Hockey Snowflakes

Submitted by gwkrlghl on

Well there was no gamethread tonight (presumably because we were all doing valentine's things....or sitting in our homes alone sobbing) but Michigan lost a 1*-0 game following their trend of playing much better Saturday than Friday. Unfortunately that much better wasn't enough to win. Several point blank shots with the extra attacker looked like they'd surely go in but somehow they did not and Minnesota got the ENG. Too many shots right to Wilcox's gut.

Unfortunately we are now 16-10-0 and are sitting on the outside again at a tie for #16. The tournament line is typically at 14 or 15 as autobids will take the last spot or two.

Fortunately, those were likely our toughest games remaining on the schedule. The remainder is:

h&h OSU
vs Wisconsin
@ PSU
h&h MSU

This team should be able to go 8-0 vs that schedule but 7-1 or 6-2 is more likely. 6-2 gets us to 22-12 which may be enough to slide in. 24-10 is almost surely safe. Thoughts? Leaning over your panic buttons?

tlo2485

February 15th, 2015 at 1:29 AM ^

I'm worried that it has to come down to the msu series. they're getting better as the year goes on and I'm sure would love nothing better than to keep us out of the tourney. we should be able to handle psu... but we somehow haven't really been able to since they began playing, so I will be holding my breath until the end.

gwkrlghl

February 15th, 2015 at 1:46 AM ^

I'm afraid the utter dead-weight of the Big Ten will mean we need to win all of our games or maybe all but one, and a loss may need to be on the road. Gut feeling is that we'll need a BTT win or two to get off the bubble and comfortably into 3-seed range

When the offense is clicking, they can beat anyone. It's troubling that it's slowed down considerably the last two weekends.

Sac Fly

February 15th, 2015 at 2:18 PM ^

Mel Pearson was on Red Berenson's staff for 23 years. He was recruiting coordinator, basically building their Toronto pipeline, coached the forwards and ran special teams. The latter of which has steeply fallen off since his departure.

He left to take over at Michigan Tech where it was supposed to be impossible to win at. They had 1 winning season in the 20 years before he took over. He turned MTU into a real presence recuiting in Michigan and Canada, something that also was supposed to be impossible. At one point this season he had them at #1, and they will be making their first postseason appearance since 81.

Sac Fly

February 15th, 2015 at 2:11 AM ^

The offensive game plan is so simple, that it can be great but what makes it so basic can be a huge weakness. All Michigan does is iso. Zone entry, neutral zone, transition attack, it's always iso. Against a team like Minnesota it doesn't work because their blueline has so much talent. They can put Brady Skjei on Zach Hyman and shut down that line. Theu let Michigan go wide, use the walls and keep everything out of the middle. This has been a problem for Berenson coached teams for a few years now. When they get in situations like this there's never an adjustment, they just keep flinging pucks from the walls and getting pinched on the boards until they get desperate, lucky or the game ends.

rob f

February 15th, 2015 at 3:36 AM ^

The consistancy of Michigan's goaltending is going to be the determining factor as to whether we even make the post season, let alone how far we get.  I'm just not very confident right now we can get good enough goaltending for at least 7 of the last 8 games to sneak in as a 4-seed.

Friday night, we were in a 3-0 hole after one period.  Saturday, we were down 1-0 early and it stayed that way---a deficit we're perfectly capable of overcoming, unless we keep firing into the gut of a hot goaltender.

It sure would be nice to get an early lead a lot more often, especially on the road.  Without looking at stats, it seems like our opponent scores first at least 60-65% of the time.  Gotta give our netminders all the help they can get. 

I Bleed Maize N Blue

February 15th, 2015 at 2:30 PM ^

Unfortunately, goaltending has been consistent in its inconsistency: it's up, then it's down, and we switch goalies. Rinse and repeat. Still waiting for someone to seize the starting role and hang onto it with a death grip, but so far in vain.

I Bleed Maize N Blue

February 15th, 2015 at 2:37 PM ^

Just saw that the other day. Not quite as exciting to relive the Miracle on Ice from their POV, but it still gives a warm, fuzzy feeling.

Still surprising they let Slava Fetisov go, but wow, major props to him for sticking to his guns.

Watching the Russian Five play keep away with the puck for the Red Wings was amazing.

enlightenedbum

February 15th, 2015 at 4:52 AM ^

Two upsides:

1) Best defensive/goaltending game they've played maybe all year.  Especially adjusted for opposition.  I know Minnesota had a lot of shots, but they didn't have all that many grade A chances, and Racine actually stopped the ones they got except the first.

2) BTT isn't at the big rink, where MInnesota's speed on the blue line is a huge advantage for them.  Our defensemen outside of Werenski are more slow and plodding so with more room to cover they have some issues.

Wolverine In Exile

February 15th, 2015 at 9:17 AM ^

Pairwise in the 10-20 range is still going to be really volatile with all the wcha teams in the mix. 7-1 gets us the b1g title and we make it to the finals at the Joe we're sitting at a solid 3 seed. Unfortunately I think we're probably going to go 6-2 which then probably means a mandatory finals appearance in the BTT, with a loss to either Minnesota or Penn st in the finals so they don't steal our bid. I'm more worries about our goaltending than anything else. We can't afford to go "hot hand" b/c that implies somebody screwed up the game before. Red needs to find a magic button to get competency for 8 games.

JonnyHintz

February 15th, 2015 at 9:46 AM ^

Anyone else notice the Wolverines struggle on Olympic ice? With all the speed and individual skill players we have on this team, you'd think it would be an advantage for our style of play. That extra ice actually seems to hinder our team. I know Minnesota is a similar team to us as far as style goes, but even against Wisconsin we struggled to make use of that extra open ice. You watch the teams that are used to it, and they will use the extra space along the boards to create passes into the middle. With Michigan, they seem to just want to take it up the boards, get pinched off the puck, or dump it in. The extra ice is there. Create space for your skill guys.

JonnyHintz

February 15th, 2015 at 10:28 AM ^

I doubt the buyout on a hockey coach at what amounts to a D2 school would be very high even if he doesn't have an out-clause. Even say a $1 million buyout would be a huge thing for their Athletic Department. I still think Red will at least be around next season. Could be a very good team. Only a few Seniors. Depending on who Werenski gets drafted by, I'd expect all the underclassmen back. I don't see the Wings rushing Larkin. Other than that, maybe only a player or two leaving with another good group coming in/

alnike

February 15th, 2015 at 11:17 AM ^

Any thoughts on the play of the 2013-14 Big Ten Freshman of the Year?   Compher has 4 goals this year, none of them have been critical either as they have come in blowout games, like two third period goals in the 8-1 win over Penn State, a late goal in the 6-0 shutout of Rensselaer and one in the 7-5 win over Minnesota at Yost.   He played a fourth line role at the World Juniors for the US, and is looking to pass instead of shoot and score.   Come March, he and Motte need to provide greater contributions on the road at PSU/MSU and at the BTT.

Sac Fly

February 15th, 2015 at 11:39 AM ^

Stop moving him. He started as a wing this year, they moved him back to center, back to wing two days later, back to center now he's a wing. Motte is doing fine, he impacts the game in more ways than just scoring. It's Boo Nieves who needs to wake up.