joeyb

October 31st, 2011 at 12:11 AM ^

I suppose if Michigan wins out then you would have to favor Wisconsin as the favorite because the chances of PSU winning 2 games or beating Wisconsin on the road are pretty small. However, if OSU and Wisconsin both winout, OSU will represent the East. I tend to think that Wisconsin will curb stomp MSU if there is a rematch, but I wouldn't guarantee a Wisconsin win. If OSU is in the game, I still think MSU will win.

Side Note: If Michigan and OSU winout until The Game and MSU loses a game, Michigan and OSU are playing for a spot in the BTCG.

Gorgeous Borges

October 31st, 2011 at 8:20 AM ^

Here's an interesting scenario. Say Michigan wins out until the Ohio State game, Nebraska wins except for at Michigan, and Michigan State inexplicably drops one to Iowa or Minnesota #HALOL. Then Michigan is guaranteed a spot in the Big Ten Championship game regardless of whether they win against Ohio State or not. Either Michigan wins and ends up with a 7-1 Big Ten record, or Michigan loses but ends up with a 6-2 Big Ten record in a tie with MSU and Nebraska, but breaks that tie because Michigan will have a 5-1 division record, as opposed to MSU and Nebraska, which have 4-2 division records.

GRFS11

October 30th, 2011 at 11:21 PM ^

It's just really hard to win on the road in college football, especially in the power conferences.  All this craziness is much more easily explained in that one simple sentence.

WolverineQuaker

October 31st, 2011 at 2:08 AM ^

Can the Broncos just go ahead and join a legitimate BCS-AQ conference and play a consistently more difficult schedule week-to-week?  I'm sick of them being the "BCS busters" every year and setting off the obligatory discussion comparing major and mid-major teams.  Yeah, they've beaten several good teams in recent memory but it's easier to get up for individual games than an entire season's worth.

Oh, and by legitimate conference, I don't mean the Big East (no offense to UConn, who's just down the road from my hometown).  Their football just doesn't do it for me.

BobMass

October 31st, 2011 at 12:23 PM ^

Ending the year in the top ten would be sweet. A BCS bowl game even sweeter . Winning out and playing in the first B1G championship the sweetest.

Given that few people think this is a great team, that this doesn't fee like a top 10 team,  makes me very happy about our future. This is a team that is winning games now. And getting better. Getting more experience in Hoke & Company's system. With more talent coming. 

This is not the end. This is not the beginning of the end........

 

Soulfire21

October 31st, 2011 at 1:16 PM ^

I know there are quite a few posters that consider Michigan to be overranked at 15th in the BCS and 13th in both major polls.

Looking through the rankings, we are ranked ahead of only two 1-loss teams (read: We're one of the lowest ranked 1 loss teams).

For example,

In the BCS:

  • Oklahoma, Arkansas, Oregon, South Carolina, Nebraska, Clemson, VA Tech, and K-State are all 1-loss teams ranked ahead of Michigan.  
  • We check in at 15th, and are ranked ahead of only PSU and Southern Mississippi (the other ranked, 1-loss teams)

You could maybe make an argument that Penn State deserves to be ranked ahead of us (they are 8-1, 5-0 in conference) but Penn State has only played the weaker teams in the Big Ten (Indiana, Iowa, Purdue, Northwestern, Illinois), and they have barely gotten by doing so (average margin of victory is less than a TD at 6.8 pts).

So, Alabama/LSU level?  Not at all, but overranked?  I don't really think so.