Best guess: OSU Sanctions

Submitted by ThatOneGuy on

I know of everything that is going on with OSU, but what is going to come out of this? I live in Omaha, and some family members of mine think that the cars and tatgate will be considered as seperate violations,   Most of us know that the death penalty will never be used again, I've also heard that they could go with no schollies for a certain amount of time, this being the worst case scenario. So, what is everyones opinion on what is going to happen?

elaydin

May 11th, 2011 at 5:52 PM ^

Let's seperate Tressel from OSU.

Tressel:  Something like a 4 to 6 month ban from all coaching activities (which will be enough to force him to resign).

OSU:  Vacate 2010 regular season.  Probation.  

I honestly think that'll be it.  There's nothing in the current NOA that would indicate something more for Ohio State.  It certainly won't be anything like USC for a variety of reasons.

I think the car stuff is overblown and very difficult to prove.  WIth the news today, it basically comes down to "OSU players bought used cars with a normal price distribution centered around the KBB value".  Maybe something comes of the Pryor loaners, in which case he might just get kicked off the team.

justingoblue

May 11th, 2011 at 5:57 PM ^

Maybe something comes of the Pryor loaners, in which case he might just get kicked off the team.

Other than the obvious cost difference, what's the difference in principle in taking a car or a house? I'd think OSU would be looking at Reggie Bush sanctions 2.0 if they find something improper with the loaner cars.

elaydin

May 11th, 2011 at 6:04 PM ^

The cost difference has mattered in the past, so there is that.  I don't think it was the house alone that got USC in trouble, but the lack of any cooperation or oversight.  It would have been interesting to see what punishment USC received  if they said something like "Jeez... I guess you're right.  Here's what we found, here's what we think we should do."   Instead, they denied it all and completely ignored it.

Given a reasonable level of oversight by the university, it seems that the NCAA usually just penalizes the athlete (AJ Green, Bryant, the UNC guys, etc).

justingoblue

May 11th, 2011 at 6:08 PM ^

Good point, but the missing piece is where the university (or was it actually the NCAA?) said that there was nothing improper going on when he got pulled over those times. That's where I think the link to Bush is, with two compliance departments that might have really screwed the pooch.

Grahambino

May 11th, 2011 at 6:01 PM ^

And it may have been, but like I said I just could not have seen it yet, is HOW did these guys afford those cars??  Where did that $ come in from? Not all of these guys have parents w/ wads of cash behind them.  Based on their investigation it could get a lot worse for OSU depending on where the finances were coming from for these guys.

 

Would totally love to see them vacate their 2010 wins, including the bowl, plus 4 years of no bowls.  I don't think Tressel will resign.  I think if he's had enough balls to essentially turn his back on the compliance dept, the athletic dept, and NCAA he could stick his nose up to them and stick it out.  Just a matter of if the NCAA will drop him (which I doubt) or if OSU gets smart and does it first.

elaydin

May 11th, 2011 at 6:13 PM ^

Same place lots of people get money to buy cars.  The bank.

I would be more suspicious if they paid cash, but with cases like Thad Gibson, a large national bank isn't going to care that you currently play for OSU.  They just care about you making payments either from your co-signer, or from your potential future earnings.

Other kids will have parents who no longer have to worry about college expenses and can afford a used car.  Every case is different.

Grahambino

May 11th, 2011 at 6:24 PM ^

That these guys are getting their $ from the banks and not boosters?  I don't work at a bank so I"m not familiar w/ how "qualified" these guys have to be.  Can't imagine many 20 year olds have the credit/collateral/etc. to be given the $ for these rides.  Is the only credit they need the jersey they're wearing?

SysMark

May 11th, 2011 at 6:26 PM ^

I don't think you can just launch an investigation into how someone or their parents may have paid for something.  Lots of college kids not from particularly affluent households have cars.  You have to stick to evidence of inappropriate benefits, which I think they will have plenty of.

Drawing conclusions based on your perception of what a certain household should be able to afford is going too far.

Indiana Blue

May 12th, 2011 at 8:52 AM ^

The tressel issue is he lied to the NCAA ... ask Bruce Pearl about that !   He knowingly played ineligible players for the entire year & then when questioned about it, sign a sworn statement to the NCAA that was FALSE.   Bottom line  - tressel gone for non-compliance.

The cargate issue has now blown into the athletic department.  Remember the salesman is quoted as stating that ALL deals were approved by the athletic department.  If true (and why would this guy lie ?) this speaks to the systematic approval of the entire athletic program to ignore NCAA rules.  Talk about non compliance & institutional control issues !!!

I believe we may be witnessing the largest breach of conduct the NCAA has ever dealt with, certainly much larger than SMU or USC.  But the sad reality is that money and power will prevail and NCAA's lack of  "balls" will allow tsio to skate away relatively unharmed compared to the crimes that have been committed.

Go Blue !

MI Expat NY

May 11th, 2011 at 5:54 PM ^

3-5 years probation, vacated wins, show-cause order for Tressel.... and that's it.  Maybe a bowl ban to make-up for the NCAA falling hook, line and sinker for OSU's spiel last season.

I'll believe the NCAA is going to hit OSU for all the other illegal shit they do when it happens.

Black and Blue

May 11th, 2011 at 6:06 PM ^

The fact that all these allegations/findings already happened within a probation cycle (5 years from the basketball violations) Id be willing to bet they will get alot more than just another 5 year probation.

Id say 7-8 years probation, vacated last years wins/bowl, 2 year post season ban, 25 scholorships over 5 years

vegasjeff

May 11th, 2011 at 6:10 PM ^

2 years probation, 1 yr. bowl ban (that also means no B1G title game), probably show cause for Tressel (but OSU keeps him and he does not quit), maybe (or maybe not) loss of a few scholarships -- but not as many as USC, and vacated wins in 2010 reg. season (they keep the Sugar Bowl win).

fatbastard

May 11th, 2011 at 11:02 PM ^

Seems like OSU will be treated more harshly than USC b/c:

1.  There seems to more actual evidence against them (even if I believe USC is dirtier and paid many a recruit in cold hard cash);

2.  The OSU "proof" we already know about goes back to at least Clarett and Troy Smith;

3.  Tressel lied.  Then he tried to cover up his lie.  He has to be gone for that.

4.  Tressel did similar things at his last job -- which means he may never coach again;

5.  The "cars" are widespread, and include both basketball and football.  If anything comes from that, the basketball team may get nuclear;

6.  Word out of UM after stretch-gate was that the NCAA delved into everything.  If they do the same with OSU, it's likely that they'll find some payments to one and doners like Oden and Conley.

If most or all of those things bear out, OSU is looking at several major violations as a repeat offender.  I'd guess something like:

a.  Tressel is gone no matter what (resignation or fired)

b.  Smith is gone (though probably not until after the penalties are assessed)

c.  Loss of 2 scholarships to basketball for 3 years.

d.  No post season for basketball for 3 years.

e.  Loss of Institutional Control (Gordon Gee admitted that when he joked about not getting fired by Tressel) banhammer.

f.  No post season for football for 4-5 years;

g.  Loss of 6 scholarships for 5 years;

h.  increase supervison and audits (if that's even possible) from NCAA.

i.  vacate all Terelle Pryor wins (played ineligible player knowingly);

j.  OSU hires Gerry Faust as coach

COB

May 16th, 2011 at 9:42 AM ^

means you conjured it up in the midst of a stroke.  USC's punishment was harsh because they basically forced the NCAA to come up with all the evidence themselves.  It took 4 years and only after the investigation itself was spawned by an outside report, not a self-reported violation.  Also, you seem to think that once people hear about a potential violation, it is somehow instantly provable by the NCAA.  The car situation with players and player's family is an incredibly difficult thing to prove because it is not a criminal inquisition.  The NCAA only has sway over OSU and OSU doesn't control all the records that would be necessary to prove something like that.  It could take years to come up with anything. 

 

Also, there is a 4 year statute on NCAA infractions so anything you think would just pop up for no reason (like Oden recruitment?), wouldn't even be investigated.  I guess that is just your random thoughts, essentially "rabble rabble OSU bball shouldn't be good". 

 

You really didn't make a single reasonable point among your list.  Your potential punishments are not realistic and make you sound like you really have no clue what you are talking about.  I honestly can't tell if you are being sarcastic or have suffered brain damage. 

TrppWlbrnID

May 11th, 2011 at 6:25 PM ^

that them getting a bowl ban is a net loss for UM and the rest of the B1G, since they will most likely, even with reduced schollies and a new coach, still contend for the title and win the large majority of their conference games.  without a bowl, it would slide every team up a notch, which is not fun.  also, if they are an at-large for a bcs game, it is a pretty good payday for all the teams in the big ten.

i wish it was something really punitive, like they have to change their team name to the princess pretty ponies and change their colors to pink and another shade of pink.  this would last for ten years minimum.

RadioSimon1983

May 11th, 2011 at 6:27 PM ^

If they really want to drop the hammer and make other coaches and programs think twice about cheating, they'll do this:

2 year bowl ban, 2 years probation, 10 scholarships for each of the next 2 years, vacating wins for last season and no money brought in from TV contracts/TV ban for a year.

What likely is to happen is:

 

2 year bowl ban, 5 scholarships lost for 2 years, vacating wins from last season, substantial fine and show cause on Tressel.

true blue thou…

May 11th, 2011 at 6:32 PM ^

25 schollys over 5 years....... 3 yr bowl ban ..... 5 yr probation ..... show cause for Tressel

vacated wins for 2010   Anything less  and this stuff just keeps happening!!!

Thats why if you check out the Columbus Dispatch  they act like its no big deal you have to make them cheaters feel it

 

The FannMan

May 11th, 2011 at 6:35 PM ^

Tressel will have to exlpain to each OSU fan, including players, who attended last year's Michigan game why one pound of feathers weighs the same as a pound of lead.  He can't coach (or be paid) again until all of them firmly grasp the concept. 

Alternatively, who the heck knows - its the NCAA.  But yeah, some games will be vacated, some money will have to paid back, and some scholies will be lost.  And we will have the same arguments with Buckeyes about whether the last seveal years really happened that Sparties have with us about the Fab Five. 

Pasadena_Blue

May 11th, 2011 at 6:40 PM ^

I would say 2-3 year bowl ban and 10-20 scholarships over that time would proabably be about right.  However, they could use the alternate route and punish TSIO with a bulldozer, can of gas, and a match, nothing like a clean slate and fresh canvas to really send the message.

BlueHills

May 11th, 2011 at 7:10 PM ^

Sure, I hate Ohio State. But there's something unseemly about the piling on, and about speculating about whether this or that punishment will somehow be good for Michigan.

What's best for Michigan, both in the short and long run, is to win because we're the better team, not because OSU is hobbled with penalties. 

Michigan needs a strong Ohio State, just as Ohio State needs a strong Michigan. The Rivalry defines us as well as them. It's a huge part of being Michigan. It's a huge part of selling recruits on Michigan, and of being a Michigan fan. The Game is two giants taking the field against each other. It's not a giant and a guy with a ball and chain and a cane.

And the B1G needs a strong OSU for its image as a strong football conference, just as it needs strong UM, Wiscy, PSU, Nebraska, Iowa, and even (I hate to admit it) a strong MSU (sorta).

My best scenario - for Michigan - would be to see OSU stop cheating. Whatever that takes in the eyes of the NCAA, fine. It levels the playing field. But then let's get back to the business of putting a championship caliber Michigan team on the field, and renew this rivalry as it should be. If OSUers have to get a new coach, fine. But I wouldn't be too excited if this happens, because they're going to get someone capable of fielding an excellent football team.

That's how I feel. Just an opinion. Now neg me to Bolivia. 

Wolfman

May 11th, 2011 at 7:31 PM ^

we need a non-cheating OSU much more than what we have now; that being a program acting as if its building a resume for admission into the SEC.

OSU does not need to "look the other way" as will probably be what JT is remembered for no more than we needed a Steve Fisher who was complicit by his not wanting to know what the hell is going on. No way in hell does a cheating program, no matter which, is good for the conference.  To add to that the fact there is simply no need in their case because they breed the best instate talent in conference definitely calls for more than a weekend's grounding.

They have to feel the leather belt on this one or there will be no message sent.  The "rivalry," as we know it, was founded on two programs with a genuine respect for one another and the undertanding that they would meet every year in November, both playing by the same set of rules.

As much as you are correct about the rivalry being arguably the best in the nation, you are wrong about it being more important than taking control of an unacceptable situation. Just as OU's dominance under Switzer and USC's under Carroll's, et.a., all that OSU has accomplished since Clarett will never be accepted by the football purists. It's a renagade program, pure and simple.

The rivalry takes a backseat to an assurance that OSU is not going to take the path of the SEC merely because of the final numbers. Michigan will bounce back as all great programs do, not unlike ND will do this season. The onus is now on OSU to guarantee it still belongs in the conference, not for anyone to cowtow to them.

gajensen

May 11th, 2011 at 7:32 PM ^

I just came in here to post a carbon copy of this.

I'm a traditionalist, just like everybody else on this board, and I expect Michigan and Ohio State to be the two best teams in the Big Ten and national powerhouses every year.  I actually root for them in every game that we don't play them, because I want them to be strong when we take them out.  and, also, because I want the conference to do well.

AMazinBlue

May 11th, 2011 at 7:20 PM ^

3-5 years of probation.  My guess, based on what has come to light for which there is tangible proof, Tressel resigns, Smith fired, 5 schollies per year for minimum of three years and 5 years probation.  Vacate 2010, including Sugar Bowl(NCAA can back track). 

If Pryor has been getting cars etc since recruitment: vacate all games played and add at least one schollie per year to the damage.

Either way, Tressel is gone before August, Smith SHOULD get his by the end of the season and Ohio fans will cry for years to come.  Michigan, Nebraska and Wisconsin rule the B1G for the next decade.

If the basketball team is involved, they are done for the foreseeable future.

909Dewey

May 11th, 2011 at 8:08 PM ^

OSU should get the death penalty, but all parties will agree to reasonable terms. OSU is too big to fail. The hypocrisy of the NCAA has made it this way. As for Tressel - I see two paths. Either he never coaches again, or he never beats Michigan again.

oHOWiHATEohioSTATE

May 11th, 2011 at 8:24 PM ^

But the NCAA should punish teams like OSU and USC by making them play all non-conference games on the road for 2 years. If big schools got hit that hard in the pocket book things would change!

Lloyd Christmas

May 11th, 2011 at 8:44 PM ^

1. Tressel fired

2. Vacate wins from last season

3. Sousaphone player that dots the 'i' at home games will be replaced by Pryor dressed as Morris Day playing the synthesizer while doing the bird

4. Bowl ban for a few years

Blue Ninja

May 11th, 2011 at 9:33 PM ^

The NCAA President has stated that the hammer is coming out for school guilty of violations. Still I just don't see anything close to the death penalty. My best guess for the maximum.... 1. Forfeit all 2010 games and bowl game 2. Loss of a couple of scholarships per year for 2-3 years 3. Bowl ban for 1-2 years 4. Lose a couple of coaches 5. Probation for 5-6 years 6. Just cause action on Tressel at which point he will resign to avoid being fired and come out smelling like a rose because of his resignation.

goblueva

May 11th, 2011 at 9:36 PM ^

My best friend used to be AD for compliance at at Div I school (IAA football) and I posed this question to him re: OSU sanctions. His thoughts were the looming car scandal could be huge.  If proven true, could lead to the dreaded 'lack of institutional control'. Again, his opinion, would  mean loss of scholarships and bowl ban. Hopefully sanctions are in place prior to Commitment Day.

Wolverman

May 11th, 2011 at 10:59 PM ^

 The worst punishment to OSU is happening as we speak. One of the best recruiting classes in Ohio in awhile and OSU isn't getting too many looks.

 There will be a show cause on tressel for a year or 2, they will lose scholarships 10-15 over a 4 year probation period, I also think they will get a 1-2 year bowl/post season ban and forfeit the 2010 season. That's just with what's going on right now , if they find anything new who knows.