Early Vegas Odds

Submitted by WhatTheFekete on

Michigan underdogs against Notre Dame (-4.0)

After watching both Michigan and ND play, I am surprised, but I guess that this is how Vegas odds seem to work.  3 points for being at home and 1 more just for the hell of it.

Either way, close odds like this mean nothing and I think that Michigan wins!  

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/

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steve sharik

September 6th, 2010 at 12:29 PM ^

...is exactly why Vegas sets the lines where they do.  They are enticing people to bet on Michigan.  When they do, the line comes down to, say, even.  Then people thinking the teams are even and ND is at home will bet on ND.  And so on and so forth in order to get the most money out of people even slightly willing to spend their hard-earned money betting on 18 to 22 year olds playing an unpredictable game.

Joined: 08/08/2009

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loosekanen

September 6th, 2010 at 12:33 PM ^

Traditionally, in football betting, a line of -4 to -4.5 home team is the oddsmakers' way of saying they have no freaking idea what to think of the game and they're going to let the public influence the line. I'd expect it to move a decent amount throughout the week and settle around -3 ND.

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bronxblue

September 6th, 2010 at 12:34 PM ^

That +1 extra will drive some Michigan action, so it makes sense that it was included.  ND is a very dangerous team at home, and part of me sees this game coming down to the wire with a 3-point game.

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coldnjl

September 6th, 2010 at 12:40 PM ^

It is a great test to see just where we are. ND is not great by no means, but the talent and coaching is there. If we win, 8 wins is a strong possibility. 

I want to start down and work our way up to favorite and earn that respect and not just get it after one week of ball

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Bronco Joe

September 6th, 2010 at 1:09 PM ^

If we win, 8 wins is a strong possibility. 

If UM beats ND, then 4-0 is a virtual lock, Indiana & Illinois are very likely, MSU and Purdue are probable, and I would guess one of either Iowa or Penn State is possible, more likely PSU. I think ND is the indicator on how successful UM may be against the middle teams in the Big Ten (MSU, Purdue).

Amazingly, I'm looking forward to the game with the EXACT same feelings as I had going into the UCONN game: can the offense execute (except this time, "again") and can the defense play well enough (except this time, "again") against ND?

Eight wins should be a minimum with a victory over ND.

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TheOracle6

September 6th, 2010 at 1:46 PM ^

The defense we run is better suited to play against teams that run the spread.  Dane Christ is inexperienced and didn't look amazing against Purdue.  As long as we stay mostly mistake free this game should end with a Michigan W putting us right on track for a big start.  I think UConns defense is equal or slightly better then ND's is.  Denard will get his fair share, and I'm sure RR has some new wrinkles specifically for this game.  Going to be a good one guys.  HAIL HAIL

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jmblue

September 6th, 2010 at 2:10 PM ^

One week ago, I'd imagine that they were ready to make the spread more than four points.  We were coming off a 5-7 season in which we went winless on the road.  Our performance Saturday most likely impressed the oddsmakers, but they still don't have enough information on us to be sold.

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