BTT Seedings Drinking Thread
I wanted to give a quick update to my post from yesterday as the Iowa/Nebraska and Purdue/Minnesota games are over and things are much clearer.
With Iowa's win, they have locked up the #6 seed. With Minnesota's loss, they have locked up the #9 seed (That's pretty bad for a team that was once ranked in the top 10). If Illinois beats OSU tomorrow, they will be the #7 seed with Purdue the #8 seed. If OSU beats Illinois, you can swap those two teams because Purdue will have the tiebreaker over both Illinois and Minnesota.
Assuming Michigan wins tomorrow...
If OSU beats Illinois, #3 Michigan will play the winner of #6 Iowa vs. #11 NW
If Illinois beats OSU, #2 Michigan will play the winner of #7 Illinois vs. #10 Nebraska
Here's a look at the remaining possibilities for tournament seeding:
(Click to englarge)
Now that that's out of the way, what are you drinking? Hey, did you guys know that Stauskas isn't just a shooter? DRINK.
Kansas lost at TCU. Miami lost at Wake. Michigan lost at PSU. College basketball is weird.
Downloading Football Manager 2013 and need a drinking thread, plz
The colors on that bracket gave me a seizure....
To review, here are the relative probabilities after the results of today's conference games:
GAME (USING MASSEY ESTIMATE) | |||||
MICH / IND | ILL / OHIO | MSU / NW | WISC / PSU | LIKELIHOOD | MICHIGAN SEED |
0.45 | 0.17 | 0.96 | 0.2 | 1.469% | 4 |
0.45 | 0.17 | 0.96 | 0.8 | 5.875% | 5 |
0.45 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0.2 | 0.061% | 4 |
0.45 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0.8 | 0.245% | 5 |
0.45 | 0.83 | 0.96 | 0.2 | 7.171% | 4 |
0.45 | 0.83 | 0.96 | 0.8 | 28.685% | 5 |
0.45 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.2 | 0.299% | 4 |
0.45 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.8 | 1.195% | 5 |
0.55 | 0.17 | 0.96 | 0.2 | 1.795% | 2 |
0.55 | 0.17 | 0.96 | 0.8 | 7.181% | 2 |
0.55 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0.2 | 0.075% | 2 |
0.55 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0.8 | 0.299% | 2 |
0.55 | 0.83 | 0.96 | 0.2 | 8.765% | 3 |
0.55 | 0.83 | 0.96 | 0.8 | 35.059% | 3 |
0.55 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.2 | 0.365% | 3 |
0.55 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.8 | 1.461% | 3 |
The current most likely scenario would be the third from the bottom in joeyb's table, based on Massey's numbers, which would place the teams in the following order - Indiana, Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa, Purdue, Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern and Penn State. The second most likely scenario - which is what would occur with an Indiana win (again, per Massey's algorithm) is almost the same, except now 3 through 5 would be, in order, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Michigan.
I was actually about to sticky this to make it the thread of record for seeding updates, but as it is now the drinking thread in part and we will essentially know the answer by tomorrow evening, this can stand as-is. To that end, I am enjoying some Weihenstephaner this evening.
I'd rather face Iowa or Illinois than Minnesota or Purdue.
That said, if Ohio does take down Illinois, the 8/9 game will be Illinois vs Minnesota. That'll quite the battle with both teams fighting for tourney seeding. Indiana will take on the winner and both have already defeated the Hoosiers this year.
poured down a few ales, and got my growler refilled with McGilligan's IPA.
I was planning to save that IPA until tuning to the IU game tomorow afternoon. After looking at the charts above, I might have to break the seal on that growler before trying to interpret all the possibilities.
March 10th, 2013 at 10:09 AM ^
http://search.yahoo.com/r/_ylt=A0oG7lkTjzxRnDAAwgBXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTB2Yz…
...for those MGoBloggers who might need to quench their thirst while in the Benton Harbor/St. Joe area. You won't be sorry!
Someone posted this link as a reply to your question, which should answer just about anything you want to know about posting on the site.
IF we win, then the only thing you should care about is OSU and MSU loosing so that they can't share our Big Ten Title!!!
#2/3 seeds are essentially the same - difference is if we would play MSU or OSU (I'd rather play OSU). However, I'd rather even more to not have them share our title.
2013 B1G Tourney Seed Determination Inputs for MIchigan
IU@UM | ILL@OSU | WISC@PSU | NW@MSU | Seed | Fri | Thurs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UM | ILL | -- | -- | 2 | ILL/NEB | -- |
UM | OSU | -- | -- | 3 | IA/NW | -- |
IU | -- | PSU | -- | 4 | WISC/PSU | -- |
IU | ILL | WISC | MSU | 5 | OSU | PSU |
IU | OSU | WISC | NW | 5 | WISC | PSU |
blue = Either an OSU or a NW win would cause WISC to be seeded 4th
IU@UM | Seed | Fri | Thurs |
---|---|---|---|
UM | 3 | IA/NW | -- |
IU | 5 | WISC | PSU |
Spring Break was a doozy.