Go home, you're drunk.
Mathematical analysis: Michigan has a 81.45 percent chance of winning the NCAA tournament
If that is the case, then his math while drunk is far better than the majority of Sparties while sober.
My guess is he's drunk AT home. Still.... flawless maths.
Well I can't argue with basic arithmetic -- Senator Francis J. Underwood
Would never write on the board. He'd have Doug or Russo do it for him
stay here, you're drunk and it's wonderful
...and the NIT has a lock on NYC. How come the NCAA tournement is never in the Big Apple? This is bullshit, but I still like our chances.
Obvious flaw here is you must use the state, not the city.
I never argue with the maths.
This should replace Kenpom. Pitt at #8? They must've had an early shipment of Oberon over there.
I wonder how we will perform in Toronto and Ghana with UofT and Ghana U joining the B1G respectively.
And we don't. I think Michigan would still win.
Ghana's best chance is if they play by FIFA rules.
I've read about this, it's legit.
You left out the Kansas variable...
Wouldn't the math actually be (19/20)*(20/21)*(21/22)*(22/23) = 82.6%?
Exactly, history majors don't know shit for math. As a sociology major, however, I don't even need my calculator app to figure out a tip anymore.
As an English major (LSA '1993), I have a correction to your thread title, which should read: "Michigan has an 81.45 percent chance of winning the NCAA tournament." But your maths look perfect to me--that's the important part.
No. A team's city-letter-win-percentage is defined by "the winning percentage of all games with a particular beginning letter before March 25th of the current calendar year."
So, unfortunately, our 95% is locked in. At least that's how I understand it.
ahhh, my bad. many apologies
Flashbacks of Math 425 my senior year
I have a Math 425 exam tomorrow morning. Good thing I came here while studying.
It's a good thing we're in the South regional, otherwise we'd have no data to go on.
That doesn't sound right, but I don't know enough about maths to dispute him.
Grumble grumble, correlation...hrmph, causation...
Hey stats guy, fuck yourself! I've been watching that feed from Spike to GRIII too many times to care about your "math"!!!!!!!!
Bravo. This seems to makes too much sense for one to question
Guess its time to head to Vegas, with these numbers in hand those odds on Michigan reaching the Final Four and winning the whole thing look like easy money.
I will send you a thank you letter after I have all my winnings in hand from some exotic location.
My chiropractor/phrenologist told me the bumps on my noggin mean Michigan has a 92.7% chance of winning.
Not the worst place to have bumps, trust me.
if you know what I mean.
Corelation != Causation
Considering their 1-0 regular season records in West Lafayette and Ann Arbor.
This is not the thread for your negativity.
What will you do with all your bracket pool winnings?
us get by KU and move forward? If we force an up-tempo style against Kansas, everybody keeps saying how VCU style played right into our strength, well let's use that strength.
If we win and face Florida and they like to press too and that would be good for us. If FGCU wins, I think their run would end against us in a bad way for them as our talent would overcome them especially with them liking an up-tempo style too, just perfect....the key is getting past KU.
Hi, I'm Blazefire. You may remember me from drunk math posts like "How hot is Denard - A Scientific Inquiry".
I'm here today to let you know that I support this post. Remember, it's math you can trust because it's alcohol driven!
I believe it
My head. Hurts. Too many numbers.
We all know 86 == 1, and we have an 81.45% to win it all. That means, by my predictions, we should score 70.0 points in every game in Atlanta.
/THE NEW MATHS
I not a math wizard, but this seems completely sound and not at all subject to ridicule. Kudos, Sir. I shall now celebrate with 7 mugs of grain alcohol. And 1 tequila sunrise.
I don't know what kind of witchcraft this math thing is, but I don't like it.
...and in the time it took me to just lay out the comprehensive, 256-line table of possible Elite Eight matchups (forget further rounds for a moment) and their relative probabilities, Butterfield goes and devises a better math. Well done indeed, sir. I actually enjoy your results and method much better than mine:
The math doesn't lie!!
my god you're an idiot.
Math checks out to me.
IT'S POSTS LIKE THIS THAT REMIND ME WHY I READ MGOBLOG!!!!1! GREAT WORK!!!
we need to increase the create a thread point total to 2000...