Just got around to reading the Mathlete's post on fourth-down decision making. One thing that I was a little surprised didn't get brought up in the comments was how bad the punters looked in the spring game. If Hagerup disappoints or is injured, we might be looking at a situation where personnel inadvertently pushes RR toward a strategy that looks more like what the Mathlete endorses. There's a lot more "cover" for a coach to say he was going for it because of his savvy evaluation of personnel than there is for him to say he was going for it because of the dreaded basement nerd charts.
i refuse to even consider this a possibility