Day 4 (Round of 32) NCAA Morning/Afternoon Thread

Submitted by Mr. Yost on

Michigan is sitting pretty awaiting the Kansas/UNC winner.

Here's the schedule for the afternoon, early evening:

NCAA Tournament Games
TIME (ET) MATCHUP TV
12:15 PM (10) Iowa State vs (2) Ohio State* CBS
2:45 PM (9) Temple vs (1) Indiana* CBS
5:15 PM (8) North Carolina vs (1) Kansas* CBS
6:10 PM (11) Minnesota vs (3) Florida* TNT

 

Whoever makes the "Evening/Night" Thread...here are those games:

7:10 PM (15) Florida Gulf Coast vs (7) San Diego State* TBS
7:40 PM (13) La Salle vs (12) Ole Miss* tru TV
8:40 PM (7) Illinois vs (2) Miami (FL)* TNT
9:40 PM (7) Creighton vs (2) Duke* TBS

 

ENJOY A RELAXING DAY OF BASKETBALL!!!

LSAClassOf2000

March 24th, 2013 at 11:29 AM ^

Here are some of the estimated propbabilities for the games from Massey:

Ohio State is getting 80% as an estimated win probability against Iowa State. Indiana is estimated to have an 85% chance against Temple, and Illinois is only being given a 31% estimated win probability against Miami (YTM). Minnesota is also being given relatively long odds against Florida - 31% as well. 

A couple other notable games that don't involve Big Ten teams - Florida Gulf Coast is rated as an underdog against San Diego State (28%), North Carolina is a decided underdog against Kansas (34%), and Duke is only slightly favored against Creighton (55%).

Also, fun fact - average margin of victory yesterday was 17.3 points. 

Mr. Yost

March 24th, 2013 at 11:39 AM ^

My bracket died last night in the matter of an hour.

That said, I just care about Michigan advancing. However, I do think it would be cool if all B1G teams continued to win.

96goblue00

March 24th, 2013 at 11:51 AM ^

I would not want to play either team, I'd rather have OSU's road, but UNC has been down for a few years now, not playing up to their full potential, whereas Kansas is on a roll. I also think we match up better with UNC.

OSU got super lucky...but no worries, they'll have to deal with Louisville in the final four.

Needs

March 24th, 2013 at 12:08 PM ^

UNC was really good last year (#1 seed in the Midwest and #1 most of the year). At full strength, they would have given Kentucky a good game, they lost to them at Rupp by 1 point. Their season was killed when Ty Marshall broke his arm in their 2nd round (or 3rd round) game against Creighton. He really made that team go.

This year's team has struggled with losing 3 first round picks in Tyler Zeller, Marshall and Harrison Barnes. They'd present an better matchup because, while they do have size, they've moved to mostly playing a small lineup and wanting to play uptempo. I like our chances against any team that takes that approach. 

I worry that Kansas will kill us on the board. They can have streaks of excruciatingly bad shooting, but their offensive board work could counteract that.

Needs

March 24th, 2013 at 11:59 AM ^

With Illinois and Minny, it's just about what team shows up.

If the Minnesota team that takes care of the ball and punishes teams on the offensive glass shows up -- ie, the team that showed up 3 out of 4 halves against Indiana and in their first round game -- they're even money with Florida. That team doesn't show up too often, though, Florida's good at forcing TOs and Minny's usually more than generous with them. So I don't give them much of a chance. If they can keep it close, though ... Florida hasn't won a close game all year (they have no win by fewer than 10 points, which is both impressive and concerning).

With Illinois, it's all about whether the Brandon Paul/DJ Richardson combo is having one of those games where everything they throw up goes in. That seems to happen about once every 3 or 4 games against good competition. 

So I guess those win probabilities look pretty right on to me. I'd give Minnesota a little better chance just based on Florida's history this year.

 

 

jmblue

March 24th, 2013 at 12:08 PM ^

I'm rooting hard for UNC.  I want no part of Kansas's interior D (which allows them to stay on perimeter shooters) and the fact that their fans will probably take over Jerryworld (which isn't that far of a drive for them).

 

 

Michigan Marshmallow

March 24th, 2013 at 12:44 PM ^

Thank you :)

Here's a trollface text-art for your troubles.

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ghost

March 24th, 2013 at 12:40 PM ^

By the look of Ohio if they do survive Iowa St., they won't survie Arizona. Teams that can't shoot have not faired well so far (Georgetown, Wisconsin, Kansas St., Pitt, N.Mexico, UNLV)

ghost

March 24th, 2013 at 1:06 PM ^

They have been, but I just can't trust teams with a poor offence to go far in the tournament.  At some point you are going to face a team that can score on you.  And after what happened to Gonzaga, Saint Louis, New Mexico, and Georgetown, momentum doesn't seem to mean much this year.  

enlightenedbum

March 24th, 2013 at 12:46 PM ^

Syracuse would be an awful matchup for OSU.  Fortunately they're all the way on the other side of the bracket.

What I'm saying is teams should just go zone against them.

Needs

March 24th, 2013 at 12:49 PM ^

Watching the tournament after watching the Big 10 all year, it's amazing how much easier it is for players to get into the lane off the dribble.

AmaizeingBlue

March 24th, 2013 at 1:00 PM ^

We should be rooting hard for UNC and Minnesota.  That would clear our path to the final 4.  We would have to play an 8 seed and then either a 7/15/11 seed to get to Atlanta.

mgobleu

March 24th, 2013 at 1:01 PM ^

That thing that Tracy Wolfson has; mole or piercing? If it was a mole, it was exceptionally shiny. If it was a piercing, it was in a pretty tough place to pierce.

 

Sorry, these are just the things I think about while watching sports.