ESPN Week 7 Bowl Projections has Michigan going to the Rose Bowl

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October 8th, 2012 at 12:58 AM
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WingsNWolverines
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ESPN Week 7 Bowl Projections has Michigan going to the Rose Bowl

http://espn.go.com/blog/bigten/post/_/id/61128/big-ten-bowl-projections-week-7 

Michigan to the Rose Bowl? Seems legit. Looking at the schedule going forward

10/13 Illinois at home

10/20 MSU at home

10/27 At Nebraska

11/3 at Minnesota

11/10 Northwestern at home

11/17 Iowa at home

11/24 at Ohio

Realistically I see 1 loss and toss up. Nebraska without Burkhead could be the end of their reason. He definitley re-injured his knee this weekend. Could possibly be done for the year too. MSU isn't strong offensively this year 51st in passing and surprisingly with as good as Bell was made out to be 83rd in rushing. I see us putting down a serious beatdown on State this year offensively and shutting down Bell. Ohio is a toss up but after what Martinez and Burkhead did to Ohio's d line I see Denard running right through them. Thoughts?

We hate Michigan State. We don't like Penn State too. We don't care for Minnesota, Wisconsin or Notre Dame but we all hate O-S-U.

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October 8th, 2012 at 1:06 AM | What? Really? Not Purdue? ... (Score:1 Normal)
One Inch Woody ...
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What? Really? Not Purdue?

... But.. but... Herbstreit said so!

 

/s

 

Really, I think it's a little premature, but if MSU or Nebraska can rack up one more loss, then I think we have a very good chance of making it to Pasadena.

October 8th, 2012 at 1:12 AM | I think Burkhead is done for a while after his re-aggravation. (Score:1 Normal)
WingsNWolverines
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That's two injuries he's now taken to his MCL I believe. If he's done than so is Nebraska's running game. They'll become one dimensional with only Martinez to lead them. Chance for Sparty to get vengeance back from that blow out last year.

We hate Michigan State. We don't like Penn State too. We don't care for Minnesota, Wisconsin or Notre Dame but we all hate O-S-U.

Michigan Blue 2008 block M hockey jersey still for sale for 50.00. FREE S/H

October 8th, 2012 at 8:36 AM | Burkhead's backup Ameer (Score:3 Normal)
Magnus
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Burkhead's backup Ameer Abdullah has 86 carries for 514 yards (6.0 YPC) and 7 touchdowns.  He had 7 carries for 28 yards and 2 touchdowns against Ohio State.  Some of his yards came against weak teams, but so did Burkhead's.  Regardless, I wouldn't say Nebraska's running game is finished without Burkhead.

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October 8th, 2012 at 9:54 AM | Statistics, shmatistics (Score:3 Normal)
Njia
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There you go again with that math stuff getting in the way of a good opinion*.

*Did anyone else see Dilbert yesterday?

"If life is the road, then Ohio is simply a place to stop for gas." -- Scott Burgess, Detroit News, 9/16/2010
October 8th, 2012 at 11:23 AM | No.....Yeahhhh!!!!!! (Score:1 Offtopic)
willywill9
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No.....Yeahhhh!!!!!!

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Touchdown Michigan!

October 8th, 2012 at 1:10 AM | While I think Michigan is a (Score:2 Normal)
Michael Scarn
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While I think Michigan is a better overall team than Michigan State, everyone knows they'll play the game of their lives against Michigan.  It has been and always will be their super bowl. So while I think Michigan wins, I'm not 100% positive.  It'll be a close game.  

October 8th, 2012 at 1:18 AM | no, no it will not be. (Score:3 Normal)
clarkiefromcanada
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Raback it.

I will call my shot here and predict Michigan 45 - Sparty 17 (at most).

Mattison will take away Bell (and his screen) leaving Maxwell to beat him with TE play or outside. Neither of these things will happen.

Starters will play the full game.

Dantonio will complain.

If the haters don't hate you then you're doing something wrong. - David Cone

October 8th, 2012 at 1:53 AM | I can see us kicking the shit out of MSU this year. (Score:1 Normal)
WingsNWolverines
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We've been kicked around by them for 4 years ENOUGH IS ENOUGH. Time to put Sparty back where it belongs. Away. I'm feeling very confident this year our DL will hold strong and hold bell to 100 yards on the ground or less. Our defense is already starting to come together and it's only going to get better come time we play Ohio St. Denard needs to keep this rythem throwing game going into Illinois. I thought he looked much improved than where he was two weeks ago with throwing 5 interceptions. If Denard can continue to solidify his throwing and our running game with either Rawls or Fitz can get back into being top 25 material again we will be terrifying,

On a side note I'd love to play Stanford or Oregon St.

We hate Michigan State. We don't like Penn State too. We don't care for Minnesota, Wisconsin or Notre Dame but we all hate O-S-U.

Michigan Blue 2008 block M hockey jersey still for sale for 50.00. FREE S/H

October 8th, 2012 at 12:15 PM | STOP IT!!! (Score:-1 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 5:10 PM | Why? (Score:1 Normal)
Soulfire21
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Never understood this rationale, we're fans... Us looking ahead doesn't mean the team is. Plus they release schedules in advance, so, ya know... We know who we are playing next week, in two weeks, and he'll even 2 years.

HAIL.

October 8th, 2012 at 2:55 AM | reality check (Score:3 Normal)
Nick
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were not going to score 45 on them

October 8th, 2012 at 7:44 AM | If Indiana can put up 27 in (Score:4 Normal)
joeyb
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If Indiana can put up 27 in the first half, we should be able to put up 45 in 4 quarters.

October 8th, 2012 at 8:28 AM | This sort of logic rarely (Score:3 Normal)
jwfsouthpaw
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This sort of logic rarely translates well to college football.  Not saying it's impossible, but extrapolating from one team's output in one half is unreliable.  Even if it's Indiana.

October 8th, 2012 at 9:25 AM | A portion of that first half (Score:2 Normal)
Bodogblog
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A portion of that first half was penalty assisted as well.  Indiana looked great - the up-tempo did seem to disorient the Sparty D - and took enough chances that paid off. 

But Wilson must have thought he had a defense, because in addition to MSU's adjustments, the Hoosiers stopped taking chances and thought they could sit on a lead.

October 8th, 2012 at 12:05 PM | You seem to forget that (Score:0 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 12:23 PM | I know it wasn't obvious, but (Score:1 Offtopic)
joeyb
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I know it wasn't obvious, but i was kidding about the relation between Indiana's and our success against MSU. I know it doesn't work that way.

That said, I still think that we are going to beat them by 2 TDs. This coaching staff is smart and they will draw MSU offsides with the center. Stopping Denard last year was mostly from a bad game plan that involved throwing too much and running too little in a trash tornado. MSU has "come in without any sort of energy" in all of their games so far. They can't move the ball. Stop Bell, stop MSU. Take out the CMU game and MSU has averaged 10.4 points through the first 3 quarters and trailed going into the 4th quarter in all 5 of those games. I don't think it's unreasonable for us to assume that we will be leading going into the 4th quarter. If we have a 2 TD lead, expect MSU to start getting desparate and to give up some big plays to us on both offense and defense. That's how we get 45 points on the board. That would look like the Nebraska game last year. 17-10 at half. 31-17 at the end of the 3rd quarter. 45-17 at the end of the game.

October 8th, 2012 at 8:53 AM | Sparty is still a pretty (Score:1 Normal)
saveferris
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Sparty is still a pretty sound team defensively.  Their performance at Indiana this past weekend, notwithstanding, they are going to show up for us on the 20th.  I think Michigan is the more balanced team this year and wins this game, but to be predicting 20+ point margins of victory is a little silly.  This game is almost never a blow-out.

 

"...what do you say, is it the new Bluesmobile or what?"

"Fix the cigarette lighter."

October 8th, 2012 at 10:40 AM | This game is almost never a blow-out? (Score:4 Normal)
inthebluelot
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1996 Michigan (#9) 45 Michigan State 29 Ann Arbor, MI
1997 Michigan (#5) 23 Michigan State (#14) 7 East Lansing, MI
1998 Michigan 29 Michigan State 17 Ann Arbor, MI
1999 Michigan (#3) 31 Michigan State (#11) 34 East Lansing, MI
2000 Michigan (#16) 14 Michigan State 0 Ann Arbor, MI
2001 Michigan (#6) 24 Michigan State 26 East Lansing, MI
2002 Michigan (#15) 49 Michigan State 3 Ann Arbor, MI
2003 Michigan (#13) 27 Michigan State (#9) 20 East Lansing, MI
2004 Michigan (#14) 45 Michigan State 37 Ann Arbor, MI
2005 Michigan 34 Michigan State (#11) 31 East Lansing, MI
2006 Michigan (#6) 31 Michigan State 13 Ann Arbor, MI
2007 Michigan (#14) 28 Michigan State 24 East Lansing, MI
2008 Michigan 21 Michigan State 35 Ann Arbor, MI
2009 Michigan (#22) 20 Michigan State 26 East Lansing, MI
2010 Michigan (#18) 17 Michigan State (#17) 34 Ann Arbor, MI
2011 Michigan (#11) 14 Michigan State (#23) 28 East Lansing, MI

It has been a blow out 9 of the last 16 games. Watch a game or two will ya?

October 8th, 2012 at 11:39 AM | Only 3 of those games were a (Score:0 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 5:02 PM | I just wiki'd "blowout" (Score:-1 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 12:55 PM | Where do you see 9 blowouts? (Score:0 Normal)
October 8th, 2012 at 10:03 AM | Raback It! (Score:1 Offtopic)
Raback Omaba
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I love the shout out and the optimism, but I don't see us killing them. They still have a lot of talent on their roster (perhaps even more than us at this point) and match up very well on defense against Denard and our offense. 

It's going to be closer than you think - I still think we are the better team and that we win, but I don't see a blow out by any means.

 

Would love to see what you predict unfold - but I just don't see it happening realistically. Can't Raback anything though.

October 8th, 2012 at 9:20 PM | People are getting too (Score:4 Normal)
snarling wolverine
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People are getting too cautious about the Sparty game.  If you don't want to jinx us, OK, but look, we've been their Super Bowl forever, and we've won 70% of the time overall.  (In Ann Arbor we've won more like 80-90% of the time since Bo took over.)  

Yeah, I know about the last four years, but we weren't a good team from 2008-10 - we were worse than MSU during that time.  It was not a surprise we lost to them then.  Last year we were, at best, MSU's equal (they also won 11 games and went 7-1 in league play), so it's not that surprising we lost to them on the road.   Now we look like the better team.  This series really hasn't been that unpredictable.  Usually the better team wins.

 

 

October 8th, 2012 at 1:15 AM | My Week 1 projections had us (Score:-1 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 1:17 AM | As long as Alabama is going (Score:4 Normal)
1484
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As long as Alabama is going to the title game, I'm fine with that projection.

 

Hail.

October 8th, 2012 at 7:44 AM | What if they go to the Sugar (Score:2 Normal)
joeyb
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What if they go to the Sugar Bowl?

October 8th, 2012 at 10:10 AM | Nonsense (Score:4 Normal)
ChopBlock
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What if they go to the Super Bowl?

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October 8th, 2012 at 10:58 AM | The Lions would destroy them. (Score:2 Normal)
joeyb
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The Lions would destroy them.

October 8th, 2012 at 1:19 AM | B1G (Score:0 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 1:20 AM | If we end up in the Rose, I (Score:3 Normal)
Lutha
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If we end up in the Rose, I hope Oregon wins out and we play Stanford.  I'm sick of playing USC.

October 8th, 2012 at 1:41 AM | I'm hoping for an ASU miracle (Score:-1 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 10:43 AM | I am with you 100% (Score:0 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 11:57 AM | If we play Stanford (Score:3 Normal)
whitedawg
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If we play Stanford, I hope we are up 49-0 when they call the game with 8 minutes remaining.

October 8th, 2012 at 1:21 AM | one game at a time (Score:-1 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 1:35 AM | Because online speculation (Score:5 Normal)
Lionsfan
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Because online speculation and discussion between fans about our schedule TOTALLY influences the outcome of a game!

If you're doing nothing, how do you know when you're finished?

StraightDave owes me a steak dinner

October 8th, 2012 at 6:52 AM | Keeping realistic (Score:5 Normal)
orobs
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Keeping realistic expectations also makes this board a little more pleasant.   Two weeks ago, we were a terrible team without a QB and would have been lucky to go 7-5.  Now, we beat a wildly overrated Purdue team and all the sudden we are scoring 45 on sparty and walking away with the B1G championship?

October 8th, 2012 at 7:56 AM | The "one game at a time" (Score:5 Normal)
joeyb
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The "one game at a time" mantra is the only thing that isn't realistic.

October 8th, 2012 at 8:58 AM | Yeah, people saying that (Score:1 Normal)
Lionsfan
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Yeah, people saying that we're a shoo-in for the Rose Bowl are being silly, but there's nothing wrong with speculating about our Bowl hopes

If you're doing nothing, how do you know when you're finished?

StraightDave owes me a steak dinner

October 8th, 2012 at 10:12 AM | Eye of the beholder (Score:0 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 12:00 PM | Huh? (Score:1 Offtopic)
whitedawg
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  1. I don't know of anyone making a credible case that we would go 7-5 after the ND game.
  2. In the last two weeks, major question marks have been raised about our competition.  In particular, Nebraska appears to have a JV defense and an injured RB, MSU's defense is worse than expected and Andrew Maxwell has no accuracy, and Purdue is a mirage.
October 8th, 2012 at 1:41 AM | I'm gaining more confidence (Score:2 Normal)
uminks
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I'm gaining more confidence that we will end up with a 10-2 record. Hopefully the running game will improve through the season, so at least one or two of the RB can carry half the load from Robinson. The defense will be stellar by the end of the season.

expect the best

October 8th, 2012 at 5:35 AM | Unsure (Score:1 Normal)
michgoblue
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I think you may be either underestimating our opponents or over estimating our team.



We COULD be 10-2, but we could also be 8-4 at the end of the season. Why?



Northwestern, little bro, Nebraska and OSU Are all game that we can lose. Not saying that we will, but assuming a loss to osu, is it that unfathomable that we lose one game to either MSU, northwestern or Nebraska?

October 8th, 2012 at 6:46 AM | If Nebrasak is without (Score:0 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 7:18 AM | I'm unsure why (Score:2 Normal)
Inertia Policeman
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I'm unsure why everyone thinks the loss of Burkhead is the end of Nebraska. I actually think Abdullah (sp?) has looked like a better back this year when they've both been playing. I think their defense is a WAY bigger problem for them than Burkhead being hurt.

Big gulps huh? Alright! Well, see ya later.

October 8th, 2012 at 8:19 AM | Burkhead is the second most (Score:1 Normal)
UMgradMSUdad
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Burkhead is the second most important part of their offense.  Against Ohio he was averaging 8.5 yards per carry and had 119 yards on 14 carries before he was injured.  He was on track to run for 200 yards for the game. Abdullah had 28 yards on 7 carries.  Now maybe Abdullah can pick up the slack, but Burkhead's loss puts even more pressure on Martinez to produce. You are right, though, their defense is not very good, and after seeing Miller run all over the field against them, their fans are not looking forward to facing Robinson.

October 8th, 2012 at 9:47 AM | 73 of those yards came on one (Score:0 Offtopic)
October 8th, 2012 at 11:44 AM | Why would you take those 73 (Score:2 Normal)
Bodogblog
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Why would you take those 73 yards away?  He earned them through good play.  Replacing an outlier event with an everage event (based on the new average excluding the outlying event) is one of the biggest flaws one can make in sports analysis. 

Say he pops that run for 20 yards instead of 73, what happens next?  Maybe they give it to him 5 more times and he gets 53 yards.  Maybe he breaks it for all 53 in the next play (or more).  Maybe he gets stuffed.  You don't know.  But what did happen is that he broke free on a great read and picked up 73 yards.  No further analysis is needed - take the actual event.

Turnovers that are random (as opposed to forced/stripped/intercepted) can at times be netted out as an outlying event.  But you should be very careful to net out performance outliers - big plays are enormous part of football.

October 8th, 2012 at 9:24 AM | Devil's advocate (Score:2 Normal)
michgoblue
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I think that your take on nebraska may be a bit optimistic. Using the same type of homerism analysis, a Nebraska fan could write an analysis that says the following about Michigan:



Fitz can't run for shit. Take away Denard, and they have no rushing attack. As for their passing game, Denard throws the ball to defenders more often then he throws it to his receivers. Just bring a ton of pressure and he is a liabilty to them. Their receivers are either miniature, converted qbs, or true freshman.



As for their d, good luck stopping martinez' dilithium speed, especially with his new dominant passing game (1 pick for the season). I dont see how we lose to Michigan.

October 8th, 2012 at 9:43 AM | I'm fickle.  You have (Score:5 Normal)
ChicagoBigHouse
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I'm fickle.  You have convinced me.  No way we beat Nebraska. 

October 8th, 2012 at 10:12 AM | Uh, Martinez has 4 picks on (Score:3 Normal)
QuarterbackU
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Uh, Martinez has 4 picks on the season, including 3 on Saturday against OSU.  As a new Omaha resident, however, I can confirm the rest of this type of take, very typical of Nebraska fans.

For some reason, they think they'll just be able to "shut down Denard" with their Swiss cheese defense, which is worse than last year's, which, if I remember correctly, 45-17.  Think they weren't keying in on Denard then?

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