Lee Corso predicts 5 wins for Michigan on College Football Live

Submitted by AmaizeingBlue on

Lee Corso just predicted 5 wins for michigan, saying we have a tough schedule.  Kirk and Desomnd both agreed on 8 wins. 

Everyone needs to give Corso an extremely hard time now on Septemer 10th.

Fresh Meat

August 27th, 2011 at 12:25 PM ^

Take it easy on Lee guys.  Not everyone is going to pick Michigan as well as we are, we are fans and biased.  I find him entertaining.  He may not be the most accurate game picker out there, but he isn't annoying.

PurpleStuff

August 27th, 2011 at 12:33 PM ^

Corso doesn't know shit about our roster and doesn't follow any program closely (maybe he still pays attention to FSU and Indiana).  He doesn't research his picks or provide any real justification for them.  He's a cartoon character who waits until things happen and then is entertaining about it.

What I don't get is Desmond's prediction.  All he's done is rave about how great Brady Hoke is, how much better shape the program is in.  Add in that we will be better at virtually every single position on the field next year, and yet he thinks this will all result in one extra win.  One more win than a guy who "needed" to get fired.  And that is with a much easier schedule than a season ago.  I don't understand the disconnect between what he (and many others) say and what they seem to think will happen this year. 

Luckily, Desmond (and Kirk) don't know shit.  This team is as talented and experienced as any in the conference.  People just don't see it because the leap happened all at once (since we played so many young guys the last few years). 

PurpleStuff

August 27th, 2011 at 2:27 PM ^

Every team is as good as the players on that team (and age/experience play a huge role in how good the players are).  A team with 20+ returning starters, All-Americans anchoring both lines, a returning All-American at QB, and not a freshman to be found in the starting lineup has pretty damn good players, and certainly isn't a 5 win team.  According to Desmond (and virtually everyone else) this team could've/should've won 8 games last year and would have if a guy like Hoke was in charge.  Hell, people were on this board yesterday talking about how the 2008 team could've/should've won 7 games if only Rodriguez had called different plays on offense. 

To think things like that, and then assume the team won't get loads (or any) better when they lose virtually no production to graduation and have so many talented young guys who are still on the steep part of the learning curve (Roh, Campbell, Lewan, Demens, and even Denard) is either crazy, uninformed, dumb, or just reflects a warped sense of values.

bklein09

August 27th, 2011 at 2:50 PM ^

No offense, but you are calling people crazy, uninformed, dumb, etc and yet you are not giving us a prediction of your own.

You state that people said this, so now they should be saying this. 

Well that's not how it works, especially when you are talking about people in the media, who are not held accountable for their predictions last week, much less last year.

Maybe Desmond thinks we will win every game and go undefeated, but he doesn't want to come off like Lou or Lee, so he tempers it a little bit on TV.

Or maybe he is blowing smoke when he talks about how good we are, and really thinks it is going to take time to be good again.

All I'm saying is that 8 wins does not seem like a crazy or ridiculous prediction to me. 

You claim we have an easier schedule this year, but I think that's debatable. 

Also, if you look at our losses from last season, many of them were not close games. So even if we do get better at nearly every position, we could still lose 3+ games. 

Football is a strange game where injuries, ball luck, emotion, focus, momentum, etc all play a role in how a game or season plays out. 

Personally, I could see this team winning 10 games and I could see them winning 6. So if I had to make a final prediction, I would probably go with 7-8 wins. And I think thats the way a lot of people are looking at this season. If lots of things go right, we can challenge for the BIG. Lots of things go wrong, we could barely make a bowl game.

I just don't think that makes anyone stupid, crazy, or uninformed. 

PurpleStuff

August 27th, 2011 at 3:24 PM ^

Assuming relative health, I think this team wins 10+ games this year.  I've thought that for quite some time, both before and after the coaching change.  As for the schedule, we swap @Indiana for Minnesota (no more difficult), @Penn State for @Northwestern (maybe a little better team, but certainly no powerhouse and less home field advantage), and Wisconsin for Nebraska (I doubt NU is as good as Wisky was last year at 11-2).  OSU, MSU, Iowa, and Illinois all lost tons of quality, experienced talent that history indicates they won't be able to immediately replace.  None of those teams should be as good as they were last year.  And Purdue still sucks.

As for Desmond (or anyone else) thinking this is a 7-8 win team, that is fine on its own.  The problem arises when you say one coach sucks for winning seven games and deserves to be fired, but this new coach is the awesomest guy ever and as such he can maybe win one more game with a much better roster.  There is a huge disconnect there.  I'm a huge Rich Rodriguez fan/believer, but if he had come back and gone 8-4 with this team I would have been ready to pack his bags myself.  This isn't just a Desmond thing (and you're right, he would potentially look goofy if his predictions for Michigan were more positive than everyone else).  Our entire fanbase seems to assume Greg Robinson eats his own feces while Greg Mattison walks on water.  Yet no one seems to expect anything other than the modest improvement one always sees when a team returns so many young defensive starters. 

Also, the score of games last year doesn't mean shit.  Two years ago we got blown out by Illinois (and three years ago as well).  Last year we beat them, even though they had a much better team.  I don't get why people keep acting like we'll start the MSU game down a couple touchdowns.  We had a 31-12 lead in Columbus in 2000.  Then we lost 9 of the next 10 games against OSU.  The past doesn't matter.   

bklein09

August 27th, 2011 at 5:58 PM ^

I completely understand what you are saying about the disconnect between expectations between RR's staff and the new one.

However, I think the fact that we changed coaches is a factor in tempering expecations. Of course people expect Mattison to be infinitely better than GERG. But it is still a new system and it is still the same kids who did not play very well last season. I think this defense will be improved, but by how much remains to be seen.

I think the biggest part of the tempered expectations stem from the offensive change. No one really knows what this team is going to look like offensively, and those unknowns lead to conservative predictions.

And I think that you are completely wrong when you say that the past doesn't matter. You may be right that the score differential in individual games doesn't translate to the following season. But when looking at the season as a whole, it is very telling IMO.

The bottom line is that almost all of our wins last season were close, while our losses were significantly less competitive. We squeked by some pretty averagew teams while struggling with the good ones. To me that indicates that we were pretty far from being a 10+ win team.

On the other hand, I would feel a lot differently if we had blown out the bad teams and narrowly lost to the top tier of the BT. 

People claim that MSU got pretty luck last season (barely beating some average opponents) and are therefore predicting a return to 7-8 wins. I agree with that. I also think that Michigan will be much improved this season. But I also think that improvement might only produce 1-2 more wins because of how far we have to go to compete with the top 3 in the conference.

And just let me wrap up this extremely long post by saying that I hope I am totally wrong about how far we have to go. I hope the light turns on and we shock the world. I think we have the potential to do it. I am just trying to explain to you why people are only predicting 7-8 wins rather than 10.

BigBlue02

August 27th, 2011 at 7:34 PM ^

2 years ago MSU had a losing record and lost to CMU. Last year they went 11-1 before that Alabama debacle and had all of their toughest games at home. There is no reason we shouldn't have 10 wins this year. We have 8 home games!

Durham Blue

August 27th, 2011 at 5:57 PM ^

easily my favorite commenter at mgoblog besides Brian.  I totally agree with every word, except you are able to verbalize it much better than me.

This year's schedule appears to be easier than last year's schedule.  This was a 7 win team last season.  Based on all I'm hearing, we have upgraded the coaching staff and return 19 of 22 starters.  I expect no less than 7 wins this season.  In fact, I think 7 wins should disappoint most Michigan fans.  And I will be especially disappointed because I have $100 on over 7 wins.

snowcrash

August 27th, 2011 at 3:08 PM ^

I disagree that M should have won 8 games last year. We probably should have split the ND and Illinois games to finish 6-6. (You could make an argument that the Mass and Indiana games also could have gone the other way, but I don't because the Mass game wasn't as close as the score and M was clearly the better team against Indiana.) I don't agree that the team would have been better with Hoke either. The secondary would have been hopeless in any case and the offense overachieved at least as much as the defense underachieved. I think D Robinson progressed more under RR than he would have under Hoke.

If you start from the premise that last year we were "really" a 6-6 team that caught a few breaks to finish 7-5, then 8-4 indeed looks like a significant step forward. There aren't any unwinnable games on the schedule, but only Western, Eastern, Minn, and Purdue look like relatively easy wins.

PurpleStuff

August 27th, 2011 at 3:36 PM ^

I don't think we should have won 8 last year (could have, but didn't).  I'm pointing out that when you fire a coach for winning 7 games, you are basically saying you think he should've won at least 8.  And even if we had, say, beaten Iowa (and if Avery makes that open field tackle we have a shot), how many people still would have wanted Rodriguez gone if the rest of the season goes the same way (blowouts to OSU, Miss. St. and Wisky)?  Yet for some reason despite having the answer to all our coaching woes and a signifciantly improved roster, the expectations aren't any higher.

I don't get it.  I mean, I think I do get it, but it sucks.

 

RedGreene

August 27th, 2011 at 12:39 PM ^

 

On his way to the ESPN studios Corso was driving down the freeway when his cell phone rang.  Answering, he heard his wife's voice urgently warning him, "Lee, I just heard on the news that there's a car going the wrong way on Interstate 84. Please be careful!"
 
"Hell," said Lee, "It's not just one car.  It's hundreds of them!"

expatriate

August 27th, 2011 at 12:50 PM ^

It's his job to predict, and whether he predicts 5 wins or 13 it doesn't change how the team will play this year.  I mean, didn't Brian say on WTKA that 5 wins was more likely than 10 this year or something like that?  There is a chance, albeit a small one, that the defense doesn't improve very much and the offense takes a big step back.  

And yea, Corso doesn't know as much about this team as most of us do, but I don't think we know as much about Oregon State, Baylor, Virginia or any other random team as he, Herbie, or Desmond do.  

Let him make his predictions, I don't think it's out of any sense of bitterness or hate towards Michigan.  Remember when Drew Sharp predicted 9 wins before RR's first season?  

Schweddy Balls

August 27th, 2011 at 12:56 PM ^

Giving a shit about what Corso says is like is like giving a shit what an drunk Buckeye fan is saying while sitting on a cooler taking a dump.

Why get worried over what an ANALyst says?

It's almost college FOOTBALL time!

somewittyname

August 27th, 2011 at 1:31 PM ^

he is quite often not even coherent. I don't mean he makes lousy arguments, I mean I literally don't understand the words he is saying. I know he had a stroke and that sucks, but why do they keep him on TV? It's hard for me to even watch at times when he can't remember which team or player he was just talking about.

budclay55

August 27th, 2011 at 1:33 PM ^

not concerned with Lee Corso or any of his predictions. I do think there's still some unresolved bitterness there from his days at indiana but i have some doubts as to whether that actually plays into his predictions. his predictions often have no rhyme or reason to them and vary week to week on college gameday. 

Lac55

August 27th, 2011 at 8:28 PM ^

I've been watching college gameday for years and Lee Corso always has negative shit to say say about Michigan. Bitter sour grapes from his days at Indiana I guess but regardless he is a old bitter fool who constantly shits on The Blue. I'm sorry he had a stroke and all but fuck him.

bronxblue

August 27th, 2011 at 2:19 PM ^

Corso is entitled to his opinion, but let's not forget that Herbstreit also thought that OSU would win the innaugural B1G championship over Iowa.  There might be some contrarion thinking going on set at CFB live. 

And to be fair with Corso, he tends to be wrong and openly admits it.  If UM struggles out of the gate, there is a chance that 5-6 wins could be the result.  Personally, I think they take down ND and are 5-0/4-1 (loss to SDSU) heading into the two-week stretch @NW and @MSU.  Leave that 1-1 or 2-0, and this team could easily finish with 8-9 wins. 

somewittyname

August 27th, 2011 at 2:32 PM ^

seems like a dumb pick. I hate the logic that "they play well when nobody expects them to play well." If people are expecting them to be good because nobody is expecting them to be good then where does that leave us?

But OSU winning their division certainly isn't much of a stretch. Whoever wins the Wisco v. OSU game, which is in Columbus, will probably win that division.

In reply to by somewittyname

bronxblue

August 27th, 2011 at 2:51 PM ^

The Iowa pick also struck me as more "let me be different" than any logical argument.  As for OSU-Wiscy, I agree that the winner of that game will have a jump start on the division championship, but with OSU you are relying on a freshmen with "meh" reports so far from camps (at least what I've read) or a backup QB who looked lost last year the couple of times he had to fill in for Pryor (like against Illinois).  I know that OSU is all about defense and ball control, but the losses they've sustained the past year are going to take an effect on the team, and I still think a win over Wiscy won't make them immune to a some slip-ups over the year. 

In reply to by somewittyname

Bill in Birmingham

August 27th, 2011 at 2:54 PM ^

I too found the Iowa pick strange, even more so than OSU. Didn't they lose over half of their starters (incuding Clayborn and Stanzi)? I think Herbie makes much more sense than most of the WWL's "expert" analysts, but that was strange,

As far as Corso goes, he plays the part of the resident buffoon well. Taking him seriously is, well, not very serious behavior.