Hand vs laser times.
College makes you slower- comparing HS vs NFL Combine 40 times
I want laser hands
Looking at the combine, laser timing seems to add from .05 to .15 second to 40 times on average, compared to hand timing. Certianly nothing like the half-second differential some of these guys showed.
Depends on whose hand is doing the timing.
This should be required reading for everyone who reads this blog. I grew tired of all the people claiming that Derrick Green ran in the 4.3s because some recruiting website said so.
what if we don't know how to read? Will you read it to us, like you used to do?
I will read it to you, but only to you.
Derrick Green would be lucky to run a 4.5
If Derrick Green runs a legit 4.5 at 220 lbs, I would be ecstatic. That would give him a Speed Score (a metric developed by Football Outsiders) of 107.3, which compares favorably to some of the top NFL RB prospects.
Basically, Speed Score is a measure of how fast a RB is for his size (Brandon Jacobs running a 4.5 is more impressive than Jacquizz Rodgers running a 4.5) and has been a pretty good predictor of future RB success. 100 is average, and higher scores are better (the record is 125).
Lucky to run a 4.5? Now, I understand he certainly doesn't run a 4.3 at 220 pounds. But to say he'd be lucky to get a 4.5? It's certainly not unthinkable. Le'Veon Bell just clocked a 4.6 OFFICIAL time at the combine at 225 pounds. So I don't think it's unheard of that Derrick Green could run a 4.5. You know there is a reason he is one of only a few guys to be named the #1 running back by both of the big recruiting services.
I did some digging and even though I thought Green was invited to The Opening, his name does not appear in any of the databases from this past year's Nike Combine results.
I did find an interview from his junior year, however, where he ran an electronic 4.58 40. How much that changed his senior year, who knows.
Oh great, now Magnus is now claiming he's smarter than all the recruiting websites... getting a big head again.
Mr. Rager: Do you have any comments?
Herm, you're developing your game with the /s. Mucho gusto.
Ugh. Too many of these threads turn into the I Hate Magnus vs. Magnus Gives Free Info Shut the Hell Up If You Don't Like It variety.
How 'bout them Lions, eh?
Is the Magnus " Takes all of his clothes off thread and runs throughout the neighborhood" thread. That one will be good
I'll hold out for the "Magnus caught jackin' it in San Diego" posbang thread.
If you're going to get caught jacking it, I can't think of a better place. Best Mexican food in the US. A burrito in one hand, your burrito in the other and a cool ocean breeze. Probably worth getting caught.
This almost made me snort my afternoon coffee. I'm glad I didn't because then I probably would have started crying and that would have sucked. Thanks for the nearly painful laugh!
For some reason that story never turned into a thread.
But it did get my disheveled photograph on the local news.
You bring it on yourself by being knowledgeable, having an opinion, making sense, and being correct a lot.
Look who's trolling again...
I didn't get to pick you in the MGoGettingBanned pool.
No way, I have dibs. I'll probably feel the best when he gets banned. Well, me or Magnus.
But he's off the board.
There's a lot of talent still out there though. It's a deep draft.
Anything that official needs to be in a thread more people care about. Now I'm upset.
No I'm not. As long as he's gone, we're all winners, really.
Somebody else will probably pick up the slack when Mr. Rager gets banned.
It'll probably just be him under another identity.
Yeah, I was being 100% sincere. Some of us appreciate Magnus' evaluations on recruits and aren't swayed by your endless ad hominem attacks against him and those who like his posts. Grow up.
How many times can I put "Magnus" in my own posts Friday?? Shouldn't you be spending more time posting links to your blog and trolling for pictures of young women all while breaking down youtube footage?
You should join Magnus Anonymous and learn how to get over me.
Your type of love is suffocating.
One of the more interesting stats I think I have seen. If those numbers are correct, a cocked eyebrow should generally be the first reaction to a reported speed that is below 4.5.
Good stat for fans RT @KippLAdams Out of 16639 recruits at 2012 Nike SPARQ Combines, only 19 ran a electronically-timed sub 4.50 forty TomVH
with laser beams....
Denard got faster! 4.43 vs 4.48.
Back in high school I could throw a football a quarter mile. If coach would have put me in we would have won state, no doubt in my mind.
I could toss a pigskin over that mountain
I've heard from various random websites with no verifiable expertise that the physical peak for a male is somewhere around 25.
Dammit. That would have been good to know ten years ago.
All I know is that I felt bullet proof until I hit my late thirties. Everything changed after that...and not for the better.
Ouuu I got 4 years to get in shape for my peak?
In high school than when I got out of college. I'm pretty much the same height and weight, but I guess not as flexible.
Are we talking about PRACTICE??
We're talking about still-growing athletes who are improving their leg strength and doing regular speed training with professional coaches. They're adding weight, but it's primarily muscle, which tends to increase speed rather than slow you down. I could see why a guard might slow down a touch by going from 270 to 310 lbs, but skill position players should become substantially faster.
Exactly. There's almost no way these guys are slower now than they were in high school. Men mature a ton physically during that time, and the strength and conditioning is much more intense in college.
Lots of players add weight, but as you said that's mostly muscle which makes you faster, and very few players are asked to put on weight at tthe expense of speed. You're OL exception is probably correct, but I would go more extreme than that - like an Omameh situation - 235 to 305. He may have had a faster 40 in high school, or a guy who switches from TE to OT or something like that.
But most players, like a LB who puts on 30 pounds over 4 years, does not get any slower with that weight. He almost certainly runs faster, since a lot of that weight is helping him do so.
I think you both are over selling the speed improvements seen in college. Getting "straight-line" faster isn't necessarily a huge part of a college S&C program. Most kids coming in are already excellent athletes and for many speed is already a trait that is fully developed. Try and think of the last recruit to come in with questions about foot speed who has developed speed into a strength by the end of his career. For all but DBs and WRs, football is about quickness and explosiveness. That's where your S&C programs focus their energies and that's why guys add weight. While adding 30 lbs of muscle might not necessarily slow one down, it would be highly surprising for anyone to actually get faster with that extra weight.
What are you basing that on? It's not surprising at all to put on 30 pounds of weight and get faster. Have you seen most non-Usain Bolt sprinters? They're built like tanks, and I'm sure they weren't that way in high school.
I agree with you that there aren't typically guys who aren't fast coming in who all of a sudden become so, but that doesn't mean they aren't getting faster. If I guy is fast for a recruit, and at the combine he's fast for a draftee, I promise that guy got a lot faster over his four years in college.
I'm sure if you asked Jake Ryan if he's gotten any faster since he was in high school he'd say yes, and he has added a good amount of weight. Any male who doesn't drastically change his workout routine will get faster from 18 to 22, with very few exceptions.
Non-Usain Bolt sprinters like Tyson Gay? He of the whole 177 pounds? Or Yohan Blake who checks in at a whopping 168? Or Asafa Powell who is one of the biggest looking sprinters there is: 6'3", 190 lbs? Those guys look like tanks, but when you examine there actual sizes it becomes clear that their strength is particularly targeted to help with sprinting and they're not looking to add bulk that is necessary in football.
There's no question that there's a correlation between muscle strength and speed, but not all muscle is helpful. Added bulk, even if its mostly muscle slows down runners. It just does. When a football player talks about getting "faster" he's generally talking about quickness, explosiveness and the mental skills to get to the right spot quicker. He's not talking about being faster in the 40.
So what am I basing my observation on? The simple fact that almost every guy whose speed was a weekness when he first saw the field, his speed remained a weekness at the end of his career. That and Denard Robinson not seeming any faster his senior year than he was in his first carry against WMU as a freshman.
I agree with Magnus on this one regarding Green .. Anyway - this is a great point about the environment of combines/7v7/recruiters etc at the High School level. As an example look at past 40 times our of the Mich Prep combine in Wixom. More 4.3's/.4's than an NFL combine and all reported straight faced. Timers are on chairs watching (and not watching) the starts. Seems best 40's are kids who use the video highlight/recruiting service. This is one example.
Give me a team of skill players that are all burners in the 10 and 20 and I'll give you a championship. 40's maybe for corners and WR's but like they were talking about in the combine - some nfl teams don't care about a stable of 4.3 CB's. They used Seattle as an example - heavy press man and lots of help over the top because of their base coverages.
Here are the averages by position group from the table of this year's Combine participants that they provided:
|POSITION||AVG. NFL 40||AVG. HS 40|
The averages for defensive backs are a little misleading here - if you go out one more decimal place, you see a 0.004 difference in times, but essentially, it seems to vary significantly by position.
You get slower as you get older but you also obtain old man strength as you get older and nothing beats old man strength.
Old man on roids. Super hero?
The Notre Dame players in that study really looked bad. Brian Kelly must beat the speed out of them :)
Never would have guessed Theo Riddick at a 4.68 40.
you add weight in college, and you've had 4-5 more years of wear and tear on your body.
You don't have that much wear and tear at that age (unless you've been seriously injured). The body's recuperative powers are great in the college years.
Also, adding "good" weight does not necessarily make someone slower. Sprinters are not rail-thin by any means.
The explanation that HS 40-times are phony is a good one, but it's also worth noting that HS players probably tend to go by their best-ever 40 time, whereas those times are being compared to what you get on a single, high-pressure day at the combine. Along with a lot of players having bulked up significantly in college, I don't necessarily think HS times are quite as untrustworthy as this article makes them seem.
Personally, the best I ever ran was 4.75, which I did twice in a row. The rest of the story is that I did so on a track. Wearing spikes. Which is cheating. Still, not terrible for a 6'3' 230 DL.
I think everyone "bulks up". Every player has that excuse, regardless of position. Trimming fat/adding muscle/getting into a set, college workout regiment happens to every player on the team. Even QBs can add dozens of pounds.
is always suspicious. I was not a blazer in my HS days, but I consistently ran a 100m in around 13 seconds when I was on track in 8th grade. However in HS football, I once got clocked by my coach twice in a row running a 4.6, which translates to a 100m time of 11.6. I was an undersized center (5'11", 210) and the fastest lineman on the team, but there was no way I was that fast.
Or I guess ran back in high school a laser timed 40 of 4.71 at 5'8 170 pounds. I rarely have encountered people who are faster than me.
I apparently ran a 4.5 in high school, so eat it.
I'm waiting for the 280 lb. HS OLineman to claim a 4.25 40 just as an ironic comment on the absurdity of the HS times.
I hope said high school offensive lineman is about 5'5".