Full MBB non-conference schedule announced

Submitted by Wolverine Devotee on

There was a thread on the Cazzie game yesterday but nothing showing the entire non-conference schedule.

Some exciting names on here. 
 

Date Opponent Time/TV
11/4 vs Armstrong State (ex) TBA
2K Sports Classic
11/11 vs Howard TBA
11/13 vs IUPUI TBA
11/17 Marquette# 9:30pm/ESPN2
11/18 Pittsburgh/SMU# TBD/ESPN2
11/23 at South Carolina TBA 
11/26 vs Mount St. Mary's TBA
B1G/ACC Challenge
11/30 vs Virginia Tech TBA
12/3 vs Kennesaw State TBA
12/6 vs Texas TBA
12/10 at UCLA TBA
12/13 vs Central Arkansas TBA
12/17 vs UMES TBA
12/22 vs Furman TBA

Our conference slate-

  • Home & Road games with Illinois, Indiana, Michigan State, Nebraska, Wisconsin
  • Single Home games with Maryland, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue
  • Single Road games with Iowa, Minnesota, Northwesten, Rutgers 

ypsituckyboy

July 28th, 2016 at 11:39 AM ^

which also means that it will go down further when you beat an even more inferior opponent (I assume by "go down" you mean get worse...because beating a 300+ RPI team doesn't do you much good)

RPI is your winning %, your opponents' winning %, and the opponents' opponents' winning %. So, small schools are likely to lose a lot (get whooped in the non-conference and then stink in their own conference) and have a low winning %. That hurts you. The people your small opponents play will also have a lower winning % as they'll get their butts kicked in the non-conference (they're sacrificial lambs to the big conferences too), though the winning % of either your opponent or the opponent's opponents may be evened out during conference play since somebody has to win the small conference title.

Basically, you want to play winners and winners who play other winners. Those schools are in larger conferences, by and large. 

Tater

July 28th, 2016 at 11:53 AM ^

Michitgan plays in a great conference.  It's non-conference slate has seven "warm-up" games and six games against "legit" opponents.  A 10-3 or 11-2 record going into Big Ten play will be more than enough to let Michigan determinte their tournament position by their performance in the conference.

I like the idea of this team havingn a few "breathers" before teh grind of conference play begins.  It would be ince to see them get through a season healthy for once.

uncle leo

July 28th, 2016 at 4:33 PM ^

From start to finish. You thinking losing a couple more games vs better teams compared to beating garbage teams would have made any difference?

If you are good enough to make the tournament, it doesn't matter what you do in non-conference, the conference stuff truly matters. Maybe a weak schedule gets a great time a slightly lower seed, but that ultimately doesn't matter.

Win, get in. Michigan deserved to be in the play-in game last season, no matter who they had in the non.

poppinfresh

July 28th, 2016 at 10:47 AM ^

in the pre-big ten, 2 at home, 2 on road, 2 neutral and a nice big ten road single shake out

 

agree with above comment that we seem to lack a bit in RPI, we either play 200-300 level team or top 50ish teams with nothing in between

Wee-Bey Brice

July 28th, 2016 at 10:58 AM ^

Why?

Marquette, Pitt or SMU, South Carolina, VTech, Texas & UCLA. What teams play more than 6 other P5 teams in the non-conf? Seems like a significant upgrade from last year to me. 

Those are all pretty good teams that we still have a good shot at beating. Isn't that the non-conf cheat code everyone was looking for?

ijohnb

July 28th, 2016 at 11:51 AM ^

really.  The issue is that we schedule teams that actively work against our RPI.  We have to fill the schedule with some "cupcakes" but it is counter-productive and frankly irrational to have your cupcakes be "no-win" scenarios.  If you schedule teams that are around 100-150, you stand a slightly higher chance of being upset but even that is less damaging than playing some of teams we schedule.

It is a good non-conference schedule in terms of some of the matchups, but it is again the kind of non-conference schedule that can work against you if you find yourself near the bubble.

lilpenny1316

July 28th, 2016 at 11:35 AM ^

...or a student, that's not an exciting home schedule.  VTech hasn't been to the NCAA tournament since 2007, so it's understandable for people to not be excited about a team that "might" be good.  Texas is a good name program, but that's a midweek game right before finals.  Why not play it on Saturday like the we did during the Duke series or when we hosted Arizona and UCLA?

In terms of other teams' schedules, MSU plays Arizona, Kentucky and Duke.  They are in the Bahamas tournament where Louisville and three other tournament teams from last year are in it.  I think it's important to have a non-conference schedule that is comparable or better than what our chief in-state competition for recruits has.

Roland Deschain

July 28th, 2016 at 12:01 PM ^

Trying to look all this up on my phone, but it looks like only three of the teams you list actually made the tourney last year.

This is a very weak schedule with - basically - one marquee non-conference game (Texas). Admittedly though, I did just yonder to OSU's site to check their schedule and it appears to be equally crappy. On the same token, MSU's is legit.

Blah.



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robpollard

July 29th, 2016 at 2:41 AM ^

That is crazy. They had one bad year. They are a top 5 program in the history of college basketball.

But who cares about history; let's look at next year and why scheduling UCLA should be good for our RPI:
http://collegebasketball.nbcsports.com/2016/05/26/the-nbc-sports-2016-1… (UCLA #15)
http://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/duke-is-no-1-in-the-ri… (UCLA #11)
...etc

I'm not thrilled about UM playing Furman either. But to complain about playing UCLA, a team universally expected to be better than UM, and has a history basically only exceeded by Kentucky, Kansas, NC and Duke? Get some perspective.

tlo2485

July 28th, 2016 at 10:52 AM ^

The power teams are all decent but not good enough to outweigh how bad the 300+ RPI teams will weigh down our rating. Once again we will have less margin for error than we should have with some more competent scheduling.

funkywolve

July 28th, 2016 at 11:33 AM ^

Did Cincy want to reschedule the bball games?  I don't see anything on UM's schedule that would give the players a prolonged break for finals.

LSAClassOf2000

July 28th, 2016 at 12:01 PM ^

Like others, I am intrigued to see play the likes of Marquette, Texas, UCLA and a few others, but again it seems like we run into the problem of following up chances to build tournament resumes with game that don't seem like they would count for much towards that. I would agree with the person that said even changing some of the low RPI teams out with some MAC opponents would probably make a world of difference. I am really only guessing there, but it seems like we undersold ourselves on the OOC schedule. 

tlo2485

July 28th, 2016 at 12:04 PM ^

This is from an article discussing how Texas Tech manipulated it's RPI a few seasons ago with a not so great team: 

 

1. Avoid Road Games Like The Plague*
      *1A. Road games are okay if they are against truly elite (Top 15 or so) teams.
2. Avoid playing the dregs of Division I (RPI 250+).
      2A. If you require a couple of true "cupcake" games, try to replace them with non-Division I opponents and with .500+ teams from bad conferences.
3. Schedule as many home games as you can against RPI Top 50 opponents.

 

We don't do a very good job of this. There are so many D1 basketball schools, it shouldn't be very difficult to pay teams that win more than 3 or 4 games per season in terrible conferences to come to Ann Arbor. Why don't we play any local teams? Oakland? Toledo? It is not rocket science.

jdon

July 28th, 2016 at 2:30 PM ^

I had been my inference that Johnny B prefers a couple games against good teams and then a bunch of games he can't possibly lose.
Personally I hate it; I think we should be playing at least 6 Michigan teams a year from Oakland to the Titans to eastern western, MSU on through central



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Richard75

July 28th, 2016 at 5:35 PM ^

Correct. Beilein hasn't said it, but Kampe said Beilein told him they don't want to play Oakland anymore because fans wouldn't understand a loss to OU.

It's too bad. After the EMU loss, though, it's hard to see them playing any of the smaller state schools (except D-II ones like Northern).



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