An early look at the 2013 schedule

Submitted by turd ferguson on

For the sake of talking about something other than Al Borges, I've pasted the 2013 schedule below.  It's an interesting one. 

It's obviously too early to know how strong these teams will be, but you could make a case that the three toughest teams on our schedule (ND, OSU, and Nebraska) come to Ann Arbor, while we visit the next four toughest teams on the schedule (PSU, Northwestern, MSU, and Iowa).  That could be a recipe for a whole lot of "toss-up" / "slight Michigan lean" games.  If our 2013 team looks really good (because of who comes back, how we play early, etc.), it's conceivable that we could be favored in every game on the schedule.  If our 2013 team isn't good, it's conceivable that we could be underdogs in half of them.

All things considered, I like this schedule much, much better than the 2012 schedule.

 

2 0 1 3
Date Opponent
Aug. 31 CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Sept. 7 NOTRE DAME
Sept. 14 AKRON
Sept. 21 at Connecticut
Sept. 28 Bye Week
Oct. 5 MINNESOTA* (HC)
Oct. 12 at Penn State*
Oct. 19 INDIANA*
Oct. 26 Bye Week
Nov. 2 at Michigan State*
Nov. 9 NEBRASKA*
Nov. 16 at Northwestern*
Nov. 23 at Iowa*
Nov. 30 OHIO STATE*
Dec. 7 Big Ten Championship Game

 

EDIT:  Also worth noting - two bye weeks, with one coming the week before MSU.

Wolverine Devotee

November 25th, 2012 at 6:49 PM ^

Next year is the first time ever Michigan gets a double bye.

Follwoing a bye week- 14-4-0 record

 

12/6/1986                at Hawaii                        W 27-10

9/28/1991                vs #1 Florida State          L 31-51

9/25/1993                vs Houston                      W 42-21

9/24/1994                vs #7 Colorado                 L 26-27

9/30/1995                vs Miami U                     W 38-19

10/21/1995              at Indiana                       W 34-17

9/14/1996                at #5 Colorado                W 20-13

10/17/1998              at Northwestern              W 12-6

10/23/1999              vs Illinois                           L 29-35

10/27/2001              at Iowa                            W 32-26

10/12/2002              vs #15 Penn State           W 27-24 OT

11/15/2003              at Northwestern              W 41-10

11/13/2004              vs Northwestern              W 42-20

11/12/2005              vs Indiana                       W 41-14

9/27/2008                vs #9 Wisconsin              W 27-25

10/29/2011              vs Purdue                         W 36-14

10/6/2012                at Purdue                         W 44-13

 

Wolverine Devotee

November 25th, 2012 at 7:00 PM ^

Notice how I put the record as 14-4-0? I don't list the games penn state won against Michigan from 1998-2011 because according to the NCAA, they haven't won any.

The loss still counts against Michigan, but I refuse to list the series score. 

EDIT: Looks like I made a mistake in the post. This will be Michigan's first double bye since 1995. 

snarling wolverine

November 26th, 2012 at 7:20 AM ^

 

Kovacs will be a big loss for sure based on his intelligence and toughness, but it's hard to deny the fact that he is very limited athletically.

 

Are you a TV analyst by any chance?  You've got all the code words down.

If Kovacs is limited athletically, when has it ever been a factor?  

 

Magnus

November 26th, 2012 at 8:01 AM ^

Hmmm...let's see...when he was trying to chase down that Indiana running back a few years ago, in pass coverage numerous times, and in the whole defensive scheme that puts him up near the line of scrimmage and rarely gives him deep coverage.

Mattison knows how to disguise his defense's weaknesses, which is why Kovacs was basically a fourth linebacker much of the time.  If he can keep things in front of him, he's fine.  If he has to move laterally or turn and run deep, then he's ineffective.

PurpleStuff

November 25th, 2012 at 6:50 PM ^

The bright side is the replacements.  Countess is probably better than Floyd if healthy.  Campbell is replaced by the winner of the Ash/Pipkins sweepstakes (with some young guys potentially in that mix as well).  Morgan/Bolden/Ross should be able to fill the two ILB spots adequately.  And Robinson/Furman/Wilson/Thomas will battle for the Kovacs spot.  All those guys will also be surrounded by returning starters.  Whoever sees the field will be a blue-chip athlete who beat out stiff competition to play.

turd ferguson

November 25th, 2012 at 6:55 PM ^

It's crazy to me that Blake Countess and Terry Richardson both will have sophomore eligibility next year.  It feels like Countess has been around for a few years and we've hardly gotten to know Richardson.  Hopefully that redshirt burning (Richardson's) doesn't come back to bite us.

YoOoBoMoLloRoHo

November 25th, 2012 at 8:54 PM ^

Quality athletes like Marvin and Jarrod should ease the loss, but I think CB play is the catalyst either way. JT's deep coverage is problematic and tackling shortcomings are widely noted - both requiring safety help and adjustments. Raymon seems more solid, albeit not shutdown or big run enforcer. Blake's injury is a big ? mark. If the safeties can roam a little more b/c CB play improves, the secondary should stay on par. Great CB play will allow Mattison to turn loose a FS as a ballhawk in his D (e.g. Ed Reed).

Big_H

November 25th, 2012 at 6:47 PM ^

Still seams pretty tough, but were Michigan! We should play tough schedules. The Nebraska game looks the toughest following an away game at MSU. Hopefully we beat ND and start the season with 6-7 wins

Leonhall

November 25th, 2012 at 6:53 PM ^

Will be similar to this year, 8-9 wins, with 2014, assuming devin gets his redshirt...the year Michigan has an opportunity, even with the tough road games, to be "back." By then the oline should be pretty damn good, countess, Ryan, the other freshman lber"s will all be upperclassman, I think we should be pretty damn good that year, particularly if we have a 5th year senior at qb.

SalvatoreQuattro

November 25th, 2012 at 7:01 PM ^

8 homes games. The road games are UCONN, MSU, Northwestern, Iowa, and PSU. All of those games are immiently winnable games. The toughest game is the final game and it is at home.

 

I would like you to explain how UM loses 4 games with that schedule?(assuming no catastrophic injuries)

Leonhall

November 25th, 2012 at 9:51 PM ^

Who the toughest teams will be, regardless of where we play them. ND isn't going to all of a sudden be garbage again, Nebraska will be tough, Ohio will be tough, contrary to what some think, MSU isn't going to be horrible...northwestern will also be good. We have a lot of tossup games next year, plus we will be very young and thin up front. Still think our dline will struggle too.

Don

November 26th, 2012 at 11:36 AM ^

Good lord.

Look at our 1987, 1993, 1995, 2001, 2005, and 2007 teams. Those squads had 7 All-Americans and 26 All Big Ten players, and included names like Morris, Alexander, Messner, Wheatley, Law, Collins, Toomer, Runyan, Pryce, Irons, Woodson, Biakabatuka, Tuman, Jansen, Griese, Bowens, Ray, Goodwin, Baas, Walker, Navarre, Perry, Joppru, Jackson, Foote, Breaston, Manningham, Kraus, Avant, Henne, Hart, Branch, Watson, Woodley, Woods, Burgess, Graham, Hall, Arrington, Hemingway, Long, Crable, and Warren.

I doubt that a single one of those teams went into the season with as little experienced quality depth on the OL as we'll have next season. There was also no wrenching coaching transition for those teams to deal with—going from Bo to Mo to LC was not anything like going from Carr to RR to Hoke.

Yet each one of those teams, with all that talent, lost 4 games; the 2007 team lost 5. Somehow people are still gobsmacked at the idea that the 2013 team could also lose 4 games. Given how many times during the last 60 years that Michigan has gone through the regular season without a blemish—exactly twice, in '71 and '97—it's interesting how many are so confident we're going undefeated.

StoneRoses

November 25th, 2012 at 6:54 PM ^

Very reminicent of OSU's schedule this year.

A couple of breaks go our way and we are looking at 10-2, 11-1, or 12-0.

Hopefully that UCONN game stays in Connecticut (Easier to acquire tickets if it is not at a neutral site.)

Wolverine Devotee

November 25th, 2012 at 6:54 PM ^

Scary thought- If Michigan had the #1 pass defense in the country, imagine what it would've been like this year with Countess? 

Hoke-a-maniac

November 25th, 2012 at 6:56 PM ^

If we get past Notre Dame we should definitely be undefeated headed into MSU. Penn State will start to feel the sanctions and depth issues and the rest are just poor teams. MSU will play us tough on the road but I think we will be better than them. Iowa is the only one that looks reasonably easy in that stretch. However we tend to not play well at Iowa. Northwestern can be tricky on the road and Ohio will be a tough one as always.

turd ferguson

November 25th, 2012 at 7:15 PM ^

I disagree about Bell.  I think he's a very good college back running behind a very mediocre line.  They ask a lot of that guy, and it'll be hard for them to cover all of those carries next season without Bell.

As for Gholston, well, I disagree with you about Bell.

Hoke-a-maniac

November 25th, 2012 at 7:26 PM ^

If LeVeon is smart he will leave he is a work horse RB and they don't have long careers. I'm not sure about SIms and Gholston was not a huge factor this year. He really missed Worthy taking the double teams for him. I think their season rides on if Maxwell can progress at all in the offseason and give them something at QB. Who knows at this point though.

ghost

November 26th, 2012 at 10:19 AM ^

Bell would be crazy not to be gone.  If your a RB who will go in the first couple of rounds you go.  Quite frankly with the days of the huge high 1st round draft picks gone anyone who comes back when they are projected to go in the first or second round is taking a risk.

spartanfan123

November 26th, 2012 at 10:59 AM ^

Bell lacks the speed to be a 1st or 2nd round pick, I see defensive ends and linebackers catching up with him after he breaks off a 30-40 yard run, but i still think he should leave if he's a 3rd or 4th rounder. He's not going to get faster by staying. 

Reports are that he's leaning towards leaving, but its not because of his workload, its because of the bland play-calling. 

ghost

November 26th, 2012 at 10:19 AM ^

Bell would be crazy not to be gone.  If your a RB who will go in the first couple of rounds you go.  Quite frankly with the days of the huge high 1st round draft picks gone anyone who comes back when they are projected to go in the first or second round is taking a risk.