Bill Connelly Previews Michigan

this is michigan for gods sakes.

I sincerely hope we avoid the inevitable 25+ comment argument about what being "lucky" in TO margin means. I agree that 9 wins would be a successful season, but I don't see it as undoable. The only home game that really worries me is MSU, so I think we have a decent shot at running the table in Ann Arbor. From there it becomes splitting the games away from home and I think that's doable, especially since ND is quite overrated again this year(I know water is wet, blah blah, blah) 

Also screw the system that says the VT game was a loss. I'm as pro-advanced statistics as they come, but if you change the result of a game, then you're not analyzing what happened, you're playing revisionist history. 

Oh you sweet, sweet, sweet dummie.

This article was posted a few down from here. Don't sweat it Mat(t?), it happens to the best of us. 

I still hate the whole "turnovers are luck" thing. Funny how good teams seem to have good luck all the time

So we didn't secure the ball on offense and our defense played sloppy under Rich Rod. I am glad that was just bad luck and not actual losses. I am also no longer counting any OSU loses, because it was too emotional for the starters. VaTech we would have won by more but the team didn't have a back up center, so we won that game by 4 touchdowns actually. Please update your post sir.

Vatech game is considered a win for all I effing care.

Vatech is a win based on the only stat that means diddly squat, the final score baby. Hail to brunettes and the beach.

The writer is a bit of a downer. He has some good stats, but he doesn't list some of our best stats, like scoring defense, time of possession, or red zone efficiency. I get the feeling he did this writeup without ever watching the games we played last year. We won with effort, and execution. We had the fewest penalties in the B1G, wore opponents down with physical play, we forced a ton of turnovers, and scored a ton of points. Reading the article its like the Nebraska game never happened, and the whole season was an accident, or something. He does finish it on a somewhat positive note, though.

Michigan performs best when rated the underdog.

I read this review and didnt care for it.  It reeks of an 'outsider' writer basing his opinions on some things that he read on blogs, and some clips on espn highlights.  He is off base in many respects in both his opinions, as well as just some common sense thinking in evaluating this team in general.

For example... at one point, he laments last season's "offensive decline" over the last six games by pointing out that the avg. points per game in victory dropped significantly.  Well geeze... as if contrasting a tough 2nd half schedule (Ohio, Neb., VT etc games) vs. some cushy opening games and non conference opponents didnt contribute heavily to that discrepancy?  Id bet most good DI teams in tough conferences have a similar point ratio that takes place during the season.

I also didnt care for his comment about how the 2nd string QB may be the best WR on the team...that may be true, and could signal a red flag...however anyone who really knows anything about Devin Gardner knows that he is a freak athlete with the size and skills to be a top WR on ANY team.