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Have to respectfully disagree with you about Stauskas vs. Reddick. Nik has a better all-around offensive game and higher ceiling than Reddick, IMHE. If he continues to put on muscle, his skilled footwork could lend itself well to developing more of a back-to-the-basket game.
After seeing what Trey and THJ have done so far this year, I'm hesitant to doubt any of Beilein's players' chances for success in the league.
Time clouds the memory, but JJ Redick was on another level in college. Especially his senior year. Dude averaged almost 27 ppg with every team gunning for him. So I respectfully disagree that Nik has a better offensive game. And their NBA ceilings are pretty much the same -- designated 3pt guy.
And to the original point, Nik would be better served to spend another year in college working on his game. He's disappeared at times when teams have turned up the defense. Another year would do him good. It worked for Redick.
if you're projected as a 1st round pick, you have to leave and get that money. GRIII and McGary lost money by staying for this season. Look at Marcus Smart. He went from top 5 pick to possibly at the tail end of 1st round.
You can work on development in the NBA and coaches will be there for you in the off-season and practices if you request it.
Its a tough choice. Look at McGary. Was probably a lottery pick last season, and this season he's maybe a second rounder. Maybe. Considering his age and back issues, its doubtful he returns to the lottery range.
But the thing people get wrong is that if you aren't 7 feet tall, the NBA is definitely not a development league. And you have to have at least one skill to start with so that you can improve enough make it on the roster in year two. There's only 390 active roster spots in the NBA, and every year at least 7% of the league is out of a job due to 30 new 1st rounders with their guaranteed contracts coming in.
So if you come in needing a lot of work, you'd better hope you can improve enough to avoid getting cut in year two or three. Darius Morris is a good example of this. Like GRIII he was projected as a fringe first rounder, a guy that needed some work, and a guy that should probably go back for another year. Now he's in the "signed to a 10 day contract" limbo range of the NBA, and will probably be out of the league for good next season.
teams/coaches will be much more invested in developing you because your contract is already guaranteed which means they can't cut you without taking a big hit on their "cap space".
I don't see Robinson going 27th. Great player, but he has struggled lately and has been inconsistent. I don't see him leaving this year.
Flip Saunders could use a lights-out shooter, and Stauskas is one of the best in the country. However, he's more than just a shooter, as he has proven this season. He has size, is athletic and is extremely adept at reading ball-screens.
Be right. Tom Izzo told us Gary Harris is the best player in the Big Ten!!
No Mitch! Maybe he stays?
the NBA draft is more about fit for some prospects. if GR3 can go to an organization that can allow him to develop, it's a win win. Stauskas going in the lottery actually puts more pressure on him. So although he may not be ready, if they can get to a MIA or a SA late in first round that is beat for him and Stauskas.