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Big Ten Tourney Mich/Wisky Predictions

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March 15th, 2013 at 8:54 AM
#1
goblue85
Joined: 08/23/2011
MGoPoints: 340
Big Ten Tourney Mich/Wisky Predictions

Michigan plays today at 230 pm ESPN against Wisconsin.   This is game number two on the revenge tour.  I think Burke and the boys will gut one out today and get the win.   This game we need to transition a lot as I hate playing Wisky's pace.   If we score seventy today will win.   Let's go get it today. 

 

Michigan 66

Wisconsin 59

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March 15th, 2013 at 8:56 AM | (No subject) (Score:2 Normal)
Bill the Butcher
Bill the Butcher's picture
Joined: 09/23/2012
MGoPoints: 179

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:01 AM | My Prediction (Score:1 Normal)
get-on-my-lawn
Joined: 02/14/2013
MGoPoints: 338

64-56. Not a lot of scoring and I really don't see us pulling away, althought I will say this: I feel like in tournaments THIS YEAR, we seem to play alot better and with a little more swagger and hustle for whatever reason. I think it is just more of our players style, the run and gun type games where they play 3 or 4 games in a week so I like that. I think it has something to do with a lot of our players being young and when you're in high school you tend to play alot of tourneys so I think they are just more used to that. I could be way wrong though. If that is the case, then I say the score ends up being 72-58. (that last score prediction doesn't count for credibility, I just wanted to post it for fun in case the Michigan team from early in the season comes to play).

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:01 AM | I like it. (Score:2 Interesting)
jdon
jdon's picture
Joined: 09/28/2009
MGoPoints: -999418

Michigan by 7 sounds good... too good to be true.

I would imagine we win by 5 or less.  Secretly I hope we beat them by a miracle half court shot, but that's just me.

 

We are the dead.

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:06 AM | I love where your head's at, (Score:2)
APBlue
APBlue's picture
Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 1146

I love where your head's at, winning by a half court shot.  That's awesome.  We could then watch as Bo Ryan's head exploded.  

I'll go with 74-66.  I feel like Michigan's going to put a run together and can't be stopped.  Wisconsin is going to have to play a little more of Michigan's pace today.  

 

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:09 AM | while (Score:1 Normal)
get-on-my-lawn
Joined: 02/14/2013
MGoPoints: 338

while that would be awesome, I really hope that that is not the case. Simply because I will not be able to handle the stress leading up to that point.

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March 15th, 2013 at 12:38 PM | No, thanks... (Score:1)
Tater
Tater's picture
Joined: 08/13/2008
MGoPoints: 10358

I want to save the miracle half-court shot for a game in the Final Four.  Then again, the basketball gods haven't yet paid the Wolverines back for the Evan Turner prayer.  Michigan has two miracle shots coming.

 

 

 

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March 15th, 2013 at 1:41 PM | That's true.  I think it's (Score:2)
APBlue
APBlue's picture
Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 1146

That's true.  I think it's time for Michigan basketball to make a withdrawal from the Bank of Karma.  We've made plenty of deposits over the past few years.  

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:02 AM | ... (Score:1)
THISISMICHIGAN33
THISISMICHIGAN33's picture
Joined: 06/02/2012
MGoPoints: 682

We got PSU yesterday, Wisconsin is today and Indiana is next Then we will beat down MSU in the final. REDEMPTION.

THIS IS MICHIGAN

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:05 AM | 88-25 Michigan. (Score:5 Normal)
rob6reid
rob6reid's picture
Joined: 01/08/2012
MGoPoints: -75866

88-25 Michigan.

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:10 AM | We must break them (Score:3 Normal)
Clown Sauce
Clown Sauce's picture
Joined: 07/12/2011
MGoPoints: 827

We must break them

"What" ain't no country I ever heard of. They speak English in What?

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:38 AM | My prediction is pain (Score:2)
sammylittle
sammylittle's picture
Joined: 09/29/2008
MGoPoints: 1894

For Wisconsin.

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:20 AM | I'll be there (cool story (Score:2)
Jskohl88
Jskohl88's picture
Joined: 03/25/2011
MGoPoints: 254

I'll be there (cool story bro) to cheer on our boys. I say we win on a half court shot... Just kidding. Lets bring the PAIN



GO BLUE

You fell victim to one of the classic blunders. The most famous is never get into a land war with Asia. But only slightly less well known is this: never go in against a Sicilian, when death is on the line!

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:20 AM | Today's Table And Prediction... (Score:2)
LSAClassOf2000
LSAClassOf2000's picture
Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 8708

Here's today's table of possible outcomes first. Massey didn't have updated numbers, so these probabilities are from TeamRankings, which usess a slightly different algorithm.




Illinois / Indiana Wisconsin / Michigan OSU / Nebraska MSU / Iowa ESTIMATED PROB. ON SATURDAY…
0.13 0.52 0.93 0.69 4.338% Illinois / Wisconsin OSU / MSU
0.13 0.52 0.93 0.31 1.949% Illinois / Wisconsin OSU/ Iowa
0.13 0.52 0.07 0.69 0.327% Illinois / Wisconsin Nebraska / MSU
0.13 0.52 0.07 0.31 0.147% Illinois / Wisconsin Nebraska / Iowa
0.13 0.48 0.93 0.69 4.004% Illinois / Michigan OSU / MSU
0.13 0.48 0.93 0.31 1.799% Illinois / Michigan OSU/ Iowa
0.13 0.48 0.07 0.69 0.301% Illinois / Michigan Nebraska / MSU
0.13 0.48 0.07 0.31 0.135% Illinois / Michigan Nebraska / Iowa
0.87 0.52 0.93 0.69 29.031% Indiana / Wisconsin OSU / MSU
0.87 0.52 0.93 0.31 13.043% Indiana / Wisconsin OSU/ Iowa
0.87 0.52 0.07 0.69 2.185% Indiana / Wisconsin Nebraska / MSU
0.87 0.52 0.07 0.31 0.982% Indiana / Wisconsin Nebraska / Iowa
0.87 0.48 0.93 0.69 26.797% Indiana / Michigan OSU / MSU
0.87 0.48 0.93 0.31 12.039% Indiana / Michigan OSU/ Iowa
0.87 0.48 0.07 0.69 2.017% Indiana / Michigan Nebraska / MSU
0.87 0.48 0.07 0.31 0.906% Indiana / Michigan Nebraska / Iowa
        100.000%    

The line on the game is Michigan -3, which I admittedly sort of like. Here's a familiar scenario where, on offense, we are the more capable team in most metrics. Our effective FG% in the conference is 53.1%, compared to 46.9% for WIsconsin. We also average 12 points more per game than they do for scoring, and we even have a slight edge in offensive rebounding as well as assists.

On defense, we give up 1.02 PPP to Wisconsin's 0.91, and we allow opponents an effective FG% of 49.0% to Wisconsin's 42.0%, so I would think that we need to use what we did in the 2nd half yesterday as a model. Get into that same rhythm and try to avoid having Wisconsin bog us down in that half-court game that works so well for them. Stretching the defense to the perimeter would help as well. On a neutral court, if we can keep in motion and limit easy 3's from the Badgers, I can see Michigan edging this one out, but perhaps not by much. I'll go with 65-60-ish and we survive to Saturday. 

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:21 AM | 68-67 (Score:2 Normal)
Don
Don's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 19190

Michigan.


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March 15th, 2013 at 9:44 AM | I think the score may be a little lower, (Score:2)
bluewave720
bluewave720's picture
Joined: 07/17/2009
MGoPoints: 928

but I agree with Michigan by 1-2 points.

I'll go Michigan 60-59.

I also predict that McGary is going to have another big game.

"Coach, if you need one yard, I'll get you three yards. If you need five yards, I'll get you three yards." -Leroy Hoard

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:26 AM | 63-56 Michigan (Score:1)
Soulfire21
Soulfire21's picture
Joined: 03/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3130

63-56 Michigan

Just saw Massey's win probabilities for the game, they give Michigan a 65% chance of winning and like a 67-63 final score.

HAIL.

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:29 AM | 100-0 Michigan (Score:5 Normal)
andben
andben's picture
Joined: 03/17/2012
MGoPoints: 122

100-0 Michigan

Trey Burke with 99

Vogrich with 1

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:30 AM | MCIHIGAN 76 (Score:1)
AriGold
AriGold's picture
Joined: 02/28/2013
MGoPoints: 115

Wisco 63

 

ON TO INDIANA for the 3-peat-re-match tri-fecta!!!! (trying not to look ahead, but i can't!)

Tell Drama he’s on the top of my list of things to do today, along with inserting needles in my cock!

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:32 AM | Maybe I'm missing a joke (Score:3 Normal)
Gobgoblue
Joined: 07/07/2012
MGoPoints: 771

but that is quite an interesting sig.  

I love Greg Mattison

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:50 AM | my signature... (Score:0 Trolling)
AriGold
AriGold's picture
Joined: 02/28/2013
MGoPoints: 115

the show Entourage, Ari Gold/Jeremy Piven has a reputation for blowing up on people and has some funny one-liners, my signature being one of them...you would have to watch the show to understand why the quote is so funny and how it is directed at Johnny Drama (another show character)

Tell Drama he’s on the top of my list of things to do today, along with inserting needles in my cock!

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:58 AM | makes much more sense now (Score:1)
Gobgoblue
Joined: 07/07/2012
MGoPoints: 771

thanks for the explanation.  You didn't seem like a troll, so I should have guessed your sig was a joke/reference of some sort.  Looks like you're only a few weeks old . . .  Welcome to the MGoBoard!

I love Greg Mattison

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March 15th, 2013 at 12:54 PM | haha, thanks! (Score:1)
AriGold
AriGold's picture
Joined: 02/28/2013
MGoPoints: 115

i've been reqading this blog for over a year and decided to finally join in the conversations!

Tell Drama he’s on the top of my list of things to do today, along with inserting needles in my cock!

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:39 AM | Fun Fact: Ari Gold went to (Score:2)
Indy Wolverine
Indy Wolverine's picture
Joined: 07/28/2010
MGoPoints: 777

Fun Fact: Ari Gold went to Michigan. I believe it was for his MBA.

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March 15th, 2013 at 2:24 PM | Ari had a JD/MBA from Michigan... (Score:1)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10858

and an undergrad degree from Harvard (they seemed to imply Economics the one or two times it was brought up).

Go Blue!

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:31 AM | Two predictions: (Score:3 Normal)
Gobgoblue
Joined: 07/07/2012
MGoPoints: 771

Trey Burke and THJ will be composed, but ANGRY during this game.  We will win by about 4-9.  

Or Wisconsin will take three point shots from 40 feet and go 11/12.

I love Greg Mattison

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:33 AM | 56-53 (Score:2)
Naked Bootlegger
Naked Bootlegger's picture
Joined: 01/28/2011
MGoPoints: 1211

56-53 Blue.

I still think Wisconsin controls the pace in this one.   But I choose to be optimistic and predict a close win.   I'll change my mind if I see an all-red figure with horns and goatee sipping a hot drink behind the Wisconsin bench and whispering in Bo Ryan's ear during TV timeouts.

 

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March 15th, 2013 at 11:08 AM | So, Bo Ryan is Barry (large (Score:3 Normal)
Soulfire21
Soulfire21's picture
Joined: 03/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3130

So, Bo Ryan is Barry (large guy on the left).  This is how I picture him being in cahoots with Satan.

HAIL.

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March 15th, 2013 at 11:29 AM | Yup...exactly how I envision (Score:2)
Naked Bootlegger
Naked Bootlegger's picture
Joined: 01/28/2011
MGoPoints: 1211

Yup...exactly how I envision Bo Ryan's relationship with the Dark Lord.  Great find.

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:38 AM | 60-56 good guys. (Score:1)
LIhockey24
LIhockey24's picture
Joined: 08/13/2011
MGoPoints: 168

60-56 good guys.

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:42 AM | My Prediction (Score:3 Normal)
DingoBlue
Joined: 02/21/2012
MGoPoints: 159

I will be angry at Bo Ryan whenever ESPN shows his face.

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:43 AM | I predict I will be (Score:3 Normal)
Bluemandew
Joined: 11/18/2010
MGoPoints: 961

I predict I will be frantically updating the game thread trying to glean any info I can as to how the game is going. 2:30 game start work starts at 3:00 evil!

Just do it!

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:43 AM | victory (Score:3 Normal)
SysMark
SysMark's picture
Joined: 11/15/2008
MGoPoints: 5564

how or by how much I care not...just win and move on

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:43 AM | I see that quite a few of us (Score:2)
dc22
dc22's picture
Joined: 07/11/2012
MGoPoints: 420

I see that quite a few of us want to avenge for the half court shot. I personally don't want the game to come down to that.
How about a compromise? Spike is dribbling out the clock near half court with us up 17 and a 3 second differential between the shot and game clock, he puts it up from half court to avoid a shot clock violation, it goes in and we win by 20 - Now that would really make Bo Ryan's head explode!

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:43 AM | Blue (Score:3 Normal)
exmtroj
exmtroj's picture
Joined: 10/24/2008
MGoPoints: 2211

Michigan wins it 76 blerns to 68.

 

 

"All I've had today is, like, six gummy bears and some scotch"

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:44 AM | 67-64 Michigan. No half-court (Score:2)
Sambojangles
Sambojangles's picture
Joined: 12/15/2008
MGoPoints: 1317

67-64 Michigan.

No half-court shot for the tie this time.

"The trouble with quotes on the internet, is that it is often difficult to discern whether or not they are genuine" --Abraham Lincoln

@Sambojangles

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:46 AM | Same as yesterday, (Score:1)
ontarioblue
ontarioblue's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 1229

Just win!

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:52 AM | GR3 reminds me of a poor (Score:5 Normal)
CLord
Joined: 09/11/2011
MGoPoints: 530

GR3 reminds me of a poor man's Tracy McGrady.  McGrady was turrible his first 1-2 years and then really came on.  We need GR3 to come on big, like now man.  Too passive, not aggressive enough rebounding, misses too many 3s and free throws.

The athleticism is there, but he needs to step it up if we are going to go deep in this tourney.

UM by 1 on a missed Wisc half court shot.

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March 15th, 2013 at 9:55 AM | "Just Win Baby" (Score:3 Normal)
WillRussJohn
WillRussJohn's picture
Joined: 12/30/2011
MGoPoints: 33

I have been waiting waaaaaay too long to get rid of this empty feeling

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:00 AM | Michigan 59 Wisconsin (Score:2)
LivingInOhioSucks
LivingInOhioSucks's picture
Joined: 10/27/2012
MGoPoints: 118

Michigan 59

Wisconsin 55

 

Oh, did you guys know that Stauskas isn't just a spot up shooter?

Go Blue

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March 15th, 2013 at 12:27 PM | Are (Score:0 Trolling)
Hokemaniac24
Hokemaniac24's picture
Joined: 09/02/2012
MGoPoints: 434

you Dan Dakich?

2013 will be the year.

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:01 AM | Whiskey prediction: Michigan (Score:1 Normal)
urbanachiever
Joined: 01/16/2010
MGoPoints: 614

Whiskey prediction: Michigan loss will result in much being consumed

"I hope I can get a bunch of championships - like 15"

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:08 AM | That will be happening for me (Score:2 Normal)
DingoBlue
Joined: 02/21/2012
MGoPoints: 159

Whichever way the game turns out.

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:15 AM | Real Question is (Score:2)
party like its 1989
party like its 1989's picture
Joined: 04/05/2009
MGoPoints: 133

How many points are we going to spot them before we come roaring back for the win?

 

I think we spot them only 6 in the early going, and then we'll end up winning 64-52.

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:31 AM | I like our chances today. Let (Score:1)
EZ Bud
Joined: 01/04/2011
MGoPoints: 476

I like our chances today. Let me throw this out there for discussion: No B1G teams have played in the United Center for at least a year or two. It's always tough to calibrate to a new gym and start getting into a groove with respect to shooting. I think teams that won yesterday are going to have a huge advantage in the first 10-15 minutes of the second round games. Hopefully Michigan can get out to a quick start and step on Wisconsin's throat while they are acclimating to the shooting lines in the United Center.

This is MICHIGAN

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:32 AM | 2 hours of frustration (Score:1)
ontarioblue
ontarioblue's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 1229

watching Wisconsin score 45 points in a 47-45 win.

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:35 AM | Other than a Michigan win of (Score:1)
urbanachiever
Joined: 01/16/2010
MGoPoints: 614

Other than a Michigan win of course, the thing I want to see the most today is another Ryan Evans jumpshot free throw

"I hope I can get a bunch of championships - like 15"

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March 15th, 2013 at 11:38 AM | Any stats on Evans after jumpshooting? (Score:2)
Naked Bootlegger
Naked Bootlegger's picture
Joined: 01/28/2011
MGoPoints: 1211

Does anyone know if the jumpshooting routine has worked for Evans? 

EDIT:   According to Madison newspapers, he started jumpshooting FT's in the late season Nebraska game, so that makes him 5/8 jumpshooting for a 62.5% FT rate.  Not a strong sample size, but he has improved his season FT % to 42% due to his jumpshot.  And he's shooting 8.7% from beyond the 3 point line.

 

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:39 AM | I was out of town on business (Score:0 Trolling)
oriental andrew
oriental andrew's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 4538

I was out of town on business for 3 days this week, got home late last night.  One of the first things my wife told me was that she bought me a 6 pack of Guinness.  She knows nothing about beer (hates it, in fact), but got this one oh-so-right.  Good omen.  Michigan wins this one comfortably, 68-59.

For my privacy, my new username is "non-Oriental non-Andrew"
 

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March 15th, 2013 at 10:43 AM | 64-53 Michigan (Score:1)
lilpenny1316
lilpenny1316's picture
Joined: 11/19/2009
MGoPoints: 2667

I have to believe that they want another crack at Indiana and that will motivate them to come out more aggressive at the start and commit to solid defense.  I don't know if the coaching staff ever plays up the revenge factor but I would whatever it takes to get the intensity to match the talent.

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March 15th, 2013 at 11:06 AM | A Michigan win. 61-58. (Score:2)
MGoClimb
MGoClimb's picture
Joined: 07/31/2012
MGoPoints: 314

A Michigan win. 61-58.

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