MBB Remaining Schedule Side-by-Side

Submitted by GRFS11 on

It's probably helpful to look at the remaining conference schedules for the top four B1G teams (for now, I am excluding Minnesota and Ohio St from title contention, because it seems like a longshot).

 

Michigan (0 losses) MSU (1 loss) Iowa (2 losses) Wisconsin (3 losses)

Purdue

 @Iowa MSU NW
@IU PSU @UI Ohio St
Nebraska @Wisconsin Ohio St @UI
@Iowa NW Michigan MSU
@Ohio St Nebraska @PSU Minnesota
Wisconsin @Purdue @IU @Michigan
MSU @Michigan Wisconsin @Iowa
@Purdue UI @Minnesota IU
Minnesota Iowa Purdue @PSU
@UI @Ohio St @MSU Purdue
IU   UI @Nebraska
6 home/5 away 5 home/5 away 6 home/5 away 6 home/5 away

 

Michigan's hardest 4 remaining games:  @Iowa, @Ohio St, Wisconsin, MSU

MSU's hardest 4 remaining games:  @Iowa, @Wisconsin, @Michigan, Iowa/@Ohio St

Iowa's hardest 4 remaining games:  MSU, Michigan, Wisconsin/@Minnesota, @MSU

Wisconsin's hardest 4 remaining games:  Ohio St/Minnesota, MSU, @Michigan, @Iowa

 

What is apparent is that (1) if we win all our home games, it will be very, very difficult for someone to outright beat us; (2) MSU would appear to have the hardest remaining schedule, with away games at the other 3 contenders plus @Ohio St; (3) it is REALLY good that Wisconsin has suffered a few losses, because their schedule is favorable going down the stretch.  It is also crucial that we don't have a letdown and lose 1-2 of the next 3, because that squanders the advantage in the schedule.

 

 

MGoBoard

mfan_in_ohio

January 27th, 2014 at 7:12 PM ^

(via rpiforecast.com) Michigan has about a 57% chance of going 15-3 or better in the B1G. MSU has a 22% chance of 15-3 or better. Iowa is at 15%, Wisconsin at 1%. For 14-4 or better, the percentages are Michigan 81%, MSU 52%, Iowa 41%, and Wisconsin 7%. Wisconsin is almost out of it at this point, and will almost certainly need a win in Crisler to have any chance. It's amazing, given the parity of recent years, that 2/3 to 3/4 of the league is effectively eliminated from the title race barely a third of the way through the season.

Joined: 01/26/2009

MGoPoints: 18183

champswest

January 27th, 2014 at 8:27 PM ^

Thankfully, we already have a win against them. I think Iowa will destroy MSU tomorrow (in part due to UM hangover) and maybe also win at MSU. State's only 2 loses have come at home and they had to go overtime against OSU and Minnesota.

Joined: 10/04/2009

MGoPoints: 25910

fukkyt

January 28th, 2014 at 1:14 AM ^

Didnt one of the computer predictors give Michigan a 3.5% chance of going 3-0?  Don't take rpiforecast.com too seriously.  A team can easily go into an 0-3 hole.  Ask Iowa St, Oregon, OSU and Wisconsin.

Joined: 01/04/2010

MGoPoints: 262