The "Harbaugh Bump" - How Harbaugh Improves Teams vs Prior Regimes

Submitted by alum96 on

You've heard of the Beilein bump. I present to you the Harbaugh bump.

Below are Harbaugh's 3 previous coaching stops and the winning % of the previous 2 coaches at each stop, versus what Harbaugh did at those locations.   I then did a straight variance of the winning %s - note this is not "percent improvement".... just a subtraction of the Harbaugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!! winning % versus the prior 2 coaches.

I then subtly applied the average of those 3 prior stops improvement to what would happen if he could repeat that improvement at UM.  i.e. the Harbaugh bump.

The results were positive.  Don't doubt it.   It's science math.

USD    
Fogarty/McGarry 55.4%  
Harbauuuugh! 82.3%  
  26.9% Improvement
Stanford    
Teevens/Harris 28.5%  
Harbauuuugh! 58.0%  
  29.5% Improvement
SF    
Nolan/Singletary 37.9%  
Harbauuuugh! 76.6%  
  38.7% Improvement
     
Ave Improvement 31.7%  
     
Rodriguez/Hoke 52.2%  
Harbauuuugh! 83.9% <---profit
  31.7%  

 

For perspective Bo was 80%, Tressel/Carroll/Spurrier types 81-82%.

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LDNfan

December 28th, 2014 at 7:26 PM ^

Man...the guys on the team better be ready....they are in for a shock to the system. And a shock is exactly whats needed to instill a winning mentality throughout the locker room 

Joined: 09/28/2014

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LSAClassOf2000

December 28th, 2014 at 7:42 PM ^

Willingham might have been the last coach of relatively recent note to lead Stanford to a winning record overall as well as in the conference - the seasons were up and down and the bowl record was something like 1-3, as I recall. Teevens and Harris were both atrocious, but then they land Harbaugh and he might be the only coach there in a long time under whom Stanford got better every year he was there. Definitely hard to deny the program David Shaw took over was in excellent shape. 

Joined: 01/07/2011

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Avant's Hands

December 28th, 2014 at 8:03 PM ^

I'm excited about Harbaugh but it's tough to believe this will happen at Michigan until I see it. There were similar graphics about RR and it has been beaten into us the last several years that we can't have nice things. While MSU and OSU are enjoying some of the best years in program history and even ND played for a title. Hopefully this finally works for us.

Joined: 10/22/2011

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