Losing Denard Robinson and finding an offensive identity

Submitted by Blazefire on

I see so, so many people complaining about the lack of a steady offensive concept, and an effective one, and I'm trying to understand the complaints as they relate to this year. I want to know what other people think as far as how the loss of a record setter affects a team going forward.

The past four years, Denard Robinson has been the face of Michigan Football. When the offense was working, he was amazing. When the offense wasn't working, he was still amazing. How many times did a play or an entire game almost fall apart entirely only to become "DO SOMETHING DENARD! Oh, wow... did you see what he did? DID YA!?!"

What I want to know is, what do fans think is a reasonable amount of time for a program to find its identity going forward following four years of DENARD DO SOMETHING football? Pre season? One game? Four? One Season?

I personally think that once you no longer have, nor expect to have, Denard Robinson\ in your backfield, it makes sense that you would at first try to go the other way, to bring some sense into your game, since so often, plays with Denard made no sense, and that's what made them awesome. I would, in fact, expect somewhere between one half and one full season, the team would start to figure out what works and what doesn't following four years of having a guy that made nothing and everything work.

What's your timeline?

jdon

October 27th, 2013 at 1:32 AM ^

what we should be talking about is Hoke's history on the road... fuck offensive identity, defensive mismatches and all that other bullshit.   how come our teams under hoke kick so much ass at home and suck so much balls NTTAWWT on the road?

love,

jdon

 

jonvalk

October 27th, 2013 at 1:47 AM ^

Honestly, I think we've just under-utilized Funchess and Gallon together. Those two are a nightmare matchup for most secondaries when DF is lined up as a WR and not a TE. Unless he has the dropsies, Funchess almost demands bracketing. If you do that, you leave room for Gallon to make a move one-on-one with a DB and kill you. So then you switch back to single coverage to address the JG issue and Funchess wins the one-on-one. I think you run 65% shotgun just because it's DG in the backfield and that gives him the best shot at not having one of his "run backwards whilst spinning" plays.

With our offensive line right now, I think you have to set up the run via the pass, not the other way around.

I like the little wrinkles I keep seeing in every new game. Even in the abysmal PSU game, I loved how we were utilizing Funchess. I think that, if we can get past MSU this next week, we're going to give OSU more of a game than they think. I also think that a loss at Sparty could torpedo our season.

Reader71

October 27th, 2013 at 2:20 AM ^

One potentially good thing about Hoke: he is a very level-headed guy, and I think his style will prevent one loss from ever torpedoing a season. He is never too high or too low, and you have to believe that calmness rubs off on the team. This group looks pretty resilient.

JTrain

October 27th, 2013 at 10:50 AM ^

WE CANT RUN BLOCK. WE CANT RUN THE BALL. After next weekend..maybe you will see how this limits you against GREAT or even good defenses.
You can take your statistics about ppg and toss them out the window for 3 out of the next 5 games.
I guarantee Most of the MSU d couldn't pass a basic stats class let alone do they care how many points we've avg'd against mediocre to crappy D's.

rob f

October 27th, 2013 at 2:16 AM ^

is a lot more like Uncle Fester than just appearance only.  He's a mad scientist who adds ingredients that seem like they are compatible, but all too often cause uncontollable explosions that do much more damage than good.  But unfortunately "Uncle Al-Fester" then repeats the same experiments inexplicitly expecting better results. 

Like Uncle Fester but less lovable.  That's our Uncle Al!

SDCran

October 27th, 2013 at 3:03 AM ^

I am part of the 42 point per game crowd. When your worst game is 24 points and that with multiple turnovers, I think the coordinator and identity is doing ok

Mr. Yost

October 27th, 2013 at 4:46 AM ^

It's not in the playbook. Michigan actually has my favorite playbook in college football. I love that we're "Multiple." To go from 2 TEs to 5 WR is impressive and I love the flexibility. My issue is in when the plays are called...not the actual plays themselves. Borges is a BRILLIANT play DESIGNER, formation DESIGNER, and his playbook is awesome. He's a below average play CALLER. Now, when he's on? HE'S ON! But the in consistency is why I bump him from average to below average. He'll have a game like IU or he'll have a brilliant drive...then he goes back and calls games that make you want to put your fist into the TV. It is not about win/loss...it's about doing everything you can do to put us in the best position to win. Even in the IU game, he called a couple nice plays and Gallon straight dropped the ball...that's not Borges' fault. Against UConn he called a go route with Chesson that got picked off...that's not on Al. Jehu has to make a play. Same with Mattison and the 2 Stribling plays. Mattison called something to get you in position...go make the play. Remember when we played Minnesota at home a couple years ago? That game may have been Borges' best game...and not because we pulled out the "Fritz" package with Denard and Devin. No, just the run/pass balance, the creativity and staying ahead of the chains. Borges is the worst at just staying ahead of the down and distance. 2nd and 5 or 6...3rd and 3. We're SO dangerous in those situations with Devin (or healthy Denard), but too often were behind the down and distance. We're in predictable situations and have to rely on 2 of the best athletes Michigan has ever seen yo bail us out. When you try to get cute on 4th and 1 @ MSU and Denard gets destroyed...when you get cute @ ND when you're moving the ball just fine...when you run stretch play after stretch play @ PSU... you're not giving us a chance to succeed. And he's called shit games and shitty plays in wins as well. It's embarrassing. JUST PUT US IN A POSITION TO WIN! The rest is up to the players.

LSAClassOf2000

October 27th, 2013 at 7:09 AM ^

"What I want to know is, what do fans think is a reasonable amount of time for a program to find its identity going forward following four years of DENARD DO SOMETHING football? Pre season? One game? Four? One Season?"

I would think that depends on a lot of things. In the case of Denard, you have a situation where - over the course of his time here - he was literally (and the numbers bear it out) about half of the team's entire offensive production, which is significant to put it mildly. In the Nebraska game last year, I think we saw how off-guard were at the time for the post-Denard era, but we managed to get ourselves together enough to compete for the remaining games in no small part thanks to Devin Gardner's ability to step in and be the leader of the offense. 

To accomplish that, it seems like we literally had to shift the playcalling and character of our play overnight, and if a team is still trying to piece itself together for the future and get the personnel it wants in certain positions, there are times where you'll struggle in the "new scheme". I think this is what we're seeing, particularly in the ground game. Actually, if you track rushing and passing production, the 2012 Nebraska game actually is where the graph flips. 

It's hard to say how much time is enough - in Michigan's case, I think next year might be a telling year, however, at least from a player development standpoint for this offense, but not in the sense perhaps that it should determine coaching changes or legacies. I wouldn't put a cutoff date on it necessarily.

I really like what they are trying to accomplish with this offense, but there are definitely things to be polished, if you will. I think folks simply need to look at it three-dimensionally. 

Sllepy81

October 27th, 2013 at 7:14 AM ^

is just creating to many turnovers, its one thing if everyone was fumbling. Truth is our record is what I thought but we should not have lost PSU at all.

Blarvey

October 27th, 2013 at 8:34 AM ^

Personally, I think the current offense is awesome because it is good from the shotgun and 1 back sets and working to improve the big and i-form stuff. Multiple sets and tempo give a team more options to find holes in defenses, and if they have a dual-threat QB then third downs are much harder to defend.

I am probably in the minority in thinking many of the big sets UM ran so far have been a good idea. Did anyone see Minnesota rush for over 270 yards vs. Nebraska? A lot of their stuff was similar to what Michigan ran against PSU and Minnesota. Yes, that is Minny's identity, but we have known for a long time that this offense was coming and at some point it had to be used extensively in games, not just practice and camp.

dahblue

October 27th, 2013 at 9:05 AM ^

Our offense is best when we don't resemble Denard's offense. The one-man show led to some exciting plays but (to me) was terrible football. I much prefer a team concept.

DonAZ

October 27th, 2013 at 9:41 AM ^

The one-man show is fine when it works ... but it doesn't always work.  Witness OSU and Mississippi State in 2010, or ND in 2012.

I think this offense is shaping up to have some really nice balance and potential.  Manage the offensive turnovers and settle the line and we're in the top of the B1G.

chewieblue

October 27th, 2013 at 9:29 AM ^

That being said, our circumstance has been unique (and much tougher to recover from).the complete lack of recruiting success in the year before the transition has hamstringed this staff for the current season.
Just look at our o-line situation and that tells the tale. People need to relax and see this year as what it is... another step on the road back.

MGoStrength

October 27th, 2013 at 10:09 AM ^

We obviously still have a guy playing QB that can use his feet, is not really a pocket passer, and a young offensive line.  We can't do the power running game.  My question is why have we spent all offseason and fall camp attempting to install the pro style offense when it clearly doesn't fit our personnel other than that's what we eventually want to do?.  Devin may be a better thrower than Denard, but he is not a pro style QB and that's not a bad thing.  He is an amazing talent and offensive weapon.  But, it blows my mind why we haven't been practicing ways to utilize those skills versus spending all offseason trying to install a pro style offense.  It may not be what the coaches want, but I hope we don't make the same mistake this coming offseason and continue to try and force next year's squad to be pro style because news flash...we will still have a young offensive line that can't power run block and we will still have the same QB that is more effective under shotgun.  We need to wait until Devin is gone and the '13 o-line recruits are in year 3, hence 2015 is the first year we should be attempting that.

UMgradMSUdad

October 27th, 2013 at 10:12 AM ^

There is no offensive philosophy independent from defensive philosophy or whole game philosophy for Brady Hoke.  It seems pretty clear what he wants to have: a ball control offense that sucks the life out of the opposing team by chewing up clock, then depending on a stout defense to win the game.  That's not exactly working this year, and as Hoke said in the interview posted yesterday (and boy was there a lot of lunacy and hysteria in that thread--I'm glad to see the board back to some semblance of rationality in this thread), against Illinois he realized his offense had to win the game, so he gave the green light to score as many points as quickly as possible.

In other words, Hoke will adjust the offense to give the whole team the best chance of winning.  For some fans, the conservative, run the ball up the middle with an occasional pass, drain the clock style is killing the team, but that seems to be the style that Hoke prefers in games with a tough opponent in a hostile environment: risk aversion, play for field position, and let the defense win the game.  That seems to be Dantonio's approach as well, so I expect a low scoring game on Saturday.  I hope Hoke turns the offense loose, though, because I think a grinding, low scoring game that depends upon defense to win plays to MSU's strengths.

 

Finance-PhD

October 27th, 2013 at 10:48 AM ^

It depends on what you expect the coach to truly do. Urban took over Florida from Zook and had them playing for championships in a couple of years. He has had some success quickly at tOSU also. Saban took over a sputtering Alabama and went 12-0 regular season the second year and won the BCS in the third.

So how long does it take? Depends on the coach and what exactly your measure of success is.

I expected Michigan to win the B1G this year.

bronxblue

October 27th, 2013 at 11:00 AM ^

I think you should start finding your identity as soon as he isn't a viable option; I atually think Borges started doing so after the Nebraska game last year when, it sounds like, people figured Denard wasn't going to be able to return to his pre-injury position before the end of the year.

But I also think that trying to forge an offensive identity needs to be reined in by the realities of the players available.  So while establishing a non-Denard-style offensive system makes sense in theory, if the guys you have left over are still best equipped for that type of system, you might as well keep it going. 

Sllepy81

October 27th, 2013 at 11:21 AM ^

record is where it should be. They can try to fix things and win the games they should, we would not have gone undefeated with this oline so young and the playbook getting changed up some.

burtcomma

October 27th, 2013 at 11:49 AM ^

That his diagnosis is that the team has been inconsistent on offense, and that includes the QB and O-line.  The turnovers, the great plays and boneheaded plays, seems to describe this year's edition pretty well.  The offensive showing against Indiana coupled with a fumbled snap at the 2 yard line and an errant pitch that gave them the ball inside the 10 yd line. 

We seem to get Good Devin and Bad Devin in each game.  If he can reign in the Bad Devin, he can be great, but maybe we are just going to have to live with both for the balance of this year because that is who he is as a 2nd year starter (just now has basically started a full year's worth of games).

GoBlue2002

October 27th, 2013 at 7:36 PM ^

We're going to see Devin run the ball 15+ times a game from here on out. You've seen conservative play calling all season and November wins make champions. Borges knows what his offensive strengths are.

uminks

October 28th, 2013 at 12:03 AM ^

aggressive defenses even with Robinson.  I think Gardner can  be just as good of a QB. He has a better arm but Robinson had the better leggs. It will be interesting how Gardner holds up against MSU. I have a feeling that they will blitz a lot and Gardner will have little time to throw. Hopefully Borges will have a game plan of some quick slats and throws to the RB to counter act the blitzes. Otherwise, it could ge rather ugly.