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M Hoops - First Take

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November 14th, 2012 at 8:47 AM
#1
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 51884
M Hoops - First Take

I follow Michigan basketball intently, however life's demands rarely allow me the time to seach for some obscure media outled-feed-stream type thingy to watch the early season exhibitionish slate, so last night was my first look at the madness taking place inside Crisler.  I have followed Michigan basketball intently, suffering along with Courtney Sims and Lester Abram in an empathatic fashion as opposed to at their expense in those years, and was anxious to take a look at this team.

For those that follow this blog primarily for football with a little basketball and hockey thrown in their during slow times, it is time to pay attention to Michigan basketball.  I understand "Cleveland State, consider the opponent, don't get ahead of yourselves etc." and agree with all of that, but what Beilien trotted out there last night has the making of an elite basketball team, not next year, or once "these guys mature," also known in college basketball as the team that struggles for 4 seed and goes out in the second round, but in the Kentucky, Final Four, did you see that dunk kind of way.  And the chemistry that is already evidenced with so many new faces is the kind of thing that creates special teams.  I am excited about taking this show to Madison Square Garden, and I think Michigan maybe the show as opposed to part of it.  These guys are good and this team may have been worth the long, long wait that hoops fans have endured to see Crisler really rocking again.

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:02 AM
#2
His Dudeness
Joined: 11/24/2008
MGoPoints: -104
Try not to get ahead of

Try not to get ahead of yourself here, but I agree they can grow into an elite team if they keep up the intensity they showed last night. When the best players on the team are diving for loose balls (TWSS) and taking charges when the team is up 30 in the second half that is quite a thing.

The guys also seem to play together very smoothly. I assume that is from playing together on the AAU squad  for some of them. This team is young though and with youth comes incredible potential and incredible risk for... well... you already know.  

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:15 AM
(Reply to #2) #3
mGrowOld
mGrowOld's picture
Joined: 10/04/2010
MGoPoints: 111763
Final fours? Yup.....I know.

Final fours? Yup.....I know.

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:02 AM
#4
moetown91
moetown91's picture
Joined: 12/05/2010
MGoPoints: 249
couldnt agree with you more!

I don't post often but follow this blog daily!  What I saw last night looked like a team that has been playing together for years.  It's going to be a fun ride for sure!

 

Go Blue!

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:06 AM
#5
Michigan4Life
Joined: 07/29/2010
MGoPoints: 16385
Don't look now but

Michigan moved up from #13 to #4 in KenPom rating. 

 

http://kenpom.com/

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:15 AM
(Reply to #4) #6
Daniel
Daniel's picture
Joined: 11/26/2011
MGoPoints: 956
Now we're just waiting on Dan Hanner.

.

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:15 AM
(Reply to #4) #7
His Dudeness
Joined: 11/24/2008
MGoPoints: -104
The upcoming Pitt game should

The upcoming Pitt game should be fun.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:26 AM
(Reply to #4) #8
goblueatkettering
goblueatkettering's picture
Joined: 12/17/2008
MGoPoints: 2885
Wow, four out of the top 5

Wow, four out of the top 5 are B1G teams. Should be a great year for hoops.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:36 AM
(Reply to #18) #9
Michigan4Life
Joined: 07/29/2010
MGoPoints: 16385
Plus Minnesota

to round out the top 15.  B1G is deep and talented.  Michigan going undefeated in nonconference is very realistic if they can win Preseason NIT and get past NC State.

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:20 AM
#10
bdsisme
bdsisme's picture
Joined: 09/19/2010
MGoPoints: 9061
Prediction: UMHoops.com is

Prediction: UMHoops.com is going to have to invest in MOAR SERVERS

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:26 AM
(Reply to #8) #11
coldnjl
Joined: 12/31/2009
MGoPoints: 12624
Although this should be its

Although this should be its own topic, if any MgoBloggers frequent UMHoops.com, I strongly suggest that you give a little to their own donation drive. They do a great job there, and with an up-and-coming team like we have now, an invaluable resource...PLEASE DONATE like we know that MgoBlog can

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:38 AM
(Reply to #8) #12
Daniel
Daniel's picture
Joined: 11/26/2011
MGoPoints: 956
The quality of Michigan Basketball's play

and quantity of umhoops output are on the same exponential curve. (umhoops' coverage has always been quality.)

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:57 AM
#13
JeepinBen
JeepinBen's picture
Joined: 01/22/2010
MGoPoints: 25475
What struck me last night

I didn't think Michigan played well. At all. Played pretty good defense for the most part, but we had a TON of mistakes. And yes, Cleveland State, but we absolutely dominated. Despite wasting a ton of possessions. As this team improves and starts clicking, we're going to be awful scary. Hopefully we put it all together in March.

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November 14th, 2012 at 2:19 PM
(Reply to #11) #14
Blue boy johnson
Joined: 03/15/2009
MGoPoints: 6350
This is not necessarily

This is not necessarily directed at you but.....

Basketball is a game of mistakes, missed shots, poor decisions in real time, bad execution... In short there are a multitude of things that can and will go wrong over the course of a bball game. When you have a team with one senior playing significant minutes; Shit gonna happen. If you want to enjoy this tremendous product know as M basketball, then roll with the "TON of mistakes", because that's basketball. You ever play against a bunch of very athletic, aggressive, inspired kids like Cleveland State rolled out last night? Can be a frustrating proposition, and M was up 42-14 at the half. All I could do was smile at what I was witnessing.

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November 14th, 2012 at 4:19 PM
(Reply to #54) #15
trueblueintexas
trueblueintexas's picture
Joined: 11/10/2008
MGoPoints: 14464
I'm happy to see the team

I'm happy to see the team Beilein has put together and the results so far this year have been great. That said, there will be some moments this year when you ask what happened. Check out the second half scoring last night (I think it was 35 - 33). And that was not all junk baskets at the end. Cleveland St played even in the second half.  You can point out 42 - 14 all you want, I gaurantee Beilein had a  long talk with the team last night about closing out. That's the difference between a true Final Four contender and just a tournament team.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:05 AM
#16
Brown Bear
Brown Bear's picture
Joined: 01/10/2011
MGoPoints: 35139
I read on espn that the last

I read on espn that the last time we won three games in a row by 30 points or more was 1988. Impressive to say the least.....oh yea I believe we won something that year as well.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:16 AM
#17
jonnyknox
jonnyknox's picture
Joined: 01/28/2011
MGoPoints: 821
Depth

I know it's early in the year and they are able to emply the bench but it looks like at least a 9 player rotation when the games get tighter.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:26 AM
(Reply to #14) #18
Michigan4Life
Joined: 07/29/2010
MGoPoints: 16385
Yup

looks like Burke/Hardaway/Vogrich/GRIII/Morgan starting line up with Stauskas/McGary/Horford/Albrecht coming off the bench with the occasional McLimans appearance if 2 of the bigs are in foul trouble.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:05 AM
(Reply to #16) #19
doughboy
doughboy's picture
Joined: 10/27/2009
MGoPoints: 1415
Not so sure

about Vogrich starting.  Although I'm a big fan of Matt, watching him the past five games is a little painful.  Last night we were all rooting for him to make a three-pointer.  He finally got on the board with a bunny under the basket, but went 0-fer from three land.  

It looks like the coaches are giving Matt every opportunity to keep his starting position.  IMO, Nik looks better after five games in the lineup then Matt.  Nice problem to have trying to figure out if a Senior or a Freshman gets more minutes.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:27 AM
(Reply to #26) #20
Michigan4Life
Joined: 07/29/2010
MGoPoints: 16385
Vogrich is better defensively

as of now which is why he won the starting job.  Stauskas is a better shooter and has more diverse game than Vogrich but defense lags behind.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:33 AM
(Reply to #32) #21
Magnus
Magnus's picture
Joined: 07/17/2008
MGoPoints: 123042
I like Stauskas coming off

I like Stauskas coming off the bench.  He can keep the scoring going while some of the starters are getting some rest.  If you start Stauskas, all the bench guys are just so-so offensive players.  McGary can score a little bit, but I don't know if he can create for himself; he needs someone to get him the ball on the fast break, or he needs to score second-chance points.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:41 AM
(Reply to #35) #22
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 51884
And

Vogrich brings can channel his inner Zach Novak quite a bit.  He gets in there and rebounds and battles.  Vogrich brings some experience and grit to the floor.

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November 14th, 2012 at 12:48 PM
(Reply to #35) #23
Michigan4Life
Joined: 07/29/2010
MGoPoints: 16385
There are trends

of having a good offensive players coming off the bench to give a offensive boost especially against 2nd team.  Look at Manu Ginobilli, James Harden(before OKC/Houston trade).  They are very talented player but comes off the bench.  They obviously logged heavy minutes and play in crunch time.

 

Time have changed with regards to players coming off the bench because as long as they play a big role especially at the end, they would be okay with it.

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November 14th, 2012 at 1:11 PM
(Reply to #42) #24
M-Wolverine
M-Wolverine's picture
Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 42199
It's always been good to have some instant heat off the bench

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November 14th, 2012 at 1:51 PM
(Reply to #35) #25
Mich Mash
Mich Mash's picture
Joined: 10/01/2012
MGoPoints: 279
I can see it either way...

...but I do think Stauskas starting would be better.  Vogrich could also provide an immediate spark off the bench and might encourage him to fine-tune his shooting over everything else.  Overall, I think Stauskas is the best man for the job, especially as the season wears on and his defense improves.

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November 14th, 2012 at 2:52 PM
(Reply to #51) #26
Magnus
Magnus's picture
Joined: 07/17/2008
MGoPoints: 123042
How could Vogrich be a spark

How could Vogrich be a spark off the bench?  He shot .382 last year and .302 from three.  His numbers are even worse this year.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:30 AM
(Reply to #26) #27
BlockM
BlockM's picture
Joined: 07/03/2008
MGoPoints: 28426
I think it makes sense for

I think it makes sense for Stauskas to come off the bench and then play more minutes than Vogrich. The benefits of having Stauskas on the floor against another team's backups right away are huge.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:15 AM
(Reply to #16) #28
ross03
Joined: 08/06/2009
MGoPoints: 209
Bielfeldt

I thought Bielfeldt looked pretty good in limited minutes.  He's a solid defender and rebounder and may be as good or better than McLimans especially if we need D and rebounding over offense.

Having depth and options is phenomenal.  I think what Coach B. has done with no depth over the last few years is a testament to how good a coach he is.  Same coaching with talent and depth could be scary for other teams out there.

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November 14th, 2012 at 1:00 PM
(Reply to #29) #29
True Blue Grit
True Blue Grit's picture
Joined: 01/21/2011
MGoPoints: 16085
I definitely think Bielfeldt will be a better

player than McLimans.  In addition to rebounding, it looks like Bielfeldt has more of an inside scoring game than McLimans.  The latter seems more content to bomb them in from outside than bang around on the inside.  With all our other outside options, I'd rather have Bielfeldt in there near the basket. 

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November 14th, 2012 at 1:54 PM
(Reply to #44) #30
Mich Mash
Mich Mash's picture
Joined: 10/01/2012
MGoPoints: 279
Not too much of a disagreement...

....but I think McLimans has a bit more in his toolbag right now than Bielfeldt.  He has better shooting range (inexplicably) and he seems to be a bit more mobile (also inexplicably).  This is a great problem to have though..finally with more capable big men than there are minutes to play.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:18 AM
#31
Wolverine Devotee
Wolverine Devotee's picture
Joined: 06/29/2009
MGoPoints: 126238
Love this team already.

Love this team already.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:26 AM
#32
Mmmm Hmmm
Mmmm Hmmm's picture
Joined: 09/12/2010
MGoPoints: 4476
Question for those that follow basketball more closely

On the theme of "it's only Cleveland State"* from the OP: In football, killing a creampuff often tells you little about the team, especially if you have a dynamic offense and a passable defense.  Some good teams have trouble with creampuffs, but you get plenty of BCS teams that kill creampuffs but then struggle with middle-of-the-road conference teams.  I attribute at least some of that for scheme and matchups being more important than talent alone, and that good teams often do not scheme heavily for filler teams.

Maybe there is not a simple answer, but can you learn more from beating creampuffs in basketball?  I get the sense that upsets happen more often in basketball, but does that lead to learning more about the good teams?  Is it that you can learn a bunch by watching a good team against a bad team, looking at things that may not show up in a box score?

Thanks in advance.

* Note: I have no idea whether Cleveland State is actually creampuff or not this year.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:35 AM
(Reply to #17) #33
Michigan4Life
Joined: 07/29/2010
MGoPoints: 16385
So far

not much.  Good thing that Michigan dominated the way they are supposed to dominate which is a sign of a top 5 team.

Cleveland State is a pretty solid team, but they lost 4 starters and is expected to be bad this year.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:39 AM
(Reply to #17) #34
aiglick
Joined: 11/27/2010
MGoPoints: 7860
Going with Dylan from umhoops

Going with Dylan from umhoops Cleveland State is projected to finish around 100 by the end of the year (out of 325 or something like that). Also they were picked around 5th in the Horizon League which traditionally is one of the better mid major conferences.

That said both Cleveland State and the Horizon League look to be a little down right now. Cleveland State lost four starters from last year's squad so they have a bit of growing up to do.

Summary: this isn't beating Duke, Kansas, or Kentucky but is also not beating Arkansas Pjne-Bluff or Bryant either. Pretty solid victory and we should learn a fair amount over the next few games the last one being number 6 NCSU which is projected to win the ACC.

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:47 AM
(Reply to #17) #35
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 51884
It is different in

basketball.  Basketball is susceptible to more random variables such as the heavier involvement of officials on a play to play basis, shooters being either "hot" or "cold" whereas for the most part in football players are what they are and do what they do at a pretty constant level throughout, and the relative shortness of a basketball game as compared to football where the clearly better team has a longer period of time to disstance themselves from an inferior team.

In basketball, when you watch a really good team play, ask yourself the question "would a more quality opponent have made any difference in terms of their ability to stop that play."  What you are seeing from Michigan is a level of talent where some of the things they do they do irrespective of opponent.  Trey Burke can give a jab step and step back and hit a Bill Raftery "onions" type three regardless of whether they are playing Cleveland State or Michigan State, the only difference being that MSU has players that can do it back to Michigan on the otherside.

The type of team that Michigan has this year can trot out on the floor and scrimmage Cleveland State to a 30 point win without so much as paying attention based simply on the quality of talent on the floor.  As identified abovem, Michigan did not even have to play "good" for that game to look like that, they did not have to shoot well, they were not susceptible to the variables identified above due to the overwhelming talent on the floor.  Compare that with a Novak and Douglas type team that has to win games cerebrally even against supposed inferior opponents.  

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November 14th, 2012 at 10:54 AM
#36
go16blue
go16blue's picture
Joined: 04/28/2010
MGoPoints: 6746
My only complaint right now

My only complaint right now is that we have a poor conversion rate on alley-oops. Yup, this team looks good.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:02 AM
#37
timtebro
timtebro's picture
Joined: 06/08/2010
MGoPoints: 8495
I thought this thread was

I thought this thread was going to preview M hoops being discussed on ESPN First Take... Damn..

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:33 AM
(Reply to #25) #38
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 51884
ESPN

First take is some bad watchin.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:45 AM
(Reply to #25) #39
kevnblue
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Joined: 02/20/2011
MGoPoints: 326
I never...ever want to hear

I never...ever want to hear Skip Bayless say GRIII or Trey Burke's name. Ever.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:15 AM
#40
ClearEyesFullHart
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Joined: 09/09/2011
MGoPoints: 2756
So many weapons...

CSU had to run a box and one to slow down Nik Stauskas! How many of us even know how to spell that?

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:15 AM
#41
ohio
Joined: 09/04/2011
MGoPoints: 229
Biefeldt looks as big, strong

Biefeldt looks as big, strong and athletic as McGary does! ..In the little bit of time he saw. I dont think Beilein can afford to redshirt him despite the ridiculous frontcourt depth. I mean it is in fact ridiculous esp considering recent years. Stauskas can actually dribble a little bit too. I do not see a weakness on this team. Beilein said he couldn't see his team being up on Navy by 30 in the second half before SVSU game and has won all 3 subsequent games by 30. He has to be amazed himself at what he has brought to Michigan. This is exciting.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:35 AM
(Reply to #28) #42
UMGoRoss
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Joined: 03/08/2011
MGoPoints: 1496
Redshirt

Biefeldt was redshirted last year, so that's a moot point. Agree that he looked good in his limited minutes, especially grabbing rebounds.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:56 AM
(Reply to #28) #43
Naked Bootlegger
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Joined: 01/28/2011
MGoPoints: 15439
Two consecutive redshirt years

Would be amazing for Biefeldt!  

He's thick and strong.   I think he will contribute throughout his career.   I hope he evolves into a righty version of Graham Brown.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:22 AM
#44
mgoback
Joined: 12/02/2011
MGoPoints: 310
Does anybody know where i can

Does anybody know where i can buy tickets for the NIT games in MSG? thanks.

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November 14th, 2012 at 1:14 PM
(Reply to #30) #45
M-Wolverine
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Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 42199
Uhm....at MSG?

Or their website.

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November 14th, 2012 at 1:23 PM
(Reply to #47) #46
thisisme08
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Joined: 12/02/2008
MGoPoints: 2701
^ logic, the OP does not have

^ logic, the OP does not have it.

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:25 AM
#47
Darker Blue
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Joined: 10/30/2011
MGoPoints: 23318
This team is gonna be a lot

This team is gonna be a lot of fun to watch. I haven't been this excited about U of M hoops since the start of the Fab Five's sophomore year. 

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:49 AM
#48
turd ferguson
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Joined: 12/09/2009
MGoPoints: 26489
I liked this line: "suffering

I liked this line:

"suffering along with Courtney Sims and Lester Abram in an empathatic fashion as opposed to at their expense in those years"

Ace's "haha, didn't Gavin Groninger and Avery Queen and all those guys suck" post yesterday kind of rubbed me the wrong way.  It's not like we sucked because of them. 

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November 14th, 2012 at 11:56 AM
#49
mistersuits
Joined: 01/27/2010
MGoPoints: 2416
next three games

Could potentially be against three consecutive KenPom top 20 teams.

Pitt - #12
K-State - #16
NC State - #21

A 6-0 Michigan team having won Pre-season NIT and their ACC-B1G challenge matchup would mean it's time to start making your reservations for Atlanta. Long way to go to get there but hopefully Horford and McGary can make big strides the next couple weeks in their rehab/conditioning and Burke/Hardaway stay focused and locked in.

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November 14th, 2012 at 1:16 PM
#50
VSS
Joined: 06/23/2011
MGoPoints: 149
My main concern with the team

My main concern with the team is overall athleticism. McGary and Stauskas are pretty athletic, as is Biefeldt, along with most of the guys in our starting five. But, elite programs will have great athletes who play good defense, rebound well, and transition well so I'm curious to see how we match up there.

We've been able to give Burke some time on the bench, but another one of my concerns is our depth at the point guard position. Looks like Hardaway Jr. may be bringing the ball up a considerable amount, but I want to see how our backups dictate the pace of the game and set up the offense. 

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November 14th, 2012 at 2:11 PM
(Reply to #48) #51
Willy Wonka
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Joined: 01/21/2012
MGoPoints: 2966
So you're saying

That Novak, Douglass, and Smotrycz were athletic than the current freshmen? I like the ability to have length on the perimeter as well as the ability to throw the ball to the rim for our players to finish. Beats having to lay the ball off to guys who don't dunk.

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November 14th, 2012 at 3:07 PM
(Reply to #48) #52
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 51884
I don't

think a front line, starters and bench, of GR III, Morgan, Horford, and McGary fall into an athletically challenged category.  Their athleticism is what impresses me the most.

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November 14th, 2012 at 6:25 PM
(Reply to #56) #53
VSS
Joined: 06/23/2011
MGoPoints: 149
I think we are athletic,

I think we are athletic, generally speaking, but I want to see if we can take the next step and I think our lack of athleticism has been a bit of a weakness with Beilein's teams thus far. If we can match up in the athleticism department with MSU and OSU, let alone Kansas, Kentucky, etc., than along with our other strengths, than I think we'll be legit contenders.

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November 14th, 2012 at 7:06 PM
(Reply to #59) #54
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 51884
Fair

enough.  (I think we are more athletic than Staee right now)

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November 14th, 2012 at 1:16 PM
#55
MGoClimb
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Joined: 07/31/2012
MGoPoints: 5581
These upcoming games will be

These upcoming games will be good tests for this team.  I may be impatient and may want to watch this team play again sooner as opposed to later, but having a week to practice and get in conditioning will be a great benefit for the players.

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November 14th, 2012 at 9:34 PM
#56
champswest
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Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 18412
Watching the NCAAs last year,

I was struck by how athletic the elite teams were and how far behind we were. I think that we have closed the gap in a hurry.

My concern is defense, as most championship teams are very good defensively. We are okay, but need to improve.

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