Early Line: UM -20.5 over Minny

Submitted by Knappster on

UM -20.5 per Wynn LV

Also,

Illini -7 vs NW

Wiscy -9 vs Nebraska  !!!

OSU -3 vs Sparty

Bama -6 vs Florida

 

profitgoblue

September 25th, 2011 at 9:10 PM ^

Was MSU that much overrated to start the season?  I just assumed that they would be favored over OSU, what with OSU missing those players and their quarterback situation.  Then again, I haven't watched Sparty this year and, from what I hear, their O-line is swiss cheese.

 

FreddieMercuryHayes

September 25th, 2011 at 9:59 PM ^

I'm not sure.  While the O-line might be one of the worst in the B1G right now, their D is actually playing pretty well.  From a yardage standpoint, they are actually number 1 in the nation.  This does come with the caveat that they have played one of the worst MAC teams, probably the worst FBS team, and a mediocre FCS team.  But still, pretty decent.  I'm taking the under in this game no matter what it is.

Yost Ghost

September 25th, 2011 at 10:50 PM ^

but Denard is a seasoned Junior and Miller is not. And although MSU hasn't played anyone I still think they have a decent defense. Will they be the ones to successfully apply pressure and force Miller into bad throws? Maybe not but someone will. Hopefully that will be UM but a lot can happen between now and Nov. 26th.

CRex

September 25th, 2011 at 9:37 PM ^

MSU's line was kind of shaky, but people thought with their senior leadership on offense they could survive it.

Due to injuries MSU is now converting DTs from their active rotation over to offensive line.  It would be like us being so thin we swapped Campbell back or moved Ash.  They're done for the season by all accounts as B1G defenses are just going to dismantle them with blitz schemes.

 

justingoblue

September 25th, 2011 at 8:49 PM ^

Has any one player swung as many lines as Dan Persa being out? If somehow Persa comes out to play (anything resembling Persa-like) for B1G season, that Illinois -7 line looks like easy money.

switch26

September 26th, 2011 at 8:39 AM ^

my buddy who played for NW, saw persa a few wks back when he was working out and said his injured leg was half the size of his healthy one.  Part of the reason he was held out for so long, was because he tried doing to much on it and reinjured it i guess.

 

He said he would be shocked if he makes it through the BIG season

WolverineHistorian

September 25th, 2011 at 8:56 PM ^

MICHIGAN / MINNESOTA - No surprise there.  Since the Gophers lost to New Mexico State and North Dakota State, we better pound them....and by more than 20. 

ILLINOIS / NORTHWESTERN - Can't comment.  Have no idea which Northwestern team will show up and Illinois barely got by by Western.  Why are they playing now?  I thought they always ended their seasons with each other since it's a rivalry game. 

WISCONSIN / NEBRASKA - Pretty generous to have the Badgers at -9.  They beat up 4 of the worst teams in college football.  They haven't been tested at all.  I would have put Wisconsin at -4.

OHIO STATE / MICHIGAN STATE - Agree with OSU being the favorite.  I see them winning by at least a touchdown.

ALABAMA / FLORIDA - Can't comment but I'm looking forward to watching. 

RSTJ

September 25th, 2011 at 9:08 PM ^

I expected UM to be favored by 23 or 24. Minnesota is terrible and potentially having the head coach out? Not good. 20 isn't a bad starting point, but I expect it to edge upward as fans genearlly like UM and favorites.

Wisconsin hasn't played anyone, but nebraskas defense hasn't been good. They've won games by putting up 40 points and they've need most of them. Wisc by 10 seems about right to me.

Not sure what I think about OSU/MSU.  I don't anticipate Miller playing well, so I doubt OSU gets many points, but at home and with the MSU o-line, I think it'll be interesting.  I'd probably take MSU with the line right now.

I expect Alabama to dominate ... the defense is beastly.

Logan88

September 25th, 2011 at 9:39 PM ^

I just hope Kill's absence (get better, btw, coach) doesn't turn into a rallying cry of "win one for Coach Kill" for the Minnesota players. Not that I think this would lead Minny to victory (they are simply too bad for that) but it could result in a too-close-for-comfort win by UM.

go16blue

September 25th, 2011 at 9:05 PM ^

Bama seems a little underrated at just -6. Florida is good, but Alabama has looked just as good as LSU, and has played almost as good a schedule. The Illinois-NW game will be interesting to watch, and will have some major implications on our schedule.

Logan88

September 25th, 2011 at 9:42 PM ^

I'm not even convinced that Florida is really all that good. They have beaten two horrible non-conference teams (UAB and FAU are both winless) and the bottom two teams in the SEC East which is the weaker of the two divisions this year. UT will squeak into a bowl game but I think UK might not make one this season. I think Bama wins this game by at least 10 points.

IronDMK

September 26th, 2011 at 9:15 AM ^

I'm not sure how good Florida really is against quality competition.  I think Alabama will win by more than 2 touchdowns.  Their matchup with LSU is going to be the game of the year I think.

As for Michigan versus Minnesota, I think they 20 point spread is fine but I'm not sure we'll cover... though I'm basing this on past years and past coaches.  Hoke seems to like winning by a lot... and I like that.  Give me a boring game every week if it means we win!

aaamichfan

September 25th, 2011 at 9:30 PM ^

I don't usually bet on Michigan sports, but I'll probably be putting $100 on that spread. We are going to beat Minnesota by 28+.

Jskohl88

September 25th, 2011 at 9:30 PM ^

Not totally sure if this is true or not, but I seem to remember hearing or reading that home field in general give a 3 point edge to the home team. Therefore, if this is at all true, doesn't that mean the odds are basically favoring Ohio only because they're at home and if the game were played anywhere else it'd be a pick 'em. Correct me if necessary

JT4104

September 25th, 2011 at 9:38 PM ^

Sparty all hinders on one thing...the OSU run defense will tell you who wins this game. Without a Play Action game Cousins will struggle. However, I do think the Sparty D is good enough to give Ohio trouble.

If Ohio can keep Braxton out of 3rd and long then they should be able to control the game in Tressell type fashion somewhere in the 17-10 range is my guess right now.

As for us...I really hate that spread in our favor. I like where the D is going but I still have a few worries about the passing game....I truly hope the short to medium passing game is used this year. Denard throwing 10 to 15 yd passes is a great way to get him in some kind of comfort zone.

TheLastHarbaugh

September 25th, 2011 at 9:51 PM ^

Does anyone else crack a smile when they hear the words, "sudden change?"

Gotta love the influence Bo still has on Hoke/the program.

"Sudden change boys! Sudden change!"

*Defense runs out on the field with an unmatched vigor*

Picktown GoBlue

September 26th, 2011 at 12:47 AM ^

scheduling format couldn't please all the people, all the time.  Took a bit of digging, but found this:

But while the Michigan-Ohio State game will be played on the last week of the season every year, the NU-Illinois game will be subject to random placement throughout the season.

Found one site that indicated that NU & Illini *will* meet on the final weekend in 2012/2013/2014, though.

wolverine2010

September 25th, 2011 at 10:17 PM ^

it will take the defense a couple possesions to get use to Gray trying to scramble and how he operates. There team has to much uncertainty and not enough talent. I think that we win 42-10.

Tater

September 25th, 2011 at 10:43 PM ^

I usually don't feel too bad for any opponent, but those poor kids have to worry about their coach.  Considering that they don't have many players who could crack Michigan's starting lineup, this game could get ugly quick.