Inside the Boxscore - Homecoming Edition

Submitted by ST3 on

     Michigan homecoming is the traditional game of the season where old people return to their alma mater, break out the old "Block M" sweater, and reminisce about the good old days. The good old days for Michigan football include the National Championship winning team from 1997. I saw one comment comparing the 1997 team to this year's edition. The MGoUser stated that the defense this year was as good as the '97 defense, but the '97 offense was better. My recollection is that the '97 defense carried the offense who did just enough with bootleg passes to Tuman and the occassional pass to Woodson to "squeak" out 12 wins during the regular season.

     So I decided to compare this year's offense to the '97 offense. It's hard to do apples-to-apples comparisons because the season is not over yet, but we can still learn some things by comparing per game stats.

Category 1997 2016
QB Rating 138.2 150.8
Points per game 26.8 48.7
YPC RB#1 4.8 8.5
YPC RB#2 4.1 5.2
YPC RB#3 4.4 8.3
YPC RB#4 4.6 5.3
Yards per game 356 483
#1 Receiving yards Tuman 404 (12 games) Darboh 499 (7 games)

The '97 offense is an interesting comparison because both teams utilize four running backs. '97 clearly had a #1 guy in Chris Howard, but 4 guys ended up with over 250 yards on the season. The '16 team splits carries among 4 guys. All four are already above 300 yards.

The '16 team has advantages in the receiving corps. Chesson and Darboh >>> Streets and Shaw. Tuman was great, but Jake Butt may be the best TE in Michigan history. The '97 offensive line had Steve Hutchinson, Jeff Backus and Jon Jansen, but center and right guard were merely good. If the '16 line is not as good as the '97 line, how are we averaging more than a yard per carry than the '97 team? If you claim '16 Offensive Coordinator(s) >>> '97 Offensive Coordinator, you'll get no argument from me.

Granted, we have some difficult defenses on the schedule that could suppress the offensive numbers, but a cursory glance at the stats suggest that the '16 offense is quite a bit better than the '97 offense. Remaining defenses:

Team Total defense rank
Michigan State 54
Iowa 48
Maryland 42
Indiana 49
Ohio State 5

Yes, the worst defense remaining on our schedule is MSU's. Of note, we've already played total defenses ranked 9 (Wis,) 12 (Colorado,) and 36 (UCF?!?) So maybe our offensive numbers won't drop that much.

One last stat for homecoming, there's been some discussion about QB being the big question mark for us relative to the other top teams. Let's look at the numbers:

QB Rank, Rating
Hurts, 'Bama 51, 140.1
Speight, UofM 22, 150.8
Watson, Clemson 37, 146.4
Browning, UofW 2, 199.6
Jackson, UofL 12, 159.5
Barrett, OSU 21, 150.8

I'll take our defense-QB combo over any of the other top 6 teams.

Larry Appleton

October 24th, 2016 at 11:58 AM ^

Two points:

- I can't believe that the team only averaged <27 ppg and 356 ypg.  I remember them being a decent, efficient offense that scored whenever needed.  I guess there really are lies, damned lies, and statistics. 

- Memories of Griese to Tuman warm my heart, but lets not forget Tai Streets coming through as a deep threat in the Rose Bowl!  I couldn't believe that hit that play for TDs twice!

Ali G Bomaye

October 24th, 2016 at 12:15 PM ^

The 1997 offense didn't make a lot of mistakes, but definitely wasn't a consistently efficient offense. We only scored 21 points against a 7-6 Notre Dame team, 23 points against a 5-7 Northwestern team, 23 points against a 7-5 MSU team despite the defense getting 6 interceptions, and 24 points against a 3-9 Minnesota team. Ohio State pretty much shut our offense down; we needed two return TDs to win. And we only scored 21 against Washington State. The 2016 offense is definitely better, if for no other reason than Harbaugh.

Goggles Paisano

October 24th, 2016 at 12:01 PM ^

I think our offense gets overlooked a bit because of how dominant the defense is.  They are scoring 48 per game and that includes the backups getting more PT this year than I can ever remember.  

 

 

ST3

October 24th, 2016 at 12:33 PM ^

I loved watching Denard run the ball, but there's no debating that the running QBs take a beating during the regular season. I'd rather have a clean, healthy, QB back there zipping darts than a running QB with bruised ribs. But you are right, the ratings are for passing stats only.

a different Jason

October 24th, 2016 at 12:04 PM ^

I'm surprised 1997 offense averaged 27 points. It was all about defense and don't make mistakes on offense. They didnt score when they needed to, they scored when they absolutely had to.

JMK

October 24th, 2016 at 12:16 PM ^

ST3, have you been doing these columns this year? This is the first one I've seen. Last year I felt you could not have one (Best/Worst) without the other (Inside the Boxscore). This year, I've been enjoying Temptation but have been missing the Hawaiian War Chant.

ST3

October 24th, 2016 at 12:25 PM ^

I decided to take a year off and just enjoy the games without having to think about "what am I going to write" while the games were going on. It's been such an enjoyable season so far. In the past, I was deathly afraid of the "trap" games on the schedule. Harbaugh doesn't allow the team to fall into the trap. We may still lose a game here or there along the way, but it's not because he doesn't have them ready to play.

wolvemarine

October 24th, 2016 at 12:19 PM ^

...I have either watched or been at every Michigan game since 1980, when I was ten.  That's when I started watching the games all the way through and paying attention.

We kidded my dad because he left the Wangler to Carter Indiana game a little early.  The first game I saw in person was Harbaugh leading the win against OSU in '85.  That is the frame of reference I have.

I have never seen a Michigan offense like this.  I read about Bo's teams from the seventies that had an obvious advantage in skill, but no Michigan teams since then have had this kind of offensive firepower.  That stat analysis is cool.  I know the game has changed, but this team has basically played one quarter of questionable ball (Colorado), and then absolutely stomped the hell out of everyone.

Wisconsin excepted.  Then they stepped into a time machine with '70s Michigan against '90s Wisconsin and just slugged the crap out of each other.

These are great days we are living in, my friends.

ST3

October 24th, 2016 at 12:30 PM ^

The first game I went to was maybe in '76 or '77. I vaguely remember Michigan stomping one of the academies 63-0, or something like that. This team resembles those 70's team except that Jim has added a much better passing game to the total package. He's taken from the best and added to it. It's like Bo taking from Woody and Parseghian. Jim's got the great line play he took from Bo and added creativity to the offense from NFL passing schemes.

teamteamteam

October 24th, 2016 at 12:28 PM ^

I'm still nervous about our QB situation. Jury is still out as to how Speight performs when a D can stop our run game without committing 9 to the box. Only Wisconsin could do that to date. Our defense can hold anyone below 20 but am nervous our offense is not balanced enough to score that many against elite defenses.

Speights QB rating is really good but think that is more of a testament to our run game, who we played and harbaugh calling harbaugh plays.

Blue Dispatch

October 24th, 2016 at 2:13 PM ^

If you agree that this team keeps getting better every week, just imagine how good they'll be by the end of the season.

This is truely a special team having a special year.