Bracketology currently has us as 10th out
Lunardi's Espn S-curve currently has us sitting at #78 which puts us 10 out for the tournie. Minnesota's loss last night put them at #71 (3rd out). It is behind the espn paywall but I will post the story here.
The Full S-curve
* conference leader (teams)
| 1-Ohio State | 2-Pittsburgh | 3-Duke | 4-Texas |
| 8-Purdue | 7-San Diego State | 6-Brigham Young | 5-Kansas |
| 9-Notre Dame | 10-Georgetown | 11-Wisconsin | 12-Florida |
| 16-Syracuse | 15-Louisville | 14-North Carolina | 13-Connecticut |
| 17-Vanderbilt | 18-Villanova | 19-Arizona | 20-St. John's |
| 24-Missouri | 23-Texas A&M | 22-West Virginia | 21-Kentucky |
| 25-Xavier | 26-George Mason | 27-Temple | 28-Tennessee |
| 32-Florida State | 31-Cincinnati | 30-UNLV | 29-Washington |
| 33-Utah State | 34-UCLA | 35-Kansas State | 36-Illinois |
| 40-Alabama | 39-Michigan State | 38-Old Dominion | 37-St. Mary's |
| 41-Georgia | 42-Marquette | 43-Virginia Tech | 44-Memphis |
| 48-Colorado State | 47-Gonzaga | 46-Boston College | 45-Butler |
| 49-Richmond | 50-Belmont* | 51-Cleveland State | 52-Missouri State |
| 56-Coastal Carolina* | 55-Harvard | 54-Charleston* | 53-Oakland* |
| 57-Fairfield* | 58-Bucknell* | 59-Vermont* | 60-Long Island* |
| 64-Morehead State* | 63-Montana | 62-Long Beach | 61-Kent State |
| 65-Florida Atlantic | 66-McNeese State | 67-Texas Southern | 68-Bethune Cookman |
| 72-Virginia Commonwealth | 71-Minnesota | 70-Baylor | 69-UAB |
TODAY'S MATH
Take our "solid" at-large candidates (current Tournament Odds at 75 percent or better) and you have exactly 38 teams in the field. Add in the remaining automatic qualifiers and that's another 20 spots. All told we have 58 of the 68 spots accounted for, with only 10 up for grabs among current "Bubble" teams.
"BUBBLE" (21 teams for 10 spots)
IN (10, in S-Curve order): 39-Michigan St, 40-Alabama, 41-Georgia, 42-Marquette, 43-Virginia Tech, 45-Butler, 46-Boston College, 47-Gonzaga, 48-Colorado State, 49-Richmond
OUT (11, in S-Curve order): 69-UAB, 70-Baylor, 71-Minnesota, 72-VCU, 73-Wichita State, 74-Nebraska, 75-Clemson, 76-Maryland, 77-Southern Miss, 78-Michigan, 79-Penn State
CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN
Big East (11), Big 12 (6), SEC (6), ACC (5), Big Ten (5), Mountain West (4), Atlantic 10 (3), Pac-10 (3), Colonial (2), Horizon League (2).
Link for those with insider access:
http://insider.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/blog?name=ncbexperts&id=6150750
February 23rd, 2011 at 3:51 PM ^
We just need to keep winning games. News at 11.
February 23rd, 2011 at 3:54 PM ^
This just in: Beating MSU will be huge
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:01 PM ^
A win tonight would be beneficial to our tournament chances.
February 23rd, 2011 at 7:06 PM ^
MSU is not a quality win. Wisky is. Go blue
February 23rd, 2011 at 3:55 PM ^
From what most of us thought at the beginning of the season, the NIT would be a very good accomplishment for this team. I only expected to see 14 wins out of them, so everything else is a bonus to me.
And I really think Michigan would have a very good chance of winning the NIT if they make it. They are becoming one of "those" teams that nobody wants to play right now. Except MSU, who probably have a countdown clock and maize and blue voodoo dolls in their locker room.
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:05 PM ^
I don't know if this has been discussed, but we apparently have countdown clocks now too.
http://detroit.sbnation.com/michigan-wolverines/2011/2/23/2010249/brady…
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:18 PM ^
Call me old fashioned, which as a college freshman is probably a little sad, but I'm not a fan. If we're going to have a countdown clock, let's make a weekly one that just says beat the next team.
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:30 PM ^
Yea, it was posted a while back. You can read here if you want to see the MGoCommunity's responses.
February 23rd, 2011 at 7:07 PM ^
our schedule? When did this change? /s
February 23rd, 2011 at 7:08 PM ^
cant spell it just like he cant say it. Mr Hoke, its O-H-I-O State.
February 23rd, 2011 at 5:01 PM ^
Haha! It says beat Ohio, not Ohio State. Brady Hoke at his finest.
February 23rd, 2011 at 5:11 PM ^
I saw the Buckeye helmet, but nonetheless, if we just generically beat Ohio, I wouldn't complain necessarily....
February 23rd, 2011 at 6:21 PM ^
I'm not okay with it, were getting screwed. We are a team that is improving as the year goes on, and even if we win 2 out of the next 3 we could still be left out. There are teams worse than we are who already have a tourney seed locked up, WTF. This team deserves more recognition than we are getting and it's hurting our chances at the tourney.
Nobody is talking about us. I really wish JB would start campaigning a little bit, at least so were in the conversation. But no Tater, i'm not OK with it. This team deserves it, they have fought tooth and nail every game. Only if we could have hit one more 3 against KU or ILL, damn.
February 23rd, 2011 at 3:56 PM ^
It's nice Lunardi finally put us on his list. We'll see what happens and there is a lot of things that go into it but after that side by side comparison was put up between us and V. Tech, I still can't get over how far apart Joe has us.
It's nice that I keep seeing teams we beat popping up in the bubble discussion....MSU, Clemson, Penn St
February 23rd, 2011 at 3:56 PM ^
how is it possible that the SEC gets 6 and the B10 gets 5 in the tourney?
also, the Big East plays ball like a BOSS
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:09 PM ^
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:16 PM ^
With the new 68-team format, the Big Ten will have 6 teams. This is a fundamental error by Lunardi. Dude, put down your calculator and recognize the obvious furor the B10 would raise if one of their teams has 20+ wins and .500+ conf. record and STILL gets the shaft to make room for some marginal team from a tiny school with no fanbase.
February 23rd, 2011 at 5:23 PM ^
What is so hard for people to understand that Lunardi doesn't do projections. He does bracketology based on current record and that is it.
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:18 PM ^
Hopefully Beilein rallies the guys tonight by yelling "LUNARDI DOESN"T BELIEVE IN US!!! LET"S MOVE UP TO FIRST 4 OUT!!!!!"
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:35 PM ^
Also, to add to the whole category of things that we already knew, another ESPN NCAA "expert"'s take on Michigan that seems slightly more optimistic than Lunardi...
Question:
Do you think a win tonight by Michigan over Wisconson puts Michigan in the Tourny
Dana O'Neil
(2:12 PM)
Charlie: It certainly helps. Think the Wolverines are right there and need that signature win. BUT BUT BUT... cannot win this and fall apart down the stretch.
February 23rd, 2011 at 4:58 PM ^
If we win tonight I could see the team taking Minnesota and MSU. For now, just beat the Badgers. The "Sixth Man" can really help out especially when the team is on defense. =
February 23rd, 2011 at 5:13 PM ^
Bethune Cookman.
February 23rd, 2011 at 5:13 PM ^
is clemson ranked ahead of us. We won on thier homecourt!
February 23rd, 2011 at 5:36 PM ^
If you guys beat Wisconsin, then your resume is very similar to MSUs: both lost to a top-tiered team [Duke/Kansas], both lost to Syracuse, both lost to OSU, @Illinois, and @Wisconsin. We both have bad road losses [Iowa/Indiana]. You can also swap our loss at Penn State with your loss at Northwestern. Our signature win is Wisconsin at home. If you can beat them tonight, then your signature win will also be Wisconsin at home. If that happens, March 5th will be very, very interesting.
February 23rd, 2011 at 6:12 PM ^
We keep on winning, our chances keep improving. Winning tonight would be huge. If we can win the last 3 games and take a couple games in the Big Ten tournament, we're in for sure.
February 23rd, 2011 at 6:15 PM ^
has us in right now as one of the 12 seed play-in games. They keep playing well, and go 2-1 here then a BTT win.... were in. Lunardi wont be able to keep us from dancing then.
February 23rd, 2011 at 7:46 PM ^
This is the best i've seen this team play in 2 years.