Bracketology currently has us as 10th out

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February 23rd, 2011 at 4:43 PM
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REDvsBLUE
Joined: 10/16/2010
MGoPoints: 509
Bracketology currently has us as 10th out

Lunardi's Espn S-curve currently has us sitting at #78 which puts us 10 out for the tournie.  Minnesota's loss last night put them at #71 (3rd out).  It is behind the espn paywall but I will post the story here.

 

 

The Full S-curve

* conference leader (teams)

1-Ohio State 2-Pittsburgh 3-Duke 4-Texas
8-Purdue 7-San Diego State 6-Brigham Young 5-Kansas
9-Notre Dame 10-Georgetown 11-Wisconsin 12-Florida
16-Syracuse 15-Louisville 14-North Carolina 13-Connecticut
17-Vanderbilt 18-Villanova 19-Arizona 20-St. John's
24-Missouri 23-Texas A&M 22-West Virginia 21-Kentucky
25-Xavier 26-George Mason 27-Temple 28-Tennessee
32-Florida State 31-Cincinnati 30-UNLV 29-Washington
33-Utah State 34-UCLA 35-Kansas State 36-Illinois
40-Alabama 39-Michigan State 38-Old Dominion 37-St. Mary's
41-Georgia 42-Marquette 43-Virginia Tech 44-Memphis
48-Colorado State 47-Gonzaga 46-Boston College 45-Butler
49-Richmond 50-Belmont* 51-Cleveland State 52-Missouri State
56-Coastal Carolina* 55-Harvard 54-Charleston* 53-Oakland*
57-Fairfield* 58-Bucknell* 59-Vermont* 60-Long Island*
64-Morehead State* 63-Montana 62-Long Beach 61-Kent State
65-Florida Atlantic 66-McNeese State 67-Texas Southern 68-Bethune Cookman
72-Virginia Commonwealth 71-Minnesota 70-Baylor 69-UAB

 

 

TODAY'S MATH

Take our "solid" at-large candidates (current Tournament Odds at 75 percent or better) and you have exactly 38 teams in the field. Add in the remaining automatic qualifiers and that's another 20 spots. All told we have 58 of the 68 spots accounted for, with only 10 up for grabs among current "Bubble" teams.

 

 

"BUBBLE" (21 teams for 10 spots)

 

 

IN (10, in S-Curve order): 39-Michigan St, 40-Alabama, 41-Georgia, 42-Marquette, 43-Virginia Tech, 45-Butler, 46-Boston College, 47-Gonzaga, 48-Colorado State, 49-Richmond

 

 

OUT (11, in S-Curve order): 69-UAB, 70-Baylor, 71-Minnesota, 72-VCU, 73-Wichita State, 74-Nebraska, 75-Clemson, 76-Maryland, 77-Southern Miss, 78-Michigan, 79-Penn State

 

 

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big East (11), Big 12 (6), SEC (6), ACC (5), Big Ten (5), Mountain West (4), Atlantic 10 (3), Pac-10 (3), Colonial (2), Horizon League (2).

 

Link for those with insider access:

http://insider.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/blog?name=ncbexperts&id=6150750

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February 23rd, 2011 at 4:51 PM | We just need to keep winning (Score:1)
david from wyoming
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Joined: 03/15/2009
MGoPoints: 2813

We just need to keep winning games. News at 11.

Are you a park ranger at Yellowstone? Say hi to Yogi Bear for me. - the_big_house 500th

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February 23rd, 2011 at 4:54 PM | This just in: Beating MSU (Score:1)
ÆonBlue
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Joined: 08/03/2010
MGoPoints: 260

This just in: Beating MSU will be huge

Everest from Old Spice helps mask the smell of fear during Wolverine attacks on Icy terrain.

World of Web Development

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:01 PM | Late Breaking Story (Score:1)
MaizeSombrero
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Joined: 07/19/2008
MGoPoints: 1938

A win tonight would be beneficial to our tournament chances.

I'm a cucumber.  | Twitter

February 23rd, 2011 at 8:06 PM | We need a quality win (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3596

MSU is not a quality win.  Wisky is.  Go blue

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

February 23rd, 2011 at 4:55 PM | I'm OK with it (Score:1)
Tater
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MGoPoints: 10377

From what most of us thought at the beginning of the season, the NIT would be a very good accomplishment for this team.  I only expected to see 14 wins out of them, so everything else is a bonus to me.  

And I really think Michigan would have a very good chance of winning the NIT if they make it.  They are becoming one of "those" teams that nobody wants to play right now.  Except MSU, who probably have a countdown clock and maize and blue voodoo dolls in their locker room.

 

 

 

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:05 PM | I don't know if this has been (Score:1)
MaizeSombrero
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Joined: 07/19/2008
MGoPoints: 1938

I don't know if this has been discussed, but we apparently have countdown clocks now too.

http://detroit.sbnation.com/michigan-wolverines/2011/2/23/2010249/brady-...

 

I'm a cucumber.  | Twitter

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:18 PM | Call me old fashioned, which (Score:1)
Chippewa Blue
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Joined: 06/06/2010
MGoPoints: 1080

Call me old fashioned, which as a college freshman is probably a little sad, but I'm not a fan. If we're going to have a countdown clock, let's make a weekly one that just says beat the next team.

Oh you know, just a typical Michigan fan that goes to Central

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:30 PM | Yea, it was posted a while (Score:1)
justingoblue
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Yea, it was posted a while back. You can read here if you want to see the MGoCommunity's responses.

Go Blue!

February 23rd, 2011 at 8:07 PM | Are the Bobcats on (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3596

our schedule?  When did this change?  /s

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

February 23rd, 2011 at 8:08 PM | Maybe Hoke (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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cant spell it just like he cant say it.  Mr Hoke, its O-H-I-O State.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

February 23rd, 2011 at 6:01 PM | Haha! It says beat Ohio, not (Score:1)
MGoRob
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Haha! It says beat Ohio, not Ohio State.  Brady Hoke at his finest.

February 23rd, 2011 at 6:11 PM | I Laughed.... (Score:1)
LSAClassOf2000
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Joined: 01/07/2011
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I saw the Buckeye helmet, but nonetheless, if we just generically beat Ohio, I wouldn't complain necessarily....

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

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February 23rd, 2011 at 7:21 PM | I'm not okay with it (Score:1)
bleedzblue
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Joined: 09/03/2009
MGoPoints: 1146

I'm not okay with it, were getting screwed. We are a team that is improving as the year goes on, and even if we win 2 out of the next 3 we could still be left out. There are teams worse than we are who already have a tourney seed locked up, WTF. This team deserves more recognition than we are getting and it's hurting our chances at the tourney. 

Nobody is talking about us. I really wish JB would start campaigning a little bit, at least so were in the conversation. But no Tater, i'm not OK with it. This team deserves it, they have fought tooth and nail every game. Only if we could have hit one more 3 against KU or ILL, damn.

HAIL TO THE VICTORS VALIANT, HAIL TO THE CONQUERING HEROES!

February 23rd, 2011 at 4:56 PM | We made it !! (Score:1)
Ziff72
Joined: 07/07/2008
MGoPoints: 5146

It's nice Lunardi finally put us on his list.   We'll see what happens and there is a lot of things that go into it but after that side by side comparison was put up between us and V. Tech, I still can't get over how far apart Joe has us.  

It's nice that I keep seeing teams we beat popping up in the bubble discussion....MSU, Clemson, Penn St

February 23rd, 2011 at 4:56 PM | how is it possible that the (Score:1)
Michigan Arrogance
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Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 4297

how is it possible that the SEC gets 6 and the B10 gets 5 in the tourney?

 

also, the Big East plays ball like a BOSS

Harvard: The MICHIGAN of the East

We're not arrogant, we're just better.

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:09 PM | i was wondering the same thing (Score:1)
tricks574
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MGoPoints: 428

Its a fairly widely held belief that the big ten is one of, if not the toughest conference in college ball, and that the SEC is basically garbage. It just seems insane that they would get more teams than both the ACC and Big 10.

still doesn't change the season outlook though, just win baby.

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February 23rd, 2011 at 5:16 PM | I agree (Score:1)
caup
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 1915

With the new 68-team format, the Big Ten will have 6 teams.  This is a fundamental error by Lunardi.  Dude, put down your calculator and recognize the obvious furor the B10 would raise if one of their teams has 20+ wins and .500+ conf. record and STILL gets the shaft to make room for some marginal team from a tiny school with no fanbase.

Go Blue

February 23rd, 2011 at 6:23 PM | What is so hard for people to (Score:1)
ESNY
Joined: 11/06/2008
MGoPoints: 674

What is so hard for people to understand that Lunardi doesn't do projections.  He does bracketology based on current record and that is it.

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:18 PM | Hopefully Beilein rallies the (Score:1)
Braylon 5 Hour ...
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Joined: 03/18/2009
MGoPoints: 668

Hopefully Beilein rallies the guys tonight by yelling "LUNARDI DOESN"T BELIEVE IN US!!! LET"S MOVE UP TO FIRST 4 OUT!!!!!"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DJnKm6ftPu0&feature=related

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:35 PM | Also, to add to the whole (Score:1)
Braylon 5 Hour ...
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Joined: 03/18/2009
MGoPoints: 668

Also, to add to the whole category of things that we already knew, another ESPN NCAA "expert"'s take on Michigan that seems slightly more optimistic than Lunardi...

Question:

 

Do you think a win tonight by Michigan over Wisconson puts Michigan in the Tourny

http://a1.espncdn.com/prod/assets/sportsnation/icon_sn.png); background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: initial; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); float: left; background-position: 0px 4px; background-repeat: no-repeat no-repeat; ">
Dana O'Neil
http://a1.espncdn.com/prod/assets/sportsnation/icon_sn.png); background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: initial; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); float: left; background-position: 0px 4px; background-repeat: no-repeat no-repeat; ">
  (2:12 PM)

Charlie: It certainly helps. Think the Wolverines are right there and need that signature win. BUT BUT BUT... cannot win this and fall apart down the stretch.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DJnKm6ftPu0&feature=related

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:39 PM | i c (Score:1)
coldnjl
Joined: 12/31/2009
MGoPoints: 2427

i c

February 23rd, 2011 at 5:58 PM | If we win tonight I could see (Score:1)
aiglick
Joined: 11/27/2010
MGoPoints: 1442

If we win tonight I could see the team taking Minnesota and MSU. For now, just beat the Badgers. The "Sixth Man" can really help out especially when the team is on defense. =

Here's hoping for a bright future. This team does try hard and I will continue to support them.

February 23rd, 2011 at 6:13 PM | We could beat (Score:1)
MGoGolf
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Joined: 08/12/2010
MGoPoints: 989

Bethune Cookman.

February 23rd, 2011 at 6:13 PM | How (Score:1)
john22
Joined: 06/09/2010
MGoPoints: 919

is clemson ranked ahead of us. We won on thier homecourt!

February 23rd, 2011 at 6:36 PM | If you guys beat Wisconsin, (Score:1)
GoBlogSparty
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Joined: 02/19/2010
MGoPoints: 1191

If you guys beat Wisconsin, then your resume is very similar to MSUs: both lost to a top-tiered team [Duke/Kansas], both lost to Syracuse, both lost to OSU, @Illinois, and @Wisconsin. We both have bad road losses [Iowa/Indiana]. You can also swap our loss at Penn State with your loss at Northwestern. Our signature win is Wisconsin at home. If you can beat them tonight, then your signature win will also be Wisconsin at home. If that happens, March 5th will be very, very interesting.

 

Your friendly neighborhood Sparty

February 23rd, 2011 at 7:12 PM | Just Win, Baby. (Score:1)
cadmus2166
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Joined: 01/04/2010
MGoPoints: 1046

We keep on winning, our chances keep improving.  Winning tonight would be huge.  If we can win the last 3 games and take a couple games in the Big Ten tournament, we're in for sure.

I do not mean to pry, but you don't by any chance happen to have six fingers on your right hand?

February 23rd, 2011 at 8:46 PM | This is the best i've seen (Score:1)
Michigan Arrogance
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This is the best i've seen this team play in 2 years.

Harvard: The MICHIGAN of the East

We're not arrogant, we're just better.

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