According to a paywalled report over at MSU's 247 site, Tom Izzo has stated that Payne's chances to play tomorrow night are "slim to none."
Now as a cynical Michigan fan, I think this is part gamesmanship by Izzo and wouldn't be surprised to see Payne play tomorrow night. But if he doesn't play, with Dawson also out, MSU's frontcourt is reduced to:
-Freshman Kenny Kaminski (Not an inside threat, but great shooter at 55% from 3)
-Sophomore Matt Costello (Plays the most of the bunch remaining, biggest inside presence)
-Junior Alex Gauna
-Junior Russel Byrd (Listed as a guard but is 6-7, hasn't played a lot due to injury but he'll probably play a few minutes)
-Freshman Gavin Schilling
Combined those 5 average 14 pts/g, which doesn't come close the the combined average of 26.4 of Payne and Dawson, and also they don't touch their rebounding numbers either.
It goes without saying that if Payne doesn't play, the frontcourt matchup switches from advantage MSU to Michigan, and with Appling also a little banged up, Michigan really needs to go into Breslin and come out with a win if they want to win the B1G.