Bowl projections, 12/8/13 (updated)
Jason Kirk over at SB Nation projects Michigan vs. Kansas State in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl in Phoenix on December 28th.
Sports Illustrated suggests Michigan vs. Georgia in the Gator Bowl in Jacksonville on January 1st.
Thoughts? Both teams are probably better than Michigan, although Georgia won't have Aaron Murray (torn ACL).
EDIT: ESPN is also predicting that Michigan will be picked by the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl (LINK).
UPDATE: Michigan and Nebraska, Georgia, Texas A&M and LSU in the mix for the Gator Bowl (LINK)
December 8th, 2013 at 12:21 PM ^
All teams in the conference divide the pot, so it makes no difference to the payout who went to which game.
December 8th, 2013 at 5:20 PM ^
I was under the impression that if you earned a spot to the better bowl (The Rose Bowl for instance) the team that goes gets a bigger piece. But if it's even across the board it doesn't matter. . ..
December 8th, 2013 at 11:52 AM ^
I have a cousin who is a Georgia fan. We texted etc. as both of our teams tanked over the course of the season. We have had a running joke that Michigan and Georgia would play in some crappy bowl, and that the game would boil down to who can get out of their own way long enough to find the endzone. Would just be funny if it happened.
December 8th, 2013 at 11:53 AM ^
A bowl game at this point is about practice and recruiting. Give us a name brand team, one that will put stars in the eyes of recruits. Recruits dont come to Michigan to play the likes of KSU in bowl games. I have no doubt we will beat a team like Georgia. Michigan will come out ready to dominate after the heartbreaker with OSU.
December 8th, 2013 at 11:54 AM ^
Not that there is a huge difference. It's a pileup of mediocrity.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:02 PM ^
I was using the advanced statistics:
- FEIplus: Georgia #21, KSU #25, Michigan #35
- S&P: Georgia #16, KSU #29, Michigan #41
- FEI: Georgia #15, KSU #29, Michigan #32
Not that they are perfect, but given that I haven't watched a lot of Georgia or Kansas State this year, the advanced stats seem preferable to my gut feeling.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:20 PM ^
than Michigan. KSU is KSU. I don't see a whole lot of difference between the teams. If any of them are better than the other it isn't by a large margin.
December 8th, 2013 at 1:57 PM ^
When the bottom two teams in the SEC can play in their league championship without any negative reflection on the league, they are valued more top to bottom from a perception standpoint. A win over an SEC team goes farther than a win over a middle of the pack Big 12 team from a perception standpoint. If Purdue played Minnesota for the Big 10 title it would be viewed as evidence of how weak the Big 10 is.
In the world of rankings, perception is reality.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:06 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 12:09 PM ^
I'd rather see us take on kansas State. It's obvious that Georgia is the better TV matchup but if we're looking for a game we can win and/or manage more easily then I think KSU is the better option. There is always the chance that georgia could beat us up and we want to finish the season on a high note.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:11 PM ^
I would like the Gator bowl for obvious reasons: New Years Day, Better Opponent Etc. Hopefully it turns out better than Rich Rods Gator Bowl appearance.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:15 PM ^
I like the Georgia match up, but I also like the idea of playing a MAC team in the Cotton Bowl.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:15 PM ^
sounds like something played at Ford Field on December 26th against the MAC champion. While it's boring having played there twice so recently, I'd still rather play in the Gator against an SEC team.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:19 PM ^
to different people, none of them good.
I think of the commercials where the bartender has the guy turn the sprinklers on to force overtime.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:34 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 12:20 PM ^
Gator Bowl is on opposite three other bowl games, all of which I'd probably like to see.
BWW Bowl has its own slot. Probably get a better-grade announcing team, though, although last year it was Nessler/Blackledge which I'm a little weary of.
December 8th, 2013 at 1:37 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 12:22 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 12:44 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 1:16 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 12:45 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 1:09 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 12:23 PM ^
Some Buckeye in-laws of my Sparty brother are claiming that MSU will be in the NC game against FSU. I'd guess their reasoning is that anybody good enough to beat Urban Meyer should automatically get the nod.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:30 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 12:55 PM ^
It's not bad... my brother's just a prof up at MSU, and he didn't go to school there himself. He's not a dick about it, and has had plenty of critical comments about Dantonio in the past.
He was just moaning about the idiot couch-burners this morning.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:27 PM ^
I would attend the Kansas State game in Phoenix for sure.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:28 PM ^
Damn - wanted to see OSU play Bama
Us against Georgia is good
December 8th, 2013 at 12:54 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 12:32 PM ^
Just as long as it isn't Arizona or Texas. I just can't take the circus that would ensue on here.
Georgia and KState would both be good matchups, though.
Does Ohio State play Alabama or Missouri?
December 8th, 2013 at 12:37 PM ^
in the Orange Bowl.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:47 PM ^
I think it would be sort of funny in a very black humor sort of way, although I'd fear for Brian's mental and physical health if we lost to either RR or GERG.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:59 PM ^
What, you wouldn't be interested in the GERG bowl? It'd be fascinating to see space and time collide watching Borges' offense versus GERG's defense.
December 8th, 2013 at 12:51 PM ^
I'd rather see us go up against a Big XII team for once. I'm a little tired of seeing us play and SEC team in the gator bowl/outback bowl since that's been our second home quite a few times in the last 16 years.
December 8th, 2013 at 1:05 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 1:25 PM ^
This is pretty irrelevant, but Georgia's new starting QB Hutson Mason was a 3-star to Rivals a few years ago. He was in Rivals' top 75 best players in the state of Georgia...at #75. He has pretty good stats for the Bulldogs, though.
December 8th, 2013 at 2:14 PM ^
If I was Braxton Miller, I would seriously think about going to the NFL. Four new starters on their Oline next year, basically = Michigan 2013., when you think about what we lost on the interior. Plus, from what I remember, I don't think their Oline recruiting has been very good. I can't see him having the year he had this year, even with the injury figured in. I like our chances next year, and if I were Braxton, I would take the millions and run. The only reason he would have motivation for coming back is B1G championship / national title, and I really don't see it happening with what's coming back for Ohio.
December 8th, 2013 at 2:50 PM ^
Is Braxton even projected to go early enough to make sense to leave early? ESPN (I know, not the most reliable) has him 116th overall, which puts him in the early 4th round. That should put him around a $500k signing bonus and a 4-year, $2.5 million deal. If he falls to the 7th round after returning, it's more like 4-year, $2.25 million salary and a $50k signing bonus. So really, he wouldn't be sacrificing much by returning, especially considering many deals in the 4th round and beyond are negotiated to pay the player significantly less if they aren't on the 53-man roster, which Braxton may not make unless he makes big strides in preseason workouts on his passing skills (or makes a position switch without the on-field looks Denard had at the end of last season).
December 8th, 2013 at 3:40 PM ^
Yeah, but right now dual threats are all the rage in the NFL with RGIII, Russell Wilson, Coiin Kapernick, etc. Even if he comes back to improve on his passing skills, with what will be a rebuilding Oline, I don't see him having a great year. I could see a Devin 2013 repeat and that certainly wouldn't help his stock.
December 8th, 2013 at 3:52 PM ^
Miller's got a family need, apparently - he's got a child he needs to support. Also, Ohio loses 4 OL and Hyde, so there's no guarantee next year will go as smoothly as this one.
December 8th, 2013 at 2:16 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 2:16 PM ^
Plus it wouid be fun to watch an Ohio led team with Miller and Guiton both gone. Cardale Jones?
December 8th, 2013 at 2:44 PM ^
A win for UM would be huge for recruiting, though
December 8th, 2013 at 2:51 PM ^
December 8th, 2013 at 3:08 PM ^
LSU will be playing a backup freshman QB in their bowl game, which I assume would only help our chances.
December 8th, 2013 at 2:51 PM ^
I agree, a win over LSU would be huge. If we lose, people will just say it's B1G losing to SEC and Michigan is still rebuilding under Hoke, but if we win, it can really sway perception for the program and even further recruiting.
December 8th, 2013 at 4:14 PM ^
If it is LSU and it does prove to be a bad matchup for us, Miles probably won't run the score up.
December 8th, 2013 at 3:40 PM ^
Whether KSU, LSU, Georgia, or A&M, we should have a real chance in any of them.
KSU - solid but beatable.
Georgia - injured.
LSU - injured and questionable defense.
A&M - defense worse than Ohio State.
The LSU storylines would be either interesting or annoying, depending on how they take it.
December 8th, 2013 at 5:50 PM ^