BCS standing projection

Submitted by Michigan4Life on

I was watching Sportscenter, Brad Edwards projected the standing for the BCS.

 

Boise State came out #1 with a pretty good margin with Oregon coming in at #2.  TCU rounds up the top 3.  OSU is #5 but the computers are hurting OSU as of now.  I'm surprised that the computers are rating Boise State and TCU pretty favorably.

 

The actual BCS standing will come out tonight at 8:00(or 8:30, not sure which one is which).

lilpenny1316

October 11th, 2010 at 1:54 PM ^

But it doesn't hurt to do some projecting at the new "Home of the BCS"

Boise and TCU played Oregon State which helps them a great deal over OSU.  Once OSU starts playing better teams in conference, they will pass those two teams if they keep winning.

IdealistWolverine

October 11th, 2010 at 3:17 PM ^

Wisconson, Iowa, and Michigan are the only potential "better teams" they'll play.

TCU still has to play the Air Force and Utah, both are ranked, and Utah could potentially be undefeated and a top ten team when that game happens.

I don't really see how OSU could jump an undefeated TCU team.  Maybe Boise, but all in all the Big Ten really isn't that good this year, and OSU doesn't have to play the second best team in the conference this year.

lilpenny1316

October 11th, 2010 at 5:47 PM ^

...thus far.  I'm not going to go out of my way to try and put those ass clowns in the national title game, but the Big Ten is rated as the second or third best conference by most people.  What may hurt OSU is not playing MSU this year, go figure.

I won't go as far as to say MSU is the second best team in the conference.  Too soon after Saturday for me to think that.  Let's see what Iowa has before anointing MSU that spot.

Blue_Sox

October 11th, 2010 at 2:15 PM ^

This is all very confusing because ESPN had an hour-long show announcing these "projections" yesterday and I initially thought it was the unveiling of the first BCS standings. But turns out it was not. Pretty weird to have a show announcing projections for your show the following week. But on a night with SNF and MLB Playoffs, not surprising they would do this to sucker in some viewers (like me unfortunately).

ColsBlue

October 11th, 2010 at 2:37 PM ^

If you want to see an angry, violent fanbase, just wait until the final BCS standings come out and a (possibly) undefeated Ohio State team is left out of the championship game.  It's plausable with Oklahoma and Oregon both ranked ahead of OSU in the computer rankings.  Oklahoma has already beaten FSU out of conference (better win that OSU over Miami), bet Texas, and still faces ranked Mizzou and Okie State in conference.  Oregon has beaten Stanford in conference, still to face Arizona and Oregon State.  It seems likely that OSU would leapfrog at least one of these teams but they don't play MSU this season, only has two to three ranked teams to play in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Michigan.  I know, still a lot of football to be played, would just be awfully comical from where I sit.   

MGoCards

October 11th, 2010 at 2:48 PM ^

I'd have a hard time finding any joy in that outcome. Lets disregard the fact that such a possibility would almost necessitate OSU defeating a low-ranked UM team (which would necessitate UM's failure to win three or four of the next five games). But it would generally indicate a near top-to-bottom devaluation of the Big Ten schedule.  And I couldn't be very happy about that.

Though, I guess there's the possibility that the freezing out of an undefeated Big Ten champ from the NC game could serve as a Reichstag-ian historical precedent for the end of the BCS regime. 

Tater

October 11th, 2010 at 2:50 PM ^

It's very possible that the "National Championship" game could be between TCU and BSU.  While that would suck immensely for this year and for the kids who competed for a chance at a bona fide Championship, it would be great for the amount of pressure it would put on the NCAA Nabobs to finally give the players, coaches, and fans what they have wanted all along: a true champion determined on the field of play.

My best-case scenario is this:

Michigan goes down to the horseshoe to play undefeated OSU and pulls off an upset for the ages, with Denard putting up another 500 yards of total offense.  Schadenfreude rules in Columbus, RR rules in Ann Arbor, Denard rules at the Nokia Theatre Times Square, and two teams that couldn't go 6-2 in the Big Ten "rule" the BCS.   

quakk

October 11th, 2010 at 5:34 PM ^

i took the numbers from bcs guru, just to see what would happen if teams were voted ahead of boise state. even with a computer ranking 0.12 points higher than michigan state (0.92 c.f. 0.80, respectively), if michigan state were the highest-rated team in both polls, their bcs ranking would obliterate that of boise state. 

the polls account for 66% of the bcs ranking.  each computer - at most ~8%.  if the voters want to keep boise state out of the mnc game, they will do so.

tcu vs. boise state?  it'll never happen.

 

EDIT: fixed typo.

rb4kb8

October 11th, 2010 at 5:33 PM ^

That could happen right??... OSU has only a challenge or two left.. they can do it... and MSU does not play OSU...

God I'd stab my eyes out before watching it.. but I guess it could happen

tlh908

October 11th, 2010 at 8:16 PM ^

I would almost like to see a BT team play either TCU or BSU for the championship.  Once a BT smokes one of those small schools, maybe they will fade away again into their rightful place.  But I really wish it could be Michigan schooling them at end of the year.