ESPN FPI Team Efficiencies Update, Wk. 2

Submitted by Ecky Pting on

The updated FPI team efficiency ratings have been posted and Michigan, overall, maintains its position at #1. Yup, another Hashtag Uno. The U-M splits are offense, #4; defense, #8; and special teams, #8.  Nice - particularly the special teams improvement.
 Here's a brief synopsis of the ratings, or click the link above to see the whole list &/or sort by category.:

Rank Team Offense Defense S/T Overall
1 Michigan, Big Ten 90.1 93.3 84.2 97.2
2 Louisville, ACC 97.8 80.2 46.9 95.1
3 Alabama, SEC 51.2 99.7 54.5 94.3
4 Washington, Pac-12 69.0 93.7 83.6 93.4
5 Colorado, Pac-12 80.3 94.6 52.4 92.6
6 Marshall, C-USA 75.0 93.5 68.8 92.2
7 Maryland, Big Ten 82.3 76.8 92.1 90.6
8 FSU, ACC 84.1 74.5 89.2 90.6
9 Iowa, Big Ten 95.5 62.5 63.7 90.0
10 Houston, American 77.8 84.3 84.5 89.7
11 Boise State, MW 84.8 81.1 44.6 87.8
12 OSU, Big Ten 54.8 95.8 41.0 86.4
13 Wisconsin, Big Ten 56.2 95.3 61.6 82.9
94 Michigan State, Big Ten 33.7 41.5 57.1 36.1

edit: fixed link above to load page sorted by "overall" instead of "offensive efficiency".

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NittanyFan

September 11th, 2016 at 2:15 PM ^

into this.  There's a very high correlation between the FPI's Top 10 and the Top 10 in scoring margin per game (8 of the 10 are the same).  Indicates strength of opponent is likely not really being properly calibrated yet.

No offense to Marshall, but a 62-0 victory over Morgan State (the Thundering Herd's only game thus far) doesn't measure too much.  Morgan State also lost by 4 TDs to Holy Cross!

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denardogasm

September 11th, 2016 at 2:13 PM ^

Does the overall efficiency weight the defensive efficiency big time?  Alabama is leading that category but way down on offense and ST but overall are #3, and Wisco is only giving up 0.5 to OSU on the defensive efficiency and beating them in the other two but are a spot behind them... Looks like Michigan is by far the most consistent across all three phases.

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BoFan

September 11th, 2016 at 2:16 PM ^

These are sure to change but with Colorado 5, Maryland 7, Iowa 9, OSU 12, and Wisconsin 13, no one else comes remotely close to having as tough a schedule

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MgoWood

September 11th, 2016 at 3:08 PM ^

Alabama at 51.2% on offense?  As of right now their defense will carry their team.  I mean shouldn't their offense efficiency go up when you play the likes of Western Kentucky?  If we played them right now I'd bet on our probability of taking them to the woodshed.  Go Blue!

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BoFan

September 11th, 2016 at 5:58 PM ^

It's early based on two games, but it's not the FPI ratings/rankings that are worthless: "The values are adjusted for strength of schedule and down-weighted for "garbage time" (based on win probability)."

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