...even if he manages to stay healthy and sustain UMass-level output. The reason is because we are not a BCS bowl caliber team. Since 1990, 16 of 20 Heisman winners have come from BCS bowl teams, the only exceptions being Tim Tebow (Florida) in '07, Ricky Williams (Texas) in '98, Eddie George (Ohio State) in '95, and Ty Detmer (BYU) in '90. Of the exceptions, Florida '07 won the national championship the previous year and Ohio State '95 was in the Rose Bowl conversation until very late in the season (HA!). And in the previous 10 years, only Tebow and Carson Palmer (USC) in '02 didn't play in the national championship game.
Don't get me wrong, I think Denard will be deserving of the Heisman if he keeps putting up ridiculous numbers. But the pattern seems to be that the Heisman Trophy is awarded not to the best college football player in the country, but to the most valuable player on an excellent team. And even by the most optimistic estimates, a BCS bowl is a super longshot for us this year.