How we get in if Georgia wins

Submitted by Victors5 on

If Georgia wins we can still get in as long as TCU doesn't make it into the top 16. They are currently 18th right now. We need Baylor to win and stay ahead of TCU, and OK State loss would keep them and Oklahoma ahead of TCU. A Clemson win could jump them over TCU.

I am not sure if the B1G Champ loser will fall below TCU, but I dont think Houston will fall past TCU. This happening would keep TCU out of the top 16 and we would move up to 14th ahead of Houston and the BIG Champ loser. We would then probably get the only at-large bid into the BCS.

greymarch

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:13 PM ^

 

Brad Edwards seems convinced Baylor will pass us.  That's why Edwards feels Michigan will not get a BCS game.  He might be right.  Texas turned the ball over 6 times today, but voters will only notice the final score of the Baylor/Texas game.

93Grad

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:17 PM ^

if it happens we would once again be penalized for finishing our season too early.  It killed us in 2006 and would be ridiculous if happened this year.  No way a 3 loss Baylor should jump us in the polls but I don't have much faith in the voters.  They could easily see Baylor with a big win over Texas and think "Hey they won this week, I need to move them up..." without any thought to their overall resume.

greymarch

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:14 PM ^

I dont think Baylor will pass Michigan in the human polls, it's the computer polls that present the problem.  Baylor will be so strong in the computer polls that they may pass Michigan in the total BCS scoring.

orobs

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:22 PM ^

 

the problem is the bcs human score is determined by number of votes, not actual ranking.  Baylor is sure to gain some votes with that domination.   combined with their massive computer edge, it will probably be enough for baylor to pass michigan

SalvatoreQuattro

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:21 PM ^

Small fan base, little interest nationally for the team save for Griffin.  Their selection as a three loss over a two loss UM team would basically end the BCS. I don't think anyone can justify Baylor over UM. Not with UM having a better record, a QB as explosive as Griffin, a better overall team, and far more tradition and fans. The money lost with a selection of Baylor due to the asinine computers almost guarantees a dramatic change in the formula. Bowls are businesses. They want the most intriguing matchups. Baylor is not as interesting as Michigan is.

ccdevi

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:23 PM ^

Certainly possible that Baylor passes us but I don't think it's likely. Where are they going to pick up pts against us in the human polls?

Picktown GoBlue

December 3rd, 2011 at 8:23 PM ^

Massey and Sagarin.  They both have:

Okla State 3

Kansas State 5

Oklahoma 6

Baylor 7

And they have the highest ranking of the 6 computer polls for Texas (13/15 vs. 16/17/22/28). 

In the middle there is Arkansas at 4, a former Southwest Conference member...smells fishy to me (or given the location of these schools, smells like BS).

 

BS Preacher

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:58 PM ^

After the first half I was thinking that we might have a decent chance if we played LSU.  Mattison could shut them down and Denard is liable to go off on anyone.  After this second ... ehhhh not so much.

uminks

December 3rd, 2011 at 8:16 PM ^

If the human voters are going to jack up a 3 loss Baylor team then they should certainly jack down, way down a Houston team that had a weak schedule. I wold be very surprised if we are not at least 14 in the final BCS polls. But we'll see!