November 19th, 2011 at 10:38 PM ^
November 19th, 2011 at 11:05 PM ^
If you're from a non-auto qualifying conference, you have to be a conference champ to get in. TCU clinched the Mountain West today.
November 19th, 2011 at 9:35 PM ^
we have a 95% chance. It all depends on the way everything else goes. The way Michigan travels will be a big get for the bowls.
November 19th, 2011 at 9:43 PM ^
If the big east makes it, we should be in a BCS bowl. Bring on the Sparty billboards.
November 19th, 2011 at 10:24 PM ^
(1) Baylor needs to beat Oklahoma
(2) Oklahoma State needs to beat Oklahoma
Pretty sure we would get in over Oklahoma if that happened
November 19th, 2011 at 11:08 PM ^
a 3 loss OU team isn't making the BCS.
November 19th, 2011 at 11:40 PM ^
This is all great unless Sparty loses the Conference Championship. PSU or Wisky gets the autobid and Sparty gets the at large over us. Honestly though wouldn't you rather play Bama/Arkansas/LSU in the Cap One than Okie State in the Fiesta or Sugar?
November 19th, 2011 at 11:47 PM ^
BCS Bowl would give Michigan the National Stage for that night. Win or lose, only positives will come from that.
November 19th, 2011 at 11:52 PM ^
What exactly do we need a national stage for? We're not trying to build a program. We're not desparate for exposure. If we were we would be playing on Thursday nights like the entire ACC and Big Least are desparate to do. Everyone already knows the Michigan brand. I want to play the best team possible.
November 20th, 2011 at 12:01 AM ^
3-loss Sparty would absolutely not get a bid over us
November 20th, 2011 at 12:26 AM ^
I think they would. They beat us head to head and their third loss would come in the conference championship game that they beat us out for a spot in.
November 20th, 2011 at 12:39 AM ^
Wouldn't a 3-loss Wisconsin also get in ahead of us? All this scenario-running is fun, but I just want to beat Ohio and then see what comes next.
November 20th, 2011 at 12:44 AM ^
A conference champion loser rarely gets into the BCS (it's happened three times since 1998) and Sparty is not a team that would ever get a bid over us. There's a reason they went 11-1 last year and OSU got picked over them: they don't have a national name or big fanbase and thus don't bring in the money that the Fiesta would want.
We're in if we beat OSU, the only other team in the running is Stanford, IMO, and I think we get in over them 9/10 times.
November 20th, 2011 at 12:58 AM ^
The SEC is going to send its champion to the NCG, so the Sugar Bowl gets the first at-large pick to replace that loss. They almost certainly will pick the next SEC team for ticket sales. Then the Fiesta Bowl picks next (for a team to go up against the Big XII Champion) and may get to pick twice if the Big XII winner goes to the NCG. The OSU/OU loser ain't getting in at this point (and even if 2-loss OkSU or 3-loss OU were an option they wouldn't play each other again). The three loss B1G title game loser isn't getting in over 2-loss Michigan due to ratings and ranking. No bowl is picking the ACC title game loser and hoping their fans will come to Phoenix (same goes for any team in the Big East). No bowl is picking Houston/TCU if they don't have to.
If we beat OSU the Fiesta Bowl is going to pick between Stanford and Michigan (or maybe get to pick both). They will pick Michigan.
November 20th, 2011 at 12:49 AM ^
Losers in the conference championship games very rarely get picked for BCS bowls unless they are a top 5 team or something. Just the way it works out.
Sparty would absolutely not be picked over us for an at large if they lose the BIG championship game. They will have 3 losses, and probably not even be in the top 20. With a win next week we will be at least top 15, hopefully top ten. And we are the more attractive option over sparty anyways.
November 20th, 2011 at 1:23 AM ^
This conversation got more interesting with the night's festivities.
1) BigXII will only get one team; The loser of Bedlam will have 2 or 3 losses, and I can't see OkieState being chosen over Michigan.
2) ACC will only get one team: Bye bye Clemson
3) Houston must lose for Michigan to have a better shot
4) Stanford may be chosen over Michigan as an at-large for the Fiesta...
Even with all the fun with #3, #4, #5, and #7 losing...we still need help.
Agree with above posters; don't give two sh*ts where we play in a bowl as long as we beat Ohio.