TrppWlbrnID

January 18th, 2012 at 5:53 PM ^

that last time they played Michigan was a 1 pt underdog. they ended up winning by 1.

MICHIGAN
(SUR: 10-2 PSR: 5-6-1 O-U: 6-3)
S.04   NO. DAME          o43  L    -7'   26-22
S.11   RICE                   W    -27   37-3
S.18*  Syracuse          u47' L    -6    18-13
S.25   Wisconsin         u37' W    -3'   21-16
O.02   PURDUE(HC)        o49  W    -6    38-12
O.09   Michigan St.      o43  L    -2'   31-34
O.23   ILLINOIS               L    -24'  29-35
O.30   Indiana           o57  L    -16'  34-31
N.06   N'WESTERN              W    -23'  37-3
N.13   Penn St.          o45  W    +6    31-27
N.20   OHIO ST.          u47' L    -11'  24-17
J.01*  Alabama(OT)       o49  W    +1    35-34
(Orange Bowl)

the Ws and Ls are for betting, not the game result

Blue2000

January 18th, 2012 at 6:00 PM ^

Ugh...I can't believe we lost at home to Illinois as a 24-point favorite that year.  IIRC, we might have had a chance to play for the MNC had we won that game.

LSAClassOf2000

January 18th, 2012 at 6:17 PM ^

....but especially  for games as anticipated as this one, and especially considering each team's 2011 performance, this line will likely narrow considerably throughout August. I do like the idea of going into this as an underdog, for as has been stated, the last time that happened against the Tide, we won. 

Tater

January 18th, 2012 at 6:26 PM ^

I think it might be safe to say that there will be a lot more Bammer money on the table than Michigan money.  I truly doubt that the average Bammer fan with a ton of money in his pocket to bet on football even thinks this will be a tough game.  

Hopefully, the overconfidence of the fanbase will extend to the football team.  

colin

January 18th, 2012 at 9:37 PM ^

everyone that could play is pretty well accounted for.  recruiting for both sides is obscenely well documented.  it's not that big a stretch to guess that attrition from here until september will be likely to average out.  if it doesn't, the line will change appropriately.  aside from that, i'd rather lines be released earlier than later. that way if there are any lineup changes you end up with an estimate for the value of the player going out.  that's interesting information.

WolvinLA2

January 18th, 2012 at 9:45 PM ^

I agree, I'm not sure what about this post is hypothetically. 

I expected it to be "Hypothetically, if Michigan was a 7.5 point dog, who would you bet for?"  But if the line is actually M +7.5, then it's not hypothetical at all, right?

Elmer

January 18th, 2012 at 9:35 PM ^

Obvious that Bama would be favored, but I was guessing around +4.5.  Everyone still has that 21-0 spanking of a very good LSU team dancing in their heads.