Devin should start at QB

Submitted by BILG on

I know this is sacriledge in these parts, but I will go forth anyhow.  An analysis of why we need a qb change.  This is not out of panic mode as many will attest, but instead from watching our offense struggle the past two years whenever facing a top 25 defense that stacks the box.

1) Denard is not a qb unless he is in a spread option attack

Denard is an amazing athlete that needs to be on the field all the time.  I totally agree with that.  He is also a great kid and leader on this team.  However, trying to run a hybrid offense with him simply won't work.  As a drop back passer he does not look the part.  You can say, "new system", "needs time", etc, but nobody can deny that Devin look the part as a passer.  Sure he is not there yet, but he stands in and throws bullets....not always to the right man yet unfortunately.  Some of Denard's thows are just mind boggling punt looking ducks.  He is not that accurate and has to think about his footwork.  There is  reason other schools did not recruit him as a qb.  Even in RRs system we struggled against good d-lines because if you make an offense one dimensional (in our case force Denard to throw), then you are predictable and play into the defense's hands.  I love Denard and he should still be in on every play on offense, and we need to run a bunch of plays where he is the centerpiece, but if the run is being taken away we need our most accurate passer under center.  He is not that guy...even Coach Hoke said so yesterday.

2)  Don't delay the inevitable

Denard will not be a qb in the NFL and it is very likely Devin would start over him next year.  Devin has already closed ground on him in terms of playing time and it is clear as we transition back to a more pro-style balanced attack that Gardner fits the mold.  Denard is not Michael Vick....Vick is taller and was always more accurate, even as a freshman in college.  It is a disservice to Denard to not train him for his future in the NFL as a slot man / return man.  It is also a disservice to Gardener to not have him get the qb training under center he deserves.  Gardner plays a very similar game as one Vince Young....except he has much better mechanics and accuracy.  Also, the Shane Morris era is around the corner, and Devin probably should get 2-3 full years as starter befor Shane takes over in his sophomore year.  Let the natural qb play qb, and let the most athletic player on our team stand next to him as a qb/rb/wr hybrid in the backfield. 

3)  Spread has not worked against one good Big 10 defense in two years

For those of you who wish to cry heresy, "how could I throw such a great kid under the bus" etc, please realize none of this is personal.  It's about the team.  I love Denard, and he needs to be on the field.  This is just a realistic assessment of his abilities and what we have seen the past couple years.  As a passer, his deep throws are jump balls, he struggles to set his feet, and he is innacurrate on out patterns.  His best throw are laser slant throws, but he often makes the wrong reads on blitzes, especially on obvious passing downs.  Gardner on the other hand, does not have happy feet, looks the part of a division 1 qb, and has had much less playing time and opportunity than Denard.  We will continue to rack up yards against the Minnesotas and Purdues of the world, but we will not improve for the future or be able to consistently beat solid big 10 defenses with a gimmick offense. 

OK, go ahead and rip me a new one with the usual...."stop your panic", "one bad game with wind", "Borges called a bad game", etc.  But realize this assessment is from observing the last two years, not just yesterday.

On a positive not....Greg Mattison is a freaking genius.  While a couple of the missed tackles yesterday were sadly reminicent of the RR era, what that man has done with the defense in one year is nothing short of magical.  All this in spite of a slew of injuries on that side of the ball.

Go Blue

SalvatoreQuattro

October 16th, 2011 at 12:33 PM ^

I'd hate to see him leave, but Michigan needs a quarterback who can throw the ball effectively against good defenses. Denard can't do that. It is not a coincidence that the closest game between the two schools in the last four years came when Michigan had a QB who could throw it effectively.(Forcier) granted, he made some mistakes in that game, but he still was effective enough to make MSU pay.

Mitch Cumstein

October 16th, 2011 at 12:42 PM ^

I'm not advocating for taking Denard out from the QB position, but I think you're wrong. 

Denard is a junior and has had ample chances to prove his worth as a QB.  If the coaching staff thinks its better for the team to go in another direction why is that such a HUGE problem?  B/c the fan-base and ESPN are in love with Denard?  My guess is Denard would accept the role he is given and work to win games as a team player, judging by his character. 

If you're right and he took off as soon as the job was taken from him, screw him.  I don't see why people think the coaching staff should sacrifice team success to keep the ESPN hype machine in Michigan around one player. 

Blaze09

October 16th, 2011 at 12:57 PM ^

I'm not saying you don't switch him so ESPN can hype the team up every week (if we win they will do that becuase this is Michigan after all).

It's hard to explain how I feel about the situation because I went to school with Devin, so of course I would love to see him succeed as quickly as possible. I just don't think you throw away your best player unless he shows something character-wise that is something a player at Michigan shouldn't do. I'm not a QB expert, but I think the staff should (I would hope) know what routes Denard can hit on a consistent basis. I think if they do that we might see the improvement we had expected going into the year.

panthers5

October 16th, 2011 at 12:25 PM ^

YOu think Denard will transfer with 1 year left of eligibility left? I think that is pretty crazy talk in its self.

He can still be a QB, do what he does now just situationally. He is not MIke Vick, he is Precy Harvin playing QB. He is not a top 10 QB, he is the top rushing QB with a below average arm. That doesn't compute into a top 10 quarterback.

 

sterling1213

October 16th, 2011 at 12:29 PM ^

Int yesterday was V. Smiths fault. So stop pinning that on Denard, and from what I saw yesterday Devin is no where near ready to play more than he already does. Watching him run around like he was playing pop Warner football should be enough evidence that he just isn't ready. He seemed lost.
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<br>That being said... Be back in two weeks when I pray that sanity has been restored here.

UMfan21

October 16th, 2011 at 12:34 PM ^

Devin's not ready yet.  His situational awareness is lacking (running around on that final 4th down, throwing beyond the LOS, not noticing the playclock running down, etc).  His knowledge of the offense seems to be behind Denards (missing wide open Hopkins), and all in all, his passing wasn't that much better than Denards.

 

Devin throws a pretty ball.  He has good size.  Ideally he's a great QB.  But Devin and Denard are still both learning the system and both have a ways to go.  Denard gives you the home run threat on every play.  That is our best chance. 

AlwaysBlue

October 16th, 2011 at 12:34 PM ^

Later today I'm going to try to suffer through a re-watch of the game but as of now I can't believe how many people are bitching about the play calling, particularly the first half.  No amount of genius playcalling is going to overcome Denard's inability to read a defense, pick up a blitz, poor choices/throws and general lack of command of an offense that requires more than 2 choices.  He can't seem to see the entire field nor does he seem to have the ability to slow the game down when under pressure.  Where were the screens?  How do you call a screen with a QB who has neither the patience or size/touch/composure to throw over oncoming defenders? 

I have no idea if Denard can get better.  What I do think though is that Borges has to continue to develop an offense around his vision, not Denard's limitations.   He has to be able to back a defense off the line with some simple completions and reads, he has to be able to hit a receiver who gets a step on his defender, he has to be able to know when to run when a pass play breaks down, he has to be able to keep his composure and execute.  If DG is the guy who can grow and competently execute that system, then so be it.

 

Eye of the Tiger

October 16th, 2011 at 12:37 PM ^

You're forgetting that.  He made poor decisions, didn't hit his throws well either and doesn't run as well as Denard.  

He's going to be good, but the kid is still really green.

Denard had a horrible day, but like others have said, this is against the best front 7--and arguably best defense--we're currently scheduled to face all year.  

JAGMAG

October 16th, 2011 at 12:40 PM ^

you have to think about the mental impact to denard ...while I don't know if he would necessarily transferI think doing so would have a demoralizing impact. the risk is that you would negatively impact denards play and that gardner would prove to be not ready...after considering the risks I think that the coaches are taking the most prudent approach.

jmblue

October 16th, 2011 at 12:43 PM ^

While I personally don't think it's time for Gardner to be the first-string QB, people here need to be able to discuss things without constantly flying off the handle, making ad hominem attacks and such.

Red is Blue

October 16th, 2011 at 12:43 PM ^

I agree, Denard should have done much better with no running game to support him, a full on blitz which saw him running for his figurative life (maybe literal life given MSU thuggery).  Also, obviously Denard's fault that he didn't properly mind meld Smith into making the right adjustment on the int.

BigJohn

October 16th, 2011 at 12:45 PM ^

Denard failed to make the quick reads against the blitz and failed to scramble, his best attribute, when the lanes were there. I don't know that DG is the answer, but putting Denard at tailback would certainly solve our other big problem in the backfield. And before you say that Denard couldn't handle the beating, our it's the lines fault the RB's don't gain yards. Denard already, before yesterday, runs the ball 20-25 times a game and he already runs the power play for good yards with the same line.

I love Denard, but it is not the winds fault when you overthrow your receivers by 10 yards...in Evanston.

That puts our best 11 on the field and I think Devin would be very effective running the zone read with Denard...it would open up the playbook. Can you imagine a screen to Denard?

 

markusr2007

October 16th, 2011 at 12:47 PM ^

First, Michigan had only 67 attempts offensively on Saturday to get something done.

It was pretty balanced too: 36 rushing and 31 passing.

Borges did what he could to keep MSU's defense honest by throwing more. Not a bad idea given the Spartans shitty secondary. 

I don't really care about all this unnecessary roughness stuff.  That just sounds like a bunch of cry-babies who don't get their way. This is football, not golf.  Besides, I'm sure the Big Ten and upcoming opponents of MSU will do their part to make sure this doesn't happen anymore.  MSU can play like that if they want, but they should cry when players have to sit out against Wisconsin next week.

Narduzzi had MSU ready to play and they recruited talented players over the last few years. Time to recognize that fact.

Lastly, Michigan had 250 yards of total offense on Saturday. Denard personally contributed to 165 of those yards gained.  Nobody else stepped up.  Receivers dropped passes and the running backs did nothing special to contribute.

If you think Denard Robinson should be sat down in favor of Devin Gardner, who contributed only 30 positive yards in 13 attempts, then I think you need to be admitted to a mental institution.

Sorry, but there's nothing in the sample of Michigan's measly 67 offensive attempts that supports your argument.

 

 

 

yahwrite

October 16th, 2011 at 12:56 PM ^

Granted fans don't have enough evidence to say Gardner should play, but Denard has been making people cringe with his passes for awhile now. The loss just opened the door for people to say what they have been thinking. People tend to stay quiet after a win, although some people have touched on it.

joeysos33

October 16th, 2011 at 12:49 PM ^

Whether it happens now or next season people won't hear your ideas until it actually happens. Once the the position switch for Denard happens everybody will be on board after 1 game. But until then most of us are going to just complain. Itll happen just a matter of time. Go Blue!

EnoughAlready

October 16th, 2011 at 1:21 PM ^

See, that's why he should start.

a) Receivers dropped passes.

b) Receivers ran wrong routes.

c) Borges doesn't call pass plays Denard can complete.

d) Borges didn't adjust to MSU's defense in a way to let Denard succeed.

e) It was windy.

f) Denard just needs more time.

See?  It's never Denard's fault.  He is the Sacred Cow.  He is never at fault for anything.  To try to objectively point out shortcomings of his abilities as a QB is "throwng him under the bus."  Because he's such a likeable guy, that makes him a viable QB.  (Jump aboard the non sequitur train!)

Padog

October 16th, 2011 at 12:58 PM ^

The fourth and one play call was not a bad one i seem to remember us succeding with that call. It was just a very good defensive call by state

go16blue

October 16th, 2011 at 1:17 PM ^

My take? Try it out, at least. We have a bye week, why not spend it by letting Devin get used to the first teamers and let Denard try out RB? If it doesn't work against Purdue, we can go back to Denard at QB, and we can still walk away with a win. I, like a lot of others aroud here, had a knee jerk downvote reaction to this post, but give it some thought. Devin is the better passer at this point, and Denard at RB would be DEADLY! Can you imagine Devin & Denard in the backfield at the same time, with 4 WRs? How the hell do you defend that? Edit: Just think of all the stuff you could do with a RB like that! You could run pitch plays with a pass option, and have by far the most deadly wildcat package. The list goes on... Also, I know true dual threat QBs open up the pass, but MSU showed that you can easily beat a Denard led offense by stacking the box and going 1 on 1 with all the WRs, knowing that he cant beat you with his arm. I think having a better passer in at QB would open up the run, which would in turn help the pass, etc etc.

panthers5

October 16th, 2011 at 1:02 PM ^

Who is saying bench Denard? Everyone is saying move him around. He can play multiple positions. Seriously did no one on here watch Percy Harvin play? Kid ran the wildcat at QB, threw it a few times, was a runningback, and played wideout. Why could we not use Denard like that? Why would we sit Denard Robinson on the bench? There are still ways to get him the football 20 times a game not at QB.

Yes Denard made up most of our total offense, that's because the offense is made to work around his skills.

BILG

October 16th, 2011 at 1:02 PM ^

My intention was not to start a shit storm of rage...even though it's obvious anything questioning Denard / qb position always does.

This is two years in a row that Dantonio has shut down our running qb...who is a a below average thrower.  We have not had consistent success against one solid Big Ten defense in the past two years.

If Dantonio can do this with his 3 and 4 star recruits, imagine what Saban will do to us next year with his 4 an 5 star recruits.  Imagine an offense that can't throw a 10 yard out going up against Bama.  It will take Saban 15 minutes of watching Michigan-MSU tape form the past 2 years, and one joking assholish 3 minute phone call to Dantonio for Bama to shut down this gimmick offense.

 

abertain

October 16th, 2011 at 1:07 PM ^

I think it's probably appropriate to consider the whole picture when talking about the game yesterday. There was a hugely significant wind that made it tough to pass as well as some questionable playcalling in terms of pass vs. run given the circumstances. Also, M kept giving a play-action fake that wound up getting Denard immediate pressure because MSU didn't have to respect the fake. Couple that with the lack of a bubble screen, mind boggling at this point, no draws or screens, (Unfortunately I don't think the middle screen is a good option at this point given Denard's accuracy issues, perhaps the play to Koger they showed against NW) it's hard to completely fault Denard. 

Obviously he will never be a great passer. I don't know many passers who are great when faced with constant pressure and high winds. I get as pissed as anyone when he air mails throws, but I'm not ready to give up on him at QB and toss a rs freshman out there. Denard was a 1st team All-American last year. I think they just need to keep working on some easier throws and run the damn ball more, (O-line issues aside, agree with Brian that zone blocking seems to be their forte, remember when Omameh was supposed to be the next great lineman?). All these things aside, they need to find a running back. I like Fitz but he has yet to break  a tackle on the second level. I like V. Smith blocking and catching passes and occasionally mixing in the run. However, you see a lot of teams with backs who can get to the second level and turn 4 into 11 or 14. M lacks that. I'd try Rawls. Mainly because I thought, line problems aside, Fitz and Smith both struggled breaking gains against NW. You have to give someone else a chance, and we all know Shaw's bounce game. Lond post aside, keep Denard,  run more, shorten throws, zone block, Rawls. It's easier to coach from my computer. 

markusr2007

October 16th, 2011 at 1:07 PM ^

It's Denard's first year learning the new offense. It's also probably the first time anyone ever bothered to coach him on his technique, timing, throwing mechanics and footwork. 

If Gardner had it all in place in terms of these things, then he would be the starter already. Both quarterbacks are still learning to execute this offense.

But it's a major strategic mistake anyway to put the game all on one player. See Tate Forcier in 2009 Michigan team. Michigan needs playmakers all around, especially in the running game. Michigan's running backs have not done enough to help this offense and release the pressure off Denard.

 

 

Tyang

October 16th, 2011 at 1:19 PM ^

its one thing learning the offense, but learning how to pass is different. Denard is not a qb. he's been playing qb since he was probably 10 years old, and still can't make a simple pass to a moving Target besides slants. Denard is still a great football player, but sorry, a qb has to be able to make the throws. like I said b4 opponents laugh and joke about Denard when he throws. sure he threw for a lot of yards against northwestern, but who cant? I'm sure by the end of the season the coaches will insert Devin for the better of the team. you can already see, they r doing it slowly. go blue!

BondQuest

October 16th, 2011 at 1:13 PM ^

With Denard, the defense can move up to contain him and stop the run.

Once the run is stopped, Denard can't pass worth beans against good defenses.

His lack of passing skills is going to continue to cost our team wins against good defenses.

Denard has demonstarted he won't adjust to the mechanics he must adapt to be a better passer.

I would not put Denard in as a back or receiver. I would sit him on the bench as the best back-up quarterback available.

I think Devin's passing skills will back the defenses off, taking pressure off our offensive line, and let the running backs have better lanes.

M-Dog

October 16th, 2011 at 1:15 PM ^

DG will be a great QB for us down the road, but until we can team him with an effective running game, it won't work out.  At least Denard self-generates something of a running game.

Until we have an effective running game, it won't matter if Tom Brady is the starter.

 

Slim_Hype

October 16th, 2011 at 1:17 PM ^

Yeah I think its time honestly. Denard could be just like a Dexter Mcluster type player. He could be way better in my opinion doing so many different things offensively and even defensively... Denard off the edge like a CB on a blitz to hurry the QB, Lol. Anything is possible with a guy like Denard. I think its time to make the change to maximize the teams potential for the year, Denards, and Devins.

UMICH1606

October 16th, 2011 at 1:33 PM ^

I am sure this has been mention in this thread. I honestly haven't read the entire thing, but Devin needs his share of coaching up as well.But as someone who was at the game,he missed a guy streaking down the middle of the field with nobody within 15 yards of him twice. I am not sure Devin is the magic wand that everyone expects him to be quite yet.

Der Alte

October 16th, 2011 at 1:34 PM ^

Yes, Denard has gotten M to 6-1. So that apparently means he should continue to take virtually all the snaps at QB for the rest of the season. Fine. After Purdue, when M will be 7-1, M faces four teams that at least know how to play some semblance of defense. The DCs of those teams will have studied the MSU game film. They too will cram 8–9 in the box and dare Denard to beat them with his arm which, given his track record thus far, he will not be able to do.

The result will be 2010 all over again --- INTs, a pick 6 or two, defense on the field too long and too often, zero rushing attack, Denard knocked out of games sometime in the early fourth quarter, and an inexperienced Gardner taking his place. M beats either Illinois or Iowa, loses to Nebraska and Ohio, and ends up 8-4 rather than last year’s 7-5 (before the bowl game). Progress of a sort, maybe.

As presently configured, this one-dimensional offense has little chance of putting up enough points to defeat a good D. The time has come to consider seriously a change in the offensive game plan that puts Devin and Denard on the field almost all the time, with Devin doing most of the throwing and Denard doing the receiving and running. The result might not be better than 8-4, but it least such a configuration has the possibility of improving on that record, whereas the current configuration does not.   

 

chunkums

October 16th, 2011 at 1:42 PM ^

Our running backs don't do a whole lot.  Pulling Denard essentially means quitting running unless you want both of our non freshman scholarship QB's constantly taking hits.  Also, Devin was not exactly stellar yesterday.

El Jeffe

October 16th, 2011 at 1:48 PM ^

I find this whole foofaraw amusing and ridiculous, but not because it somehow shouldn't be discussed.

Here's what's amusing and ridiculous: doesn't it seem like this is the sort of conversation Hoke and Borges probably had several times in the spring? I mean, have some humility. And what they concluded is that Denard should learn Borges's pro-style offense, which they to some degree tried to implement for Western and ND, and to some degree have scrapped in favor of Borges-Denard fusion.

So think about it: when they thought they were going to implement the mostly pro-style offense, they decided Denard was better at it. Now that they have moved to elements of the spread n' shred attack, they have still decided Denard is better. Why exactly do we think Devin would be better at the hybrid when the coaches have already decided that he isn't even better to run the pro-style?

My view: if Denard > Devin at the pro-style and Denard is having trouble with the pro-style elements of the offense, then the offense should be tailored even more to Denard's strengths. Which would involve the outside zone read and the bubble screen, I think. I mean, Cousins didn't exactly set the world on fire yesterday, but he had a competent running attack to rely on. I think Borges needs to tweak the running game and the passing game to give Denard some easier throws that he has demonstrated he can make.