Home records vs Away

Stats are somewhat misleading in this case. Look at the opponents they lost to on the road. SEC teams probably play tougher road schedules overall.

When M loses to OSU on the road I am not as disappointed compared to Michigan losing to Iowa on the road.

Hoke has lost to ND, MSU, OSU, Iowa, Neb, and PSU on the road (maybe the Bama/S.Carolina) so I really can't complain too much. Most teams lose those road games.

I won't pretend to be able to do statistical analysis. But it looks like, overall among all programs, there's a 60/40 split on the bump one receives from playing at home vs. the liability of playing on the road. For Hoke, since he's been here, we have a 100/45 split. That seems to be orders of magnitude higher than average. Sample size caveats apply.

I think your facts undercut your analysis.

The comparison is distorted by all the non-conference home games played against cupcakes.  The way to control for that would be to compare only home and away conference records over the time period.  That would be a better comparison.

For me the issue isnt that we lost on the road.  It's more HOW we lost on the road that is so bothersome.  The gameplan for Iowa 2011 (Denard under center), OSU 2012 (Denard in game - must be run & Vincent up the middle) & PSU 2013 (27-27) that seemed so completely out of character or fundimentally flawed that it hurt our chances of winning.  

The others we just lost and that's going to happen.

We should really only look at conference records as non-conference tends to be easy opponents at home so this skus results.  If you look only at conference then the home/away strength of opponent should average out over 12 yrs.

I think we'll mature and begin to win more on the road down the line, but we still haven't beaten a ranked team on the road and that makes a good bit nervous for this weekend

I seemed to recall a lot of Alabama's big losses under Saban coming at home, so I went back and looked.  After Saban's first season, they've gone 23-2 on the road!  That's insane.  Over the same time period, they've gone 37-3 at home and 9-2 on neutral fields.  His Home/Away/Overall percentages over that period are 0.925/0.885/0.907.  

I guess when you're great, it doesn't matter where you play.  

I think one of the things we would need to be careful about when using Steele's data is that, at least in our case, it is across three different staffs as well - I think that has to be taken into consideration to some extent. I went through some the data just back to 2002, and if broke away records specifically down by coach between 2002 to now, you would get 19-9, 4-10 and 5-7 respectively. I just think it might be more useful, if we were to use the records in an analysis, to be more granular than Steele. 

the win/loss record on the road so much as the fact that there has been a recurring lack of execution on the road from both a player and coaching perspective, Sloppy play, poor playcalling, etc.

I certainly understand that it is difficult to win on the road, and that this team isn't at elite status right now. However, I think the level of execution on the road is not something that has been good enough, and I am sure that is what Hoke would say as well. Hopefully it gets better, but so far the team has flat out looked unprepared on the road far too often. There is no excuse for that loss at Penn State in retrospect, and not having a single win over a ranked team on the road under the current staff is somewhat concerning. Hopefully that changes this week.

And isn't that the big fear for this week. Under Hoke, they haven't won a road game against a team that could be described as above average (maybe NW 2011). Those 6 road losses are a combo of bad game plans (2011 Iowa and '13 Penn State), bad turnovers ('11 Sparty and '12 ND) and bad luck ('12 Nebraska and Ohio). We've had problems with 2 of the 3 again this year.