BTT Seedings Drinking Thread

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March 9th, 2013 at 6:42 PM
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joeyb
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Joined: 10/12/2008
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BTT Seedings Drinking Thread

I wanted to give a quick update to my post from yesterday as the Iowa/Nebraska and Purdue/Minnesota games are over and things are much clearer.

With Iowa's win, they have locked up the #6 seed. With Minnesota's loss, they have locked up the #9 seed (That's pretty bad for a team that was once ranked in the top 10). If Illinois beats OSU tomorrow, they will be the #7 seed with Purdue the #8 seed. If OSU beats Illinois, you can swap those two teams because Purdue will have the tiebreaker over both Illinois and Minnesota.

Assuming Michigan wins tomorrow...

If OSU beats Illinois, #3 Michigan will play the winner of #6 Iowa vs. #11 NW

If Illinois beats OSU, #2 Michigan will play the winner of #7 Illinois vs. #10 Nebraska

 

Here's a look at the remaining possibilities for tournament seeding:

(Click to englarge)

 

 

 

Now that that's out of the way, what are you drinking? Hey, did you guys know that Stauskas isn't just a shooter? DRINK.

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March 9th, 2013 at 6:48 PM | Where the (Score:1)
jaylee714
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Joined: 05/04/2011
MGoPoints: 207

Drinking thread? I'm already buzzed.

March 9th, 2013 at 6:51 PM | How da fuq we lose to penn (Score:2)
NFG
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Joined: 04/24/2012
MGoPoints: 2162

How da fuq we lose to penn st? Where's the drinking thread?!!

March 9th, 2013 at 7:14 PM | Kansas lost at TCU.  Miami (Score:4 Normal)
jmblue
Joined: 11/07/2008
MGoPoints: 28972

Kansas lost at TCU.  Miami lost at Wake.  Michigan lost at PSU.  College basketball is weird.

 

March 9th, 2013 at 6:55 PM | Downloading Football Manager (Score:1)
Wolverine In Iowa
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Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 711

Downloading Football Manager 2013 and need a drinking thread, plz

March 9th, 2013 at 7:28 PM | The colors on that bracket (Score:2)
Bushido Brown
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Joined: 08/18/2010
MGoPoints: 387

The colors on that bracket gave me a seizure....

March 9th, 2013 at 7:33 PM | Let's go Baylor! Hopefully (Score:2 Normal)
OmarDontScare
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Joined: 08/13/2010
MGoPoints: 1495

Let's go Baylor! Hopefully having RG3 in attendance will inspire them

I got the shotgun. You got the briefcase. It's all in the game though, right?

March 9th, 2013 at 7:36 PM | Vacation in Marcos Island, (Score:3 Normal)
LexArborWolvCats
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Joined: 04/14/2012
MGoPoints: 132

Vacation in Marcos Island, found a place to watch the game tomorrow, and now drinking woodford on the rocks with my feet over the ocean.
Life is good.

Password is taco

March 9th, 2013 at 7:39 PM | The Slightly Updated Probabilities... (Score:2)
LSAClassOf2000
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Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 8754

To review, here are the relative probabilities after the results of today's conference games:

GAME (USING MASSEY ESTIMATE)
MICH / IND ILL / OHIO MSU / NW WISC / PSU LIKELIHOOD MICHIGAN SEED
0.45 0.17 0.96 0.2 1.469% 4
0.45 0.17 0.96 0.8 5.875% 5
0.45 0.17 0.04 0.2 0.061% 4
0.45 0.17 0.04 0.8 0.245% 5
0.45 0.83 0.96 0.2 7.171% 4
0.45 0.83 0.96 0.8 28.685% 5
0.45 0.83 0.04 0.2 0.299% 4
0.45 0.83 0.04 0.8 1.195% 5
0.55 0.17 0.96 0.2 1.795% 2
0.55 0.17 0.96 0.8 7.181% 2
0.55 0.17 0.04 0.2 0.075% 2
0.55 0.17 0.04 0.8 0.299% 2
0.55 0.83 0.96 0.2 8.765% 3
0.55 0.83 0.96 0.8 35.059% 3
0.55 0.83 0.04 0.2 0.365% 3
0.55 0.83 0.04 0.8 1.461% 3

The current most likely scenario would be the third from the bottom in joeyb's table, based on Massey's numbers, which would place the teams in the following order - Indiana, Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa, Purdue, Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern and Penn State. The second most likely scenario - which is what would occur with an Indiana win (again, per Massey's algorithm) is almost the same, except now 3 through 5 would be, in order, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Michigan. 

I was actually about to sticky this to make it the thread of record for seeding updates, but as it is now the drinking thread in part and we will essentially know the answer by tomorrow evening, this can stand as-is. To that end, I am enjoying some Weihenstephaner this evening. 

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3

March 9th, 2013 at 7:54 PM | Bulleit Bourbon (Score:1)
MGoGrendel
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Joined: 01/21/2013
MGoPoints: 137

and a cigar next to my outdoor fireplace. Low 50's here with a clear night sky on deck

 

"The guts and glue of the Maize and Blue" - Bob Ufer

March 9th, 2013 at 7:56 PM | I'm stuck (Score:1)
Kennyvr1
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Joined: 07/28/2010
MGoPoints: 1212

Inside because of this "storm" in the greater Denver area. These people have never heard of salt and snow plows, all that to say I'm drinking Root Beer. A&W.

Oh how I hate ohio state...

March 9th, 2013 at 7:59 PM | I'd rather face Iowa or (Score:1)
ThadMattasagoblin
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Joined: 08/24/2011
MGoPoints: 2693

I'd rather face Iowa or Illinois than Minnesota or Purdue.

903 wins most in college football

March 9th, 2013 at 8:07 PM | 8/9 (Score:1)
h625
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Joined: 12/15/2010
MGoPoints: 115

Ohio will most likely take down Illinois tomorrow considering they're at home and still have something to play for, even though the Illini are always a wildcard.



That said, if Ohio does take down Illinois, the 8/9 game will be Illinois vs Minnesota. That'll quite the battle with both teams fighting for tourney seeding. Indiana will take on the winner and both have already defeated the Hoosiers this year.

March 9th, 2013 at 8:17 PM | I went to The Livery Brew Pub today, (Score:1)
rob f
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Joined: 11/11/2010
MGoPoints: 712

poured down a few ales, and got my growler refilled with McGilligan's IPA.

I was planning to save that IPA until tuning to the IU game tomorow afternoon.  After looking at the charts above, I might have to break the seal on that growler before trying to interpret all the possibilities. 

March 10th, 2013 at 10:09 AM | The Livery's website: (Score:1)
rob f
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Joined: 11/11/2010
MGoPoints: 712

http://search.yahoo.com/r/_ylt=A0oG7lkTjzxRnDAAwgBXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTB2Yzg...

...for those MGoBloggers who might need to quench their thirst while in the Benton Harbor/St. Joe area.  You won't be sorry!

March 9th, 2013 at 8:30 PM | Full Sail LTD. (Score:2)
UMfan21
Joined: 09/28/2009
MGoPoints: 1770

Full Sail LTD.

March 9th, 2013 at 8:48 PM | Thank God (Score:1)
jaylee714
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Joined: 05/04/2011
MGoPoints: 207

I'm drunk

March 9th, 2013 at 9:02 PM | Pierre Jackson is really, (Score:1)
OmarDontScare
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Joined: 08/13/2010
MGoPoints: 1495

Pierre Jackson is really, really good

I got the shotgun. You got the briefcase. It's all in the game though, right?

March 9th, 2013 at 9:08 PM | I asked this question (Score:0 Normal)
March 9th, 2013 at 9:45 PM | It's a secret (Score:1)
DemetriusBrown
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Joined: 01/01/2013
MGoPoints: 662

That only people with points know about.

March 9th, 2013 at 10:05 PM | Click on your username to see your post history. (Score:1)
justingoblue
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Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10886

Someone posted this link as a reply to your question, which should answer just about anything you want to know about posting on the site.

Go Blue!

March 9th, 2013 at 9:38 PM | Tappin the Rockies... (Score:1)
Abomb4480
Joined: 07/28/2011
MGoPoints: 216

And a few fat tires later on for the UNC/DUKE game ... Go heels!

March 9th, 2013 at 9:44 PM | Mickey's big mouths (Score:1)
DemetriusBrown
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Joined: 01/01/2013
MGoPoints: 662

Can't wait to solve another puzzle

March 9th, 2013 at 10:05 PM | IF we win, then the only (Score:2)
buddhafrog
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Joined: 09/28/2009
MGoPoints: 1394

IF we win, then the only thing you should care about is OSU and MSU loosing so that they can't share our Big Ten Title!!!

#2/3 seeds are essentially the same - difference is if we would play MSU or OSU (I'd rather play OSU).  However, I'd rather even more to not have them share our title.

Streaming UM games early Sunday morning from Korea, since 2007

March 10th, 2013 at 2:11 AM | Simplified Michigan-centric Version (Score:3 Normal)
Muttley
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Joined: 07/07/2009
MGoPoints: 4599

2013 B1G Tourney Seed Determination Inputs for MIchigan

IU@UM ILL@OSU WISC@PSU NW@MSU Seed Fri Thurs
UM ILL -- -- 2 ILL/NEB --
UM OSU -- -- 3 IA/NW --
IU -- PSU -- 4 WISC/PSU --
IU ILL WISC MSU 5 OSU PSU
IU OSU WISC NW 5 WISC PSU

 

blue = Either an OSU or a NW win would cause WISC to be seeded 4th

March 10th, 2013 at 2:40 PM | After Wiscy 63-60 over PSU & OSU 68-55 over ILL (Score:2)
Muttley
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Joined: 07/07/2009
MGoPoints: 4599

2013 B1G Tourney Seed Scenarios for MIchigan

IU@UM Seed Fri Thurs
UM 3 IA/NW --
IU 5 WISC PSU

 

March 10th, 2013 at 3:50 AM | Water (Score:1)
Gobgoblue
Joined: 07/07/2012
MGoPoints: 789

Spring Break was a doozy. 

I love Greg Mattison

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