us. Psu has good defense and a good QB. Take PSU +5. Michigan-17 PSU-26



Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad

Joined: 12/18/2013

MGoPoints: 7967

SammyBlue

November 15th, 2015 at 7:13 PM ^

The Vegas spread or the spread offense. But unlike with hoke we play slower and I fact despite the d yesterday we won the time of possession and the game. This matters. Both but the game more so

Joined: 01/01/2013

MGoPoints: 633

uminks

November 15th, 2015 at 9:50 PM ^

I just wish one game Michigan's D would get a bunch of turnovers!  I would worry more if this was an 8 PM night game. We seem to play better at Noon.

Joined: 11/10/2009

MGoPoints: 32040