Bowl Projections after Week 1-Plus One Note on Potential Location Issue
Saw a couple of Bowl Projections, but one included a potantially intersting note that might effect where Michigan gets sent:
SI: Fiesta Bowl against LSU
SEC Country: Outback against LSU
CBS: Holiday against Oregon
Jerry Palm writes the following regarding his projection (FWIW, he had picked Florida to win last week):
I am hearing from a lot of Michigan fans complaining that I am disrespecting the Wolverines by projecting them to the Holiday Bowl instead of something like the Citrus or Outback. (Others complain that I do not have them winning the Super Bowl, but this explanation is not for them.) With the new bowl agreements three years ago, Big Ten bowl pairings outside of the CFP and New Year's Six games are no longer based primarily on merit. Instead, factors like how often and how recently a team has been to a particular game -- or even a state or region -- plays as big a role, if not a bigger one.
Michigan has been to Florida bowl games the last two seasons. If the Wolverines are not in the CFP or a New Year's Six game, it is very unlikely they will be sent to Florida again, regardless of their record or conference standing.
All three sites where I found projections had three B1G in the playoff or NY6. SI had the conference shut out of the playoff (it currently projects Oklahoma in, perhaps a giveaway for their prediction on Saturday's game) with the two others having OSU in the playoff and Penn State and Wisconsin in the NY6.
September 5th, 2017 at 5:45 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 5:50 PM ^
I am now expecting to split those games where I considered them probable losses before week 1. Happy Valley for a night game is a different beast than a neutral site game. Inexperience will play more of a factor. OSU is no more than I coin flip
September 5th, 2017 at 7:37 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 6:02 PM ^
Night games at PSU get goofy. That being said, home field and their love of the long ball might be their only advatnage.
UM's coaching advanatge will be huge and I think we will push PSU around.
September 5th, 2017 at 6:07 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 6:47 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 7:50 PM ^
As long as they have james "field goal" franklin at the helm, I am not worried....
September 5th, 2017 at 9:20 PM ^
OSU passed for 300 yards last game. I mean if we can't pass, Michigan super can't pass.
September 5th, 2017 at 10:03 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 10:10 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 7:08 PM ^
September 6th, 2017 at 11:08 AM ^
Or gotten a proper fucking spot on a 4th and one!
September 5th, 2017 at 10:13 PM ^
Why the frick are you worried about happy valley at night?
We CRUSHED them last year. Not even close. Did they get 35 points better?
PSU is the most overrated team in the nation.
One of their last "nighttime whiteouts":
September 5th, 2017 at 10:14 PM ^
Our defense will be amazing again, but I still haven't seen Speight have a good road/neutral site game yet against a good defense. A night game at PSU would be a great time to prove me wrong, but I honestly have my reservations until I see it. I think he'll be fine at home and I still think that will be for a spot in Indy, so I'm still confident he can get us there.
September 5th, 2017 at 10:50 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 5:47 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 6:50 PM ^
If the Florida game wasn't a fluke (except for Speight's inaccuracy, which I hope WAS a fluke), I would expect Michigan to lose one of Penn State/Wisconsin. Just doesn't seem likely that a team this young wins both of those on the road. Assuming that's the case, the season will come down to 10-1 against Ohio State...again.
September 5th, 2017 at 6:54 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 9:54 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 6:52 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 5:48 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 6:08 PM ^
HEY-OOOOOOO!!!!
September 5th, 2017 at 6:47 PM ^
i think i ruined your roommate's bathrobe...
September 5th, 2017 at 7:33 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 7:33 PM ^
Username checks out
September 5th, 2017 at 6:10 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 6:29 PM ^
It seems the right time to guess at that.
September 5th, 2017 at 6:29 PM ^
I'm wondering if Penn St can hold off our pass rush long enough to wind up an arm punt. It depends how clever they get with Barkley.
September 5th, 2017 at 6:33 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 6:48 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 7:08 PM ^
The Peach Bowl is an "Access Bowl," so it does not have any conference tie-ins. It is entirely possible that a Big Ten team ends up there. As a matter of fact, I think if Michigan ends the season ranked between #5 and #11, the Peach Bowl might be the most likely destination. The bad news is that the most likely opponent would be USF in that scenario, since they seem to be destined to be the #1 "G5" team.
September 5th, 2017 at 7:17 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 10:21 PM ^
Only reason I remembered that is because I couldn't figure out why there was a bowl game in a crappy baseball stadium.
I just looked it up on Wikipedia to confirm, and it looks like the B1G played there a few times. Purdue (1978 & 1984), Iowa (1982 & 1988), Indiana (1987 and 1990) and Illinois (1985) all played in the game.
September 5th, 2017 at 7:06 PM ^
Oh lord. Not this shit again. We really don't need a weekly bowl projection thread. All you're doing is giving these useless articles web clicks, thus encouraging the writers to keep making this garbage again. Seriously....enough.
September 5th, 2017 at 7:26 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 7:44 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 8:12 PM ^
Too many people are ignoring the OP's fine print about the Holiday bowl. If I were a 2nd-3rd place Big Ten team and relegated to the Holiday Bowl, I'd be kind of pissed. That's an anti-meritocracy.
Dumb.
September 5th, 2017 at 8:30 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 8:32 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 8:41 PM ^
Bowl projections after one game serve only one purpose: Ad impressions.
They are easier to proffer than pithy analysis of the games last weekend, so lazy ad-motivated sites have them.
September 5th, 2017 at 8:44 PM ^
Should have won, could have won. It's in the past where it belongs. It's irrelevant now. Don't look to the past, look to the future. But with that said, I had predicted a loss to both psu and o$u and I am sticking to my guns. Speight got scared at the night game at Iowa and I can't imagine what the psu environment will do to him. It's quite evident to me after the Florida game that he still has a lot of work to do. And Harbaugh is sticking with him so he's the best we have. As for o$u, I've said it before and I'll say it again. I'll believe it when I see it. Until then, automatic loss.
September 5th, 2017 at 9:11 PM ^
September 5th, 2017 at 9:32 PM ^
I see reading comprehension wasn't your thing in school. In case you couldn't tell, this is about projections. You may want to go look up who Nostradamus was and what he was known for. Seriously, they teach comprehension in 3rd grade. Maybe even sooner these days. Hell if I know, son.
September 5th, 2017 at 10:00 PM ^
We essentially beat OSU on the road last season. This team seems about on par with last year's team. We have OSU at home this year. There is no reason to be so pessimistic.
September 5th, 2017 at 9:14 PM ^
Woah, let's slow our roll here. We still don't know how bad Florida's offense really sucks.
Let's see how we look against an offense with a pulse before we worry about CFP and NY6 bowl games.
September 5th, 2017 at 9:17 PM ^
Project what's for lunch tomorrow! Long season boys and girls. Gonna be a good one!
GO BLUE!!
September 5th, 2017 at 9:32 PM ^
Cold pizza.
September 5th, 2017 at 11:07 PM ^
Take nothing for granted. Michigan is bound to have a weird Iowa-type game where it's 50/50, and beating Michigan would make the season for MSU (and Indiana, Minnesota, Maryland as well), so I would expect them to be playing out of of their minds and get their best shots. It's going to be an interesting ride.