November 15th, 2015 at 4:41 PM ^
Also quite a lot of DISRESPEKT, OSU -13 against State.
November 15th, 2015 at 8:51 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 4:55 PM ^
Is this a reasonable line? I don't know. OSU did not look worldbeaters either. Probably because of Cook's injury and being on the road. But -13 is a lot. That's like Alabama territory against a top-15 ranked team.
November 15th, 2015 at 6:19 PM ^
with the passing game and Elliott is going to gash them with the running game. I hope the Spartans keep it close - just 'cause I like watching Big Ten Football - but the Spartans haven't got the defense to stop an inspired Buckeyes team that I'm sure will be up for the game.
November 15th, 2015 at 4:58 PM ^
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November 15th, 2015 at 5:19 PM ^
so basically if the oddsmakers are right about both games, then we will play for a division title in two weeks.
November 15th, 2015 at 6:23 PM ^
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November 15th, 2015 at 6:30 PM ^
Mark Dantonio also has +3000 odds to become the next USC coach.
November 15th, 2015 at 9:39 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 11:35 PM ^
OSU's speed demons should feast on MSU's shaky secondary, but I think Cook can keep Sparty in the game.
November 15th, 2015 at 4:45 PM ^
It's typically a lot more likely to be 3, 4, 6, or 7.
It won't stay at 5. I'd guess this gets quickly bet either up to 6 or down to 3.5 or 4, then stays at that number for the week.
November 15th, 2015 at 4:45 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 4:46 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 4:49 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 4:58 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 4:59 PM ^
Actually, over the last decade plus, that would have been a winning strategy. Someone posted a while back that UM is one of the two or three worst in college football at covering the spread the last 15 years or so...
November 15th, 2015 at 5:12 PM ^
While I haven't looked back, at least for this season Michigan has covered most of the spreads while MSU has covered maybe one or two. That does sound pretty reasonable though because of the huge number of Michigan fans that would bet on them no matter what.
November 15th, 2015 at 5:25 PM ^
Michigan is 5-5 against the spread this season, which isn't too far off their 10-year average. Since 2006 they are 51-67-5 ATS (43.2%). There are only 8 teams that have been worse over that time.
So he's right, had you consistently bet against Michigan on the spread over the last 10 years, you would have made a nice little profit.
And just for shits and giggles, guess who the best at covering the spread over the last 10 seasons is? Ohio State at 75-50-2 (60%). Impressive.
November 15th, 2015 at 5:28 PM ^
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November 15th, 2015 at 5:44 PM ^
Its also pretty far off from "covered most of the spreads" which is what I was responding to.
But to your point, its only one-game off which in this situation is as close as you can get. So like I said, is not too far off.
November 15th, 2015 at 6:32 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 7:55 PM ^
And now I want BBQ.
November 15th, 2015 at 11:15 PM ^
In how many of the seasons since 2006 did the college football world think Michigan was worse at the end of the year than at the beginning? Teams usually don't cover when they are getting exposed.
I don't think I'd fail to distinguish between the Harbaugh regime with the RichRod & Hoke regimes.
November 15th, 2015 at 5:06 PM ^
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November 15th, 2015 at 5:43 PM ^
Since 2006, Michigan is 17-28-1 (37.8%) on the road against the spread. Third worst in the FBS. As an away favorite, they are just 7-13 (35%) in that span.
The last 10 years have been rough.
BONUS, BONUS FUN FACT: They are 1-2 ATS on the road as a favorite this season.
November 15th, 2015 at 6:06 PM ^
Super interesting info you've got here, where are you getting it from? I would love to do some CFB ATS analysis for fun
November 15th, 2015 at 7:57 PM ^
TeamRankings has good info. All nicely organized too.
November 15th, 2015 at 8:02 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 6:34 PM ^
Not playing a spread offense.
I can't expect our offense to play as well, but the defense will play better. I think we're in grind mode now. Guys are BANGED UP. It's now a war of attrition. I think we focus, lock in, and take advantage of the early start, quieter crowd, etc.
I am looking for a very OSU/MSU lazy, boring, ugly but effective type wins for Michigan.
I look for one of those 27-17 noon game snoozers for the rest of the country. The perfect type game to say "whatever...we've got OSU next week. We survived...now let's root as hard as we can for MSU to lose (because we'd never root for someone to win)."
That said, I have a sneaky funny feeling that PSU beats MSU in a couple of weeks. Then MSU will win the Outback Bowl or something and proclaim their relevance with another 10 win season.
November 15th, 2015 at 6:36 PM ^
I agree with you.
Indiana went for a bunch of 4th downs, played up tempo, and spread.
Penn State will punt on 4th down on their own 40.
The defense should get a wake up call after Indiana. I'm guessing we win in the 7-10 point range.
November 15th, 2015 at 7:50 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 8:26 PM ^
They're horrible in space...should've played Ross and Gedeon more against IU.
I think they'll be solid against PSU, but Zeke Elliott is going to be a huge problem.
November 15th, 2015 at 4:50 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 4:52 PM ^
Something the other staff couldn't do regularly.
November 15th, 2015 at 5:22 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 5:53 PM ^
Nebraska dominated the Gophers in Minneapolis, 48-25.
But yes, Utah is a good team and Wilson's Indiana isn't your older brother's Indiana.
November 15th, 2015 at 4:58 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 5:02 PM ^
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November 15th, 2015 at 5:27 PM ^
This game has ugly shitfest written all over it. It'll be something dumb like 18-16.
November 15th, 2015 at 6:21 PM ^
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November 15th, 2015 at 9:54 PM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 5:03 PM ^
Sounds like the line setters respect our team more than a seemingly large segment of the board.
November 15th, 2015 at 7:03 PM ^
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November 16th, 2015 at 4:29 AM ^
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November 16th, 2015 at 6:38 AM ^
November 15th, 2015 at 5:04 PM ^
This has the makings of a 17-14 kind of game that is decided by a turnover, a missed assignment, or 1-2 big plays in either side's passing game.
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November 15th, 2015 at 5:04 PM ^
A little much IMO. When's the last time we won on the road convincingly?
November 15th, 2015 at 5:07 PM ^
We beat Maryland 28-0 just this year. They were never in the game.