Head to www.bcsguru.com. He has concluded that Oklahoma State will jump Alabama and play LSU. He also has Baylor jumping Michigan, but he has Georgia, Oklahoma, Houston and MSU falling behind Michigan, meaning Michigan winds up 13th and BCS eligible. He has TCU 18th, which I think would mean they're not BCS mandatory. He doesn't have his bowl predictions, but I wonder if Michigan might not wind up in the Sugar Bowl after all. If they do, it would seem to mean Alabama as the opponent, setting up back-to-back games with the Crimson Tide. BTW, the BCSGuru, who tends to root for Michigan, was the first to project Florida ahead of Michigan back in 06.
chance of bowl: 13.6%